11/02/2010

This is the first of three articles where we are going to examine how plan rating can be used to give you additional insight into the properties of a plan (collection of funds) and how they may perform going forward.We have previously examined News Corp's 401K plan. We found that while it was lacking in terms of diversity, it performed well within its scope -- beating the 3 Asset SIB with which it was comparable but losing out to the 4 Asset SIB.

We will now look at the New York Times Company's 401K plan and establish it's performance before comparing the two and examining how each of their ratings gives insight as to their performance. All of MyPlanIQ's plans have ratings so this equally applies to any retirement, taxable, VA, 529 or any other sort of plan.

The New York Times Company, a leading media company with 2009 revenues of $2.4 billion, includes The New York Times, the International Herald Tribune, The Boston Globe, 15 other daily newspapers and more than 50 Web sites, including NYTimes.com,Boston.com and About.com. The Company's core purpose is to enhance society by creating, collecting and distributing high-quality news, information and entertainment.

The New York Times 401K plan consists of 23 funds. These funds enable participants to gain exposure to 4 major assets: US Equity, Foreign Equity, Emerging Market Equity, Fixed Income. The list of minor asset classes covered:
 

Summary
US Equity                 6 funds
International Equity  2 funds
Emerging Markets  1 fund
Fixed income           1 fund
Target date            11 funds

If we exclude the target date funds as they can't be used to build a portfolio as they are a portfolio in and of themselves, there are ten funds, six of which are US based.

As of Oct 29, 2010, this plan investment choice is rated as average based on MyPlanIQ Plan Rating methodology that was designed to measure how effective a plan's available investment funds are . It has the following detailed ratings:

Diversification -- Rated as average (64%)
Fund Quality -- Rated as great (90%)
Portfolio Building -- Rated as below average (31%)
Overall Rating: average (59%)

The rating shows the lack of funds to really build a portfolio and that although there are four asset classes, two of them, most notably Fixed income, only have one fund each.

The chart and table below show the historical performance of moderate model portfolios employing strategic and tactical asset allocation strategies (SAA and TAA both provided by MyPlanIQ). For comparison purpose, we also include the moderate model portfolios of a typical 4 asset SIB (Simpler Is Better) plan. This SIB plan has the following candidate index funds and their ETFs equivalent:

Performance chart (as of Oct 29, 2010)

Performance chart (as of Nov 1, 2010)

Performance table (as of Nov 1, 2010)

The results are mixed in the sense that the NYT portfolios outperform the SIBs in the one and three year categories but underperform the SIBs in the five year categories. The choice of multiple funds in the US and international equity categories will allow for styles rotation to find higher returns. However, in the other major categories there are only single options and the benefits of low fees and market index performance in the SIBs allow it to deliver higher performance.

To summarize having a four asset class portfolio is good. The number of funds in the plan is misleading as the target date funds don't assist in building a portfolio -- if you are a believer in target date funds then you have lots of choices. To further improve the portfolio, it is important to increase the fixed income choices immediately and then balance out emerging market choices from the US choices.

In the next article we will compare News Corp and New York Times to see how the plan rating numbers give insight to the quality of the overall plan.


labels:investment,

Symbols:SPY,VTI,EFA,VEU,EEM,VWO,AGG,BND,AOM,CIU,BIV,GWL,PFA,EFV,PID,DWM,TZD,TZE,TZG,TZI,TZO,TZL,TZV,IVV,IYY,IWV,VV,DLN,RSP,SCHX,IVW,IWZ,JKE,VUG,ELG,QQQQ,RPG,SCHG,IJR,IWM,JKJ,VB,DSC,PJM,DES,SAA,UWM,SCHA,GMM,PXH,DEM,SCHE,

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10/28/2010

Ameritrade with 101 funds and Vanguard with 62 funds are left with the ability to go into deeper analysis to see whether the extra funds in Ameritrade deliver added value.

TD Ameritrade have multiple ETF's in each minor asset category whereas Vanguard does not. Both brokers offer a very broad range of US equities

Performance chart (as of Oct 25, 2010)

Performance table (as of Oct 25, 2010)

labels:investment,

Symbols:SPY,VTI,EFA,VEU,EEM,VWO,IYR,VNQ,ICF,AGG,BND,HYG,JNK,PHB,CIU,BIV,GII,PUI,DBU,RYU,UPW,IYH,IXJ,VHT,XBI,PBE,DBR,RYH,IXP,PTE,DGG,LTL,IYM,IGE,VAW,XLB,XME,PYZ,DBN,RTM,UYM,MTK,PTF,DBT,RYT,ROM,GWL,PFA,IVE,IWW,JKF,VTV,ELV,PWV,RPV,SCHV,IYF,VFH,IPF,PFI,DRF,RYF,KXI,

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10/26/2010

Us Equity:( SPY or VTI ) 
Foreign Equity:( EFA or VEU ) 
Emerging Market Equity:( EEM or VWO ) 
Reits:( IYR or VNQ or ICF ) 
Fixed Income:( AGG or BND ) 

Performance chart (as of Oct 22, 2010)

Us Equity:( SPY or VTI ) 
Foreign Equity:( EFA or VEU ) 
Emerging Market Equity:( EEM or VWO ) 
Fixed Income:( AGG or BND ) 

Performance chart (as of Oct 22, 2010)

• Vanguard 62 Commission Free ETFs plan participants have seen returns in the 8-13% range for a moderate portfolio with strategic and tactical asset allocation based on having a five asset class portfolio.
• Fidelity 25 Commission Free ETFs plan participants have seen returns in the 7-11% range for a moderate portfolio with strategic and tactical asset allocation based on having a five asset class portfolio.

labels:investment,

Symbols:AGG,BIV,BLV,BND,BSV,CIU,CLY,CSJ,DBE,DBN,DBR,DBT,DBU,DEB,DEM,DES,DGG,DKA,DLN,DON,DPN,DRF,DSC,DSG,DSV,EDV,EEM,EFA,ELG,ELV,EMG,EMM,EMV,EPP,EXI,EZM,GII,GMF,GMM,GWL,HYG,ICF,IEF,IEI,IEV,IFSM,IGE,IJH,IJJ,IJK,IJR,IJS,IJT,IOO,IPF,IPW,ITE,IVE,IVV,IVW,IWM,IWN,IWO,IW,

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10/19/2010

The recent news that TD Ameritrade are providing over 100 ETF’s commission free is a perfect fit for a retirement portfolio. Investors are able to trade once a month and pick from a wide range of ETF’s without incurring any trading fees. Combine this with an IRA where the tax consequences of trading are removed and you have an almost ideal scenario and back tested returns demonstrate the point.

We used the MyPlanIQ system to build and monitor a moderate risk (40% fixed income) strategic asset allocation portfolio. With five risk based asset classes, each of those classes would have 12% of the assets dedicated to them but the funds would be evaluated every month and the optimal fund selected based on the momentum within the class.

This can be compared with a Six asset SIB for which there is just one fund in each asset class.

From the performance chart, it is clear that there is increased upside potential from being able to switch funds within an asset class. Unfortunately, there is less ability to minimize downside risk when an asset class is under downward pressure.

Despite this, for those who want to stay with a buy and hold in terms of asset classes, using this approach can squeeze some extra returns from the strategy.

With the large number of funds in six asset classes, momentum based asset allocation can be seen in its best light.

 
Full Details

• ETF’s provide the basis for an outstanding portfolio with either strategic or tactical asset allocation. This is clearly demonstrated with TD’s wide range of commission free funds
• Using a web based application takes a lot of the effort from finding the best funds for either strategy
• Strategic asset allocation with styles rotation can deliver solid results using a well trusted strategy
• Tactical asset allocation greatly benefits from the large number of funds

labels:investment,

Symbols:GSG,DBC,AOK,EEM,GMM,PXH,DEM,SCHE,PCY,VTI,VT,IEV,VGK,PEF,DEB,EFA,VEU,GWL,PFA,EFG,EFV,PID,DWM,IFSM,VSS,SCHC,SCZ,IFGL,RWX,HYG,JNK,PHB,TIP,IEI,VGIT,ITE,AGG,CIU,BIV,BND,EWJ,JPP,PJO,DXJ,IVV,IYY,IWV,VV,SPY,DLN,RSP,SCHX,IVW,IWZ,JKE,VUG,ELG,QQQQ,RPG,SCHG,IVE,IWW,Commission,Free,ETFs,Strategic,Asset,Allocation,Tactical,Asset,Allocation,Asset,Allocation,styles,rotation,

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10/19/2010

Buy and hold asset allocation has become an almost unquestioned doctrine of long term investing. The emergence of modern portfolio theory in conjunction with a long bull market seemed to prove it largely infallible.

However, recent market events have put the approach under pressure and many are considering buy and hold insufficient without some additional hedges based on what we have seen and learned.

The comparison of returns from strategic and tactical asset allocation over the last five years clearly shows the dilemma. There is a significant benefit to having a tactical component to any portfolio.

• Tactical Asset Allocation only with 40% in fixed income
• Strategic Asset Allocation only with 40% in fixed income
• 50/50 Strategic/Tactical 40%
• 60/40 Strategic/Tactical 40%
• 70/30 Strategic/Tactical 40%  

Building and maintaining a core-satellite portfolio can be labor intensive and error prone or expensive to outsource. The MyPlanIQ system enables an individual to rapidly build and maintain a model core-satellite portfolio and be able create historical results. This is how the comparison was achieved in this case.

The screenshot shows how to assign a percentage of the portfolio to strategic and tactical asset allocation and then examine the performance of the portfolio. In this case, it is 70% strategic and 30% tactical asset allocation
 

Intuitively we would expect to see tactical asset allocation giving us the highest returns with, perhaps a little more volatility and the hybrid portfolios giving a range of returns and volatility.
 

Portfolio Performance Comparison

Portfolio Name	1Yr AR	3Yr AR	5Yr AR
Six Core Asset Index Funds Tactical Asset Allocation Moderate	10%	9%	14%
50-50-6SIB Core Satellite	11%	6%	11%
60-40-6SIB Core Satellite	11%	5%	10%
70-30-6SIB Core Satellite	12%	4%	10%
Six Core Asset Index Funds Strategic Asset Allocation Moderate	13%	2%	7%

 

Full comparison

The results are much as expected with tactical asset allocation and strategic asset allocation bounding performance ranges and the core satellites filling in the middle.

The draw down ratios also behave as expected.
 

Portfolio/DD	1 Yr	3 Yr	5 Yr	Inception
TAA	10%	12%	14%	14%
50-50%	9%	24%	24%	24%
60-40	9%	27%	27%	27%
70-30	8%	29%	29%	29%
SAA	8%	39%	39%	39%

The concept of a core-satellite portfolio may appeal to many. The problem of constructing an measuring such a portfolio has been greatly simplified with analytical tools such as the MyPlanIQ system.

Takeaways

• In the current market conditions, tactical asset allocation still provides the best performance and has the lowest risk
• Those who want to move cautiously into momentum based portfolios can use core-satellite to dip their toe into the water
• ETF’s are an ideal, low cost vehicle to construct a core satellite portfolio

labels:investment,

Symbols:DBC,VBMFX,VTI,SPY,VEU,EFA,VWO,EEM,VNQ,IYR,BND,AGG,Portfolio-Building,with,ETFs,Closed-End,Funds,Commodity,ETFs,Developed,Market,ETFs,core-satellite,

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10/19/2010

10/19/2010

10/08/2010

09/29/2010

09/14/2010

07/29/2010

07/27/2010

07/09/2010

06/27/2010

06/09/2010

06/09/2010

06/03/2010

12/03/2010

This report reviews Apache Design Solutions 401K plan. We will discuss the investment choices and present the plan rating by MyPlanIQ. Current economic and market conditions are discussed in the context of the investment portfolios in the plan. We will then show how participants in Apache Design Solutions 401K can achieve reasonable investment results using asset allocation strategies.

Plan Review and Rating

Apache Design Solutions 401K's 401K plan consists of 42 funds. These funds enable participants to gain exposure to 5 major assets: US Equity, Foreign Equity, REITs, Emerging Market Equity, Fixed Income. The list of minor asset classes covered:

Conservative Allocation: AOK
Diversified Emerging Mkts: EEM, GMM, PXH, DEM, SCHE
Foreign Large Blend: EFA, VEU, GWL, PFA
Foreign Small/mid Growth: IFSM, VSS, SCHC
Health: IYH, IXJ, VHT, XBI, PBE, DBR, RYH
Intermediate Government: IEI, VGIT, ITE
Intermediate-term Bond: AGG, CIU, BIV, BND
Large Blend: IVV, IYY, IWV, VTI, VV, SPY, DLN, RSP, SCHX
Large Growth: IVW, IWZ, JKE, VUG, ELG, QQQQ, RPG, SCHG
Large Value: IVE, IWW, JKF, VTV, ELV, PWV, RPV, SCHV
Mid-cap Growth: IJK, IWP, VOT, EMG, PWJ, RFG, UKW
Mid-cap Value: IJJ, IWS, JKI, VOE, EMV, PWP, RFV, UVU
Moderate Allocation: AOM
Natural Resources: IYM, IGE, VAW, XLB, XME, PYZ, DBN, RTM, UYM
Real Estate: IYR, ICF, VNQ
Retirement Income:
Small Blend: IJR, IWM, JKJ, VB, DSC, PJM, DES, SAA, UWM, SCHA
Small Growth: IJT, IWO, JKK, VBK, DSG, PWT, RZG, UKK
Small Value: IJS, IWN, JKL, VBR, DSV, PWY, RZV, UVT
Target Date 2016-2020: TZG
Target Date 2026-2030: TZL
Target Date 2036-2040: TZV
World Stock: IOO, VT

As of Dec 2, 2010, this plan investment choice is rated as based on MyPlanIQ Plan Rating methodology that measures the effectiveness of a plan's available investment funds. It has the following detailed ratings:

Diversification -- Rated as (85%)
Fund Quality -- Rated as (18%)
Portfolio Building -- Rated as (79%)
Overall Rating: (62%)

Current Economic and Market Conditions

We have experienced an uncertain 2010: plenty of worries on whether the US economy will climb out of the great recession and recover.

• The Federal Reserve embarked on Quantitative Easing II (QE2) to stimulate the economy.
• The housing market is still at its low but largely stabilized.
• The unemployment rate is stuck at 9%.

Americans continue to face an uncertain future, given (among others) the high unemployment rate, large federal and local government debts and global trade imbalance. With such an economic backdrop, the stock and debt markets are going to be volatile. Despite this, markets have been resilient and appear positioned to rebound.

In this market it is even more critical to properly diversify and respond market changes. MyPlanIQ offers two asset allocation strategies: strategic and tactical asset allocation strategies ( SAA and TAA for participants in Apache Design Solutions 401K).

Strategic Asset Allocation is based on well known modern portfolio theory and its key features include: diversification, proper fund selection and periodically re-balancing.

Tactical Asset Allocation works on a diversified array of assets provided by funds in a plan and adjusts asset mixes based on market conditions such as asset price momentum utilized by TAA.

Portfolio Discussions

The chart and table below show the historical performance of moderate model portfolios employing strategic and tactical asset allocation strategies. For comparison purpose, we also include the moderate model portfolios of a typical 5 asset SIB (Simpler Is Better) plan . This SIB plan has the following candidate index funds and their ETFs equivalent:

US Equity: (SPY or VTI)
Foreign Equity: (EFA or VEU)
Emerging Market Equity: (EEM or VWO)
REITs: (IYR or VNQ or ICF)
Fixed Income: (AGG or BND)

Performance chart (as of Dec 2, 2010)

Performance table (as of Dec 2, 2010)

Currently, asset classes in US Equity (SPY,VTI) and Emerging Market Equity (EEM,VWO) are doing relatively well. These asset classes are available to Apache Design Solutions 401K participants.

To summarize, Apache Design Solutions 401K plan participants can achieve reasonable investment returns by adopting asset allocation strategies that are tailored to their risk profiles.

Symbols: APA , SPY , VTI , EFA , VEU , EEM , VWO , IYR , VNQ , ICF , AGG , BND , AOM , AOK , CIU , BIV , IYH , IXJ , VHT , XBI , PBE , DBR , RYH , IYM , IGE , VAW , XLB , XME , PYZ , DBN , RTM , UYM , GWL , PFA , IVE , IWW , JKF , VTV , ELV , PWV , RPV , SCHV , TZG , TZL , TZV , IVV , IYY , IWV , VV , DLN , RSP , SCHX , IOO , VT , IVW , IWZ , JKE , VUG , ELG , QQQQ , RPG , SCHG , IJJ , IWS , JKI , VOE , EMV , PWP , RFV , UVU , IFSM , VSS , SCHC , IJS , IWN , JKL , VBR , DSV , PWY , RZV , UVT , IJR , IWM , JKJ , VB , DSC , PJM , DES , SAA , UWM , SCHA , GMM , PXH , DEM , SCHE , IEI , VGIT , ITE , IJK , IWP , VOT , EMG , PWJ , RFG , UKW , IJT , IWO , JKK , VBK , DSG , PWT , RZG , UKK

12/03/2010

12/03/2010

12/03/2010

12/03/2010

12/03/2010

12/03/2010

12/07/2010

03/21/2011