So Re-balance Cycle Reminder All MyPlanIQ’s newsletters are archived here.

Regular AAC (Asset Allocation Composite), SAA and TAA portfolios are always rebalanced on the first trading day of a month. the next re-balance will be on Monday August 1, 2023. 

As a reminder to expert users: advanced portfolios are still re-balanced based on their original re-balance schedules and they are not the same as those used in Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation (SAA and TAA) portfolios of a plan.

Retirement Savings: How Much Should You Save For A Comfortable Retirement Life?

The question of how much you need to retire comfortably is probably on almost everyone’s mind.  Taking at least a few minutes to understand this can be helpful for your retirement planning. In this newsletter, we discuss this topic in some details.

Some background

The amount you need to save for retirement depends on several factors, including your current age, expected retirement age, expected retirement expenses, lifestyle goals, and expected retirement income from sources such as Social Security, pensions, and investments. Furthermore, your profession can have a significant impact on your retirement savings, as average incomes can vary widely between professions.

Rule of thumb: As a general rule of thumb, financial advisors often recommend saving 10-15% of your income for retirement throughout your working years. However, this is not a one-size-fits-all approach, and your personal circumstances and goals may require a different approach.

It’s also important to consider inflation and the potential for unexpected expenses, such as healthcare costs and long term care, in retirement.

Here are some numbers based on several surveys:

Tech workers

According to a survey by online lender SoFi, the average savings rate for tech workers is around 8% of their annual income. However, this figure can vary widely depending on individual circumstances such as age, income, debt, and financial goals.

This number is surprising as tech workers typically have higher income and not that much work related expenses.


According to a survey conducted by Medscape, the average physician salary in the United States in 2020 was $243,000 per year. The recommended savings rate for physicians is generally around 20-25% of their income, but this may vary depending on individual financial goals and circumstances.

Physicians often have high levels of student loan debt and may also face high expenses associated with running a medical practice. However, their high incomes can also allow for significant savings opportunities.

Average Americans

According to a survey by financial services provider Charles Schwab, the average savings rate among Americans in 2021 was 14.8%. However, this figure can vary widely depending on individual circumstances such as age, income, debt, and financial goals.

According to Vanguard Group’s 2022 “How America Saves” report, the average savings rate for participants in employer-sponsored defined contribution retirement plans was 8.4% in 2020. The report notes a slight increase from the 8.1% savings rate observed in 2010.

The report also highlights the trend of increased savings rates among participants, particularly for those in plans that feature automatic enrollment and escalation. Among participants in automatic enrollment plans, the average savings rate was 6.9% in 2020, up from 6.5% in 2010. Similarly, participants in plans that feature automatic escalation saw their average savings rate increase from 6.9% in 2010 to 8.5% in 2020.

Notice the Vanguard report is only based on retirement plans. It doesn’t include data for other taxable savings that include taxable stock, bond and cash investments or even real estate investments. Adding this up, it’s possible that a typical Vanguard client might reach 10-15% savings rate, recommended by financial advisors.

Can you preserve your retirement life quality if you save at the average rate?

Naturally, you would ask if I save just like an average American at an annual rate 10%-15%, how much would I accumulate by the time I retire? Will that be enough to preserve my quality of life in retirement?

We use our Retirement Calculator and assume the following:

The following is the annual income and investment balance:

Age Annual Income ($) Investment Balance ($)
22 30,000 0
23 31,500 3,000
24 33,075 6,390
25 34,729 10,209
26 36,465 14,499
27 38,288 19,305
28 40,203 24,678
29 42,213 30,673
30 44,324 37,348
31 46,540 44,768
32 48,867 53,003
33 51,310 62,130
34 53,876 72,231
35 56,569 83,397
36 59,398 95,726
37 62,368 109,324
38 65,486 124,307
39 68,761 140,800
40 72,199 158,940
41 75,809 178,875
42 79,599 200,766
43 83,579 224,787
44 87,758 251,128
45 92,146 279,994
46 96,753 311,608
47 101,591 346,212
48 106,670 384,068
49 112,004 425,460
50 117,604 470,697
51 123,484 520,113
52 129,658 574,070
53 136,141 632,961
54 142,948 697,212
55 150,096 767,284
56 157,600 843,676
57 165,480 926,930
58 173,754 1,017,632
59 182,442 1,116,418
60 191,564 1,223,976
61 201,143 1,341,050
62 211,200 1,468,448
63 221,760 1,607,044
64 232,848 1,757,784
65 244,490 1,921,692
66 256,715 2,099,876
67 269,550 2,293,538

You can be a 401k multi-millionaire ($2.3 million rich) when you retire if you just consistently save 10% annually and invest in a diversified portfolio that’s assumed to achieve an average annual return of 8%, a very reasonable assumption!

On the other hand, if you save 15% annually, your investment balance by age 67 would be 3,440,315, a 50% increase!

Now, if you use somewhat sophisticated Social Security Income (SSI) calculation formula (see the following explanation), we can estimate that by the time you retire at age 67, your annual SSI would be about $28k.

Social security calculation:

To calculate your Social Security income, we calculate your average indexed monthly earnings (AIME) which is based on your highest 35 years of earnings, adjusted for inflation. Once we have your AIME, we can calculate your primary insurance amount (PIA), which is the amount you would receive if you start claiming benefits at your full retirement age (FRA).

Assuming you work continuously until your full retirement age (FRA) of 67 and earn a 5% annual raise, your AIME would be approximately $73,554.

To calculate your PIA, we use a formula that takes into account your AIME and factors in adjustments for the year you turn 62 (the earliest you can claim benefits), the year you reach full retirement age, and the cost of living adjustments (COLA) in subsequent years.

Based on this formula, your estimated Social Security income would be approximately $2,362 per month, or $28,344 per year, in today’s dollars. Please note that this is just an estimate, and your actual Social Security income may vary based on your actual earnings history and other factors.

Another rule of thumb is that once you retire, you can expect to spend up to 70%-80% of your annual income to maintain a similar quality of life. This ratio is usually called retirement income replacement ratio. You can read here for a more detailed discussion on this topic.

If you expect to spend 75% of your annual income in retirement, in this case, you would expect to spend about $200k annually. Since you already have about $28k SSI, you will spend about $170k at the first year of your retirement. The following picture shows that you are likely deplete your account by age 91:

That’s still not quite satisfactory. On the other hand, if we use 4% withdrawal rule, you would expect about 2,300,000*4%=$92k per year withdrawal from your investments, or adding $28k SSI, you can expect $120k annual spending, which is about 50% of your last year’s income before you retire.

Note if you save 15% annually, 4% of your last investment balance $3,400,000 would be $138K, adding $28k SSI, you’ll get to spend $166K or very close to $170K or 75% of your pre-retirement annual income!

The nice thing here is that, by reducing your spending to be about 50% of your last year’s income before your retirement or 4% of your nest egg, you can preserve or even grow your estate even when you are over 100 year old!


There are various factors to consider when determining how much to save for a comfortable retirement. The above exercise provides a basic understanding that consistent saving of 10% or even better, 15%, as suggested by many financial advisors, along with investment in a diversified portfolio, can lead to a financially secure retirement.

Some factors that can significantly impact retirement savings include:

  • Savings Rate: Saving at a rate of 10% versus 15% can make a big difference. A 15% savings rate is likely to enable retirees to maintain their pre-retirement quality of life. Therefore, the more savings, the better.
  • If you save less but still aim to sustain your pre-retirement quality of life, it may be achievable in your lifetime. However, this may not leave much to your children or relatives.
  • If you are willing to moderately reduce your expenses, you may be able to find a middle ground, which is the case for most people.

What the above discussion shows is that it’s not impossible to accumulate enough to support a reasonable retirement. Perhaps, the hardest part for most people is the consistency — save regularly and spend rationally. This is actually also true in terms of your investments. 

Market overview

With approximately half (51%) of S&P 500 companies having already reported their second-quarter earnings, the blended earnings result has turned out to be worse than the initial expectations at -7.3%, compared to the projected -7% on June 30, 2023 (according to Factset). Surprisingly, the markets seem to be disregarding this slight ‘miss,’ and stock prices continue to rise at present. We speculate that the primary factor behind this trend could be the latest inflation figures, which indicate a more encouraging trend with inflation rising at a much slower pace. This has led investors to believe that the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hike last week may likely be the final one in this cycle. As a result, the prices of risk assets, particularly stocks, have been driven higher as investors anticipate more supportive financial conditions going forward.

As always, we call for staying the course which is guided by the well defined and sound strategic and tactical strategies:

  • For strategic allocation (buy and hold) investors, ignore the current market behavior. Remember, as what we have emphasized numerous times, when you choose and commit to a strategic portfolio, you essentially know and commit that your investment horizon (or the time you need to utilize this capital) is 20 years or preferably much longer given the current high valuation. As we pointed out, if your investments are those diversified (index) funds such as an S&P 500 index fund (VFINX, for example), you know your money is in some solid ‘business’ that eventually (20 years later and preferably many more years later) will deliver some reasonable returns. As long as you are comfortable with this thesis, you should sit tight and forget about the current gyration.
  • For tactical investors, again, you have to ignore the current market noise. Furthermore, you should follow your strategy rigorously, especially in a time like this. Human emotion, both optimistic and pessimistic, and human desire, both greedy and fearful, are your worst enemies. This has been shown to be true time and time again.

Stock valuation has dropped and now valuation is becoming less hostile. However, it is still not cheap by historical standard. For the moment, we believe it’s prudent to be extra cautious. However how serious a correction might be, we have confidence in the US economy in the long term and thus in the stocks in aggregate. We just need to manage through interim losses carefully.

We again would like to emphasize that for any new investor and new money, the best way to step into this kind of markets is through dollar cost average (DCA), i.e. invest and/or follow a model portfolio in several phases (such as 2 or 3 months) instead of the whole sum at one shot.


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