A Mixed Bag Performance of Momentum Investing
At MyPlanIQ, our Tactical Asset Allocation(TAA) portfolios rely on multi-asset momentum to dynamically allocate asset exposures. The purpose is to avoid downside while capturing upside of assets that are in an up trend. Since momentum investing can happen in many levels that include individual stocks, industry, sector or asset levels, investors are often confused. We thus periodically review representative momentum based portfolios at these levels. Our latest review is October 10, 2016: Momentum Investing Review. This newsletter looks at the latest performance and some issues for these portfolios/funds.
Again, here is the taxonomy of these portfolios:
- m1: A group of individual stocks such as Dow Jones 30 or Nasdaq 100 etc. — Can be Effective, but volatile.
- m2: A group of industrial stock funds such as Fidelity’s famous Fidelity Select funds. – Can be Effective, but volatile.
- m3: A group of stock sector funds such as SPDR’s S&P sector ETFs such as SPDR Select Energy (XLE) etc. – Can be Effective, but volatile.
- m4: A group of stock style funds such as Russell large, mid and small cap stock ETFs. – Effective and comparable risk.
- m5: single stock index (fund) buy/sell decision. – Fickle though might be on par with buy and hold.
- m6: A group of diversified and somewhat uncorrelated asset classes such as stocks, bonds, real estates (REITs) and their minor asset classes such as long term bonds, international bonds, gold etc. – Effective and lower risk.
Furthermore, at MyPlanIQ, we always advocate the momentum driven strategy at asset allocation level, or m6 in the above categories. This is what our Tactical Asset Allocation(TAA) strategy is based on.
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