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Articles on QQQQ

  • How Plan Rating Stack up Against ETF Portfolios Returns -- Part 3

    11/03/2010

    Plan rating is a quick and easy way to get a read on a plan and what a portfolio built from the funds in the plan can deliver. This is not the whole story but is a rapid means of making an assessment.

    In this article we are comparing two sets of plans to expose what plan rating gives you and contrast it with backtested results.

    1. News Corp Versus New York Times have been separately reviewed and the purpose here is to compare their plan profile and compare the plan ranking.

    As of Oct 26, 2010 News Corp's plan and ratings summary is:

    Asset Class News Corp Funds New York Times Funds
    U.S. Equity Excluding Company Stock 3 6
    International Equity 2 2
    Emerging Markets 0 1
    Fixed Income Including Money Market 2 2
    Target Date Funds 0 11
    Plan Rating Attribute News Corp New York Times
    Diversification 4% 64%
    Fund Quality 49% 90%
    Portfolio Building 65% 31%
    Overall Rating 42% 59%

     

    Performance table (as of Oct 29, 2010)

    Portfolio Name1Yr AR1Yr Sharpe3Yr AR3Yr Sharpe5Yr AR5Yr Sharpe
    News America (News Corp) 401k Savings Plan Tactical Asset Allocation Moderate 8% 67% 6% 62% 10% 92%
    News America (News Corp) 401k Savings Plan Strategic Asset Allocation Moderate 11% 130% 3% 18% 7% 44%
    THE NEW YORK TIMES COMPANIES SUPPLEMENTAL RETIREMENT AND INVESTMENT PLAN Tactical Asset Allocation Moderate 10% 85% 7% 62% 13% 114%
    THE NEW YORK TIMES COMPANIES SUPPLEMENTAL RETIREMENT AND INVESTMENT PLAN Strategic Asset Allocation Moderate 14% 135% 1% 2% 7% 44%

    Currently, asset classes in US Equity ( SPY , VTI ) , Foreign Equity ( EFA , VEU ) and Fixed Income ( AGG , BND ) are doing relatively well. These asset

    2.  TD Ameritrade Versus Vanguard ETFs  have been separately reviewed and the purpose here is to compare their plan profile and compare the plan ranking.

    Asset Class TDA Funds Vanguard Funds
    U.S. Equity Excluding Company Stock 31 33
    International Equity 14 6
    Emerging Markets 11 1
    Real Estate 4 1
    Commodities 6 1
    Sectors 3 9
    Fixed Income Including Money Market 32 11
    Plan Attribute TDA Vanguard
    Diversification 95% 57%
    Fund Quality 26% 56%
    Portfolio Building 92% 51%
    Overall Rating 73% 54%

     

    Performance chart (as of Oct 25, 2010):

    Performance table (as of Oct 25, 2010):

    Portfolio Name1Yr AR1Yr Sharpe3Yr AR3Yr Sharpe5Yr AR5Yr Sharpe
    Vanguard 62 Tactical Asset Allocation Moderate 14% 93% 5% 33% 13% 81%
    Vanguard 62 Strategic Asset Allocation Moderate 17% 126% 2% 5% 8% 42%
    TD Ameritrade Commission Free ETFs Tactical Asset Allocation Moderate 14% 96% 13% 84% 20% 128%
    TD Ameritrade Commission Free ETFs Strategic Asset Allocation Moderate 10% 89% -1% -10% 8% 44%


    If we now compare ratings and five year performance we get the following graph:


    If we now normalize both sides 



    We can see that there is reasonable correlation between the plan rating and the five year return number.

    Note that this is not an exact science and there are many exceptions. In addition, this is not the whole story, just a means of assessing a plan and uncovering where there may be weaknesses in the long term.

    MyPlanIQ continues to improve the plan rating which is accessible to anybody at no cost.

    labels:investment,

    Symbols:SPY,VTI,EFA,VEU,EEM,VWO,AGG,BND,AOM,CIU,BIV,GWL,PFA,EFV,PID,DWM,TZD,TZE,TZG,TZI,TZO,TZL,TZV,IVV,IYY,IWV,VV,DLN,RSP,SCHX,IVW,IWZ,JKE,VUG,ELG,QQQQ,RPG,SCHG,IJR,IWM,JKJ,VB,DSC,PJM,DES,SAA,UWM,SCHA,GMM,PXH,DEM,SCHE,

     

     

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  • New York Times -- How Plan Rating Stack up Against ETF Portfolios -- Part 1

    11/02/2010

    This is the first of three articles where we are going to examine how plan rating can be used to give you additional insight into the properties of a plan (collection of funds) and how they may perform going forward.We have previously examined News Corp's 401K plan. We found that while it was lacking in terms of diversity, it performed well within its scope -- beating the 3 Asset SIB with which it was comparable but losing out to the 4 Asset SIB.

    We will now look at the New York Times Company's 401K plan and establish it's performance before comparing the two and examining how each of their ratings gives insight as to their performance. All of MyPlanIQ's plans have ratings so this equally applies to any retirement, taxable, VA, 529 or any other sort of plan.

    The New York Times Company, a leading media company with 2009 revenues of $2.4 billion, includes The New York Times, the International Herald Tribune, The Boston Globe, 15 other daily newspapers and more than 50 Web sites, including NYTimes.com,Boston.com and About.com. The Company's core purpose is to enhance society by creating, collecting and distributing high-quality news, information and entertainment.

    The New York Times 401K plan consists of 23 funds. These funds enable participants to gain exposure to 4 major assets: US Equity, Foreign Equity, Emerging Market Equity, Fixed Income. The list of minor asset classes covered:
     

    Asset ClassTickerName
    Intermediate-Term Bond DODIX Dodge & Cox Income
    Foreign Large Value DODFX Dodge & Cox International Stock
    SMALL BLEND LRSCX Lord Abbett Small-Cap Value A
    LARGE GROWTH PNOYX Putnam New Opportunities Y
    Emerging Markets EMF Templeton Emerging Markets Fund
    LARGE BLEND VFINX Vanguard 500 Index Investor
    Moderate Allocation VAARX Vanguard Asset Allocation Adm
    LARGE GROWTH VHCOX Vanguard Capital Opportunity
    Foreign Large Blend VWIGX Vanguard International Growth
    Target Date 2000-2010 VTOVX Vanguard Target Retirement 2005
    Target Date 2000-2010 VTENX Vanguard Target Retirement 2010
    Target Date 2011-2015 VTXVX Vanguard Target Retirement 2015
    Target Date 2016-2020 VTWNX Vanguard Target Retirement 2020
    Target Date 2021-2025 VTTVX Vanguard Target Retirement 2025
    Target Date 2026-2030 VTHRX Vanguard Target Retirement 2030
    Target Date 2031-2035 VTTHX Vanguard Target Retirement 2035
    Target Date 2036-2040 VFORX Vanguard Target Retirement 2040
    Target Date 2041-2045 VTIVX Vanguard Target Retirement 2045
    Target Date 2050+ VFIFX Vanguard Target Retirement 2050
    Retirement Income VTINX Vanguard Target Retirement Income
    LARGE BLEND REASX Russell U.S. Core Equity I
    CASH CASH Money Market

    Summary
    US Equity                 6 funds
    International Equity  2 funds
    Emerging Markets  1 fund
    Fixed income           1 fund
    Target date            11 funds

    If we exclude the target date funds as they can't be used to build a portfolio as they are a portfolio in and of themselves, there are ten funds, six of which are US based.

    As of Oct 29, 2010, this plan investment choice is rated as average based on MyPlanIQ Plan Rating methodology that was designed to measure how effective a plan's available investment funds are . It has the following detailed ratings:

    Diversification -- Rated as average (64%)
    Fund Quality -- Rated as great (90%)
    Portfolio Building -- Rated as below average (31%)
    Overall Rating: average (59%)

    The rating shows the lack of funds to really build a portfolio and that although there are four asset classes, two of them, most notably Fixed income, only have one fund each.

    The chart and table below show the historical performance of moderate model portfolios employing strategic and tactical asset allocation strategies (SAA and TAA both provided by MyPlanIQ). For comparison purpose, we also include the moderate model portfolios of a typical 4 asset SIB (Simpler Is Better) plan. This SIB plan has the following candidate index funds and their ETFs equivalent:

    US Equity SPY or VTI
    Foreign Equity EFA or VEU
    Emerging Market Equity EEM or VWO
    Fixed Income AGG or BND

    Performance chart (as of Oct 29, 2010)

    Performance chart (as of Nov 1, 2010)

    Performance table (as of Nov 1, 2010)

    Portfolio Name1Yr AR1Yr Sharpe3Yr AR3Yr Sharpe5Yr AR5Yr Sharpe
    THE NEW YORK TIMES COMPANIES SUPPLEMENTAL RETIREMENT AND INVESTMENT PLAN Tactical Asset Allocation Moderate 10% 85% 7% 62% 13% 114%
    THE NEW YORK TIMES COMPANIES SUPPLEMENTAL RETIREMENT AND INVESTMENT PLAN Strategic Asset Allocation Moderate 14% 135% 1% 2% 7% 44%
    Four Core Asset ETF Index Funds Emerging Markets Tactical Asset Allocation Moderate 4% 36% 4% 34% 14% 90%
    Four Core Asset ETF Index Funds Emerging Markets Strategic Asset Allocation Moderate 13% 98% 0% -0% 8% 37%

     

    The results are mixed in the sense that the NYT portfolios outperform the SIBs in the one and three year categories but underperform the SIBs in the five year categories. The choice of multiple funds in the US and international equity categories will allow for styles rotation to find higher returns. However, in the other major categories there are only single options and the benefits of low fees and market index performance in the SIBs allow it to deliver higher performance.

    To summarize having a four asset class portfolio is good. The number of funds in the plan is misleading as the target date funds don't assist in building a portfolio -- if you are a believer in target date funds then you have lots of choices. To further improve the portfolio, it is important to increase the fixed income choices immediately and then balance out emerging market choices from the US choices.

    In the next article we will compare News Corp and New York Times to see how the plan rating numbers give insight to the quality of the overall plan.


    labels:investment,

    Symbols:SPY,VTI,EFA,VEU,EEM,VWO,AGG,BND,AOM,CIU,BIV,GWL,PFA,EFV,PID,DWM,TZD,TZE,TZG,TZI,TZO,TZL,TZV,IVV,IYY,IWV,VV,DLN,RSP,SCHX,IVW,IWZ,JKE,VUG,ELG,QQQQ,RPG,SCHG,IJR,IWM,JKJ,VB,DSC,PJM,DES,SAA,UWM,SCHA,GMM,PXH,DEM,SCHE,

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  • Kellogg 401K beats a 3 Asset Class ETF portfolio -- Can't beat the 4 asset class ETF portfolio

    11/02/2010

    Kellogg Company is an internationally recognized brand in the ready-to-eat cereal and convenience foods. Its principal products include cookies, crackers, toaster pastries, cereal bars, fruit snacks, frozen waffles, and veggie foods.

    Kellogg Company sells its products in North America, Europe, Latin America, and the Asia Pacific. The company was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in Battle Creek, Michigan.

    Its retirement plan is a reflection of the company -- high quality funds but old style diversification. The 401K plan consists of 8 funds (not including cash). These funds give exposure to 3 major assets: US Equity, Foreign Equity, Fixed Income. The list of minor asset classes covered:

    Asset ClassTickerName
    LARGE BLEND SVSPX SSgA S&P 500 Index
    EQUITY K Kellogg
    LARGE VALUE VWNAX Vanguard Windsor II Adm
    LARGE GROWTH PRGFX T. Rowe Price Growth Stock
    Foreign Large Blend RERFX American Funds EuroPacific Gr R5
    Small Growth VEXRX Vanguard Explorer Adm
    SMALL VALUE DFSVX DFA U.S. Small Cap Value I
    Intermediate-Term Bond PTTRX PIMCO Total Return Instl

    In summary

    • Six US equity funds -- including the company's own stock
    • One international fund
    • One fixed income fund


    Having fewer US choices and more fixed income and international choices would provide better diversification as would adding real estate or emerging markets.

    Investing in the company's own stock may show loyalty but it may be better to leave that to an employee stock purchase plan if they have it.

    Comparable ETF's

    Equity: VTI, VT 
    Foreign Large Blend: EFA, VEU, GWL, PFA 
    Intermediate-term Bond: AGG, CIU, BIV, BND 
    Large Blend: IVV, IYY, IWV, VTI, VV, SPY, DLN, RSP, SCHX 
    Large Growth: IVW, IWZ, JKE, VUG, ELG, QQQQ, RPG, SCHG 
    Large Value: IVE, IWW, JKF, VTV, ELV, PWV, RPV, SCHV 
    Small Growth: IJT, IWO, JKK, VBK, DSG, PWT, RZG, UKK 
    Small Value: IJS, IWN, JKL, VBR, DSV, PWY, RZV, UVT 

    As of Oct 29, 2010, this plan investment choice is rated as average based on MyPlanIQ Plan Rating methodology that was designed to measure how effective a plan's available investment funds are . It has the following detailed ratings:

    Diversification
    -- Rated as below average (13%)

    Fund Quality -- Rated as great (99%)
    Portfolio Building -- Rated as average (47%)
    Overall Rating: average (53%)

    The chart and table below show the historical performance of moderate model portfolios employing strategic and tactical asset allocation strategies (SAA and TAA, both provided by MyPlanIQ). For comparison purpose, we also include the moderate model portfolios of a typical 3 asset SIB (Simpler Is Better) plan. This SIB plan has the following candidate index funds and their ETFs equivalent:

    US Equity :SPY or VTI 
    Foreign Equity :EFA or VEU
    Fixed Income :AGG or BND

    Performance chart (as of Oct 29, 2010)

    Performance table (as of Oct 29, 2010)

    The Kellogg 401K plan beats the 3 core asset SIB based on the quality of the funds and the ability to select multiple funds in the US category.

    If we now compare it with a four asset ETF SIB it is possible to see the benefit of having the extra asset class even without the benefit of multiple funds in each asset class.



    Even with excellent choices of funds, the returns can be beaten by a simple ETF portfolio with an extra asset class.

    Kellogg gets strong marks for the choice of funds but are encouraged to add another asset class (or two) to really provide additional returns to their employees. 

    labels:investment,

    Symbols:SPY,VTI,EFA,VEU,AGG,BND,VT,CIU,BIV,GWL,PFA,IVE,IWW,JKF,VTV,ELV,PWV,RPV,SCHV,IVV,IYY,IWV,VV,DLN,RSP,SCHX,IVW,IWZ,JKE,VUG,ELG,QQQQ,RPG,SCHG,IJS,IWN,JKL,VBR,DSV,PWY,RZV,UVT,IJT,IWO,JKK,VBK,DSG,PWT,RZG,UKK,

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  • Ford Motor Company 401K Plan: Diversified and High Quality

    10/24/2010

    In this article, we will discuss Ford Motor 401K 

     

    Ford Motor Company (Ticker: F) designs, develops, manufactures, and services cars and trucks worldwide. It operates in two sectors, Automotive and Financial Services. Ford Motor Company was founded in 1903 and is based in Dearborn, Michigan. Ford is one of the pioneers in automobile industry.

    Ford Motor 401K's 401K plan consists of 24 funds. These funds enable participants to gain exposure to 4 major assets: Us Equity , Foreign Equity ,REITs, Fixed Income . The list of minor asset classes covered:

    Foreign Large Blend: EFA , VEU , GWL , PFA
    Foreign Small/mid Growth: IFSM , VSS , SCHC
    Global Real Estate: IFGL , RWX
    Inflation-protected Bond: TIP
    Intermediate-term Bond: AGG , CIU , BIV , BND
    Large Blend: IVV , IYY , IWV , VTI , VV , SPY , DLN , RSP , SCHX
    Large Growth: IVW , IWZ , JKE , VUG , ELG , QQQQ , RPG , SCHG
    Mid-cap Blend: IJH , IWR , JKG , VO , MDY , EMM , PJG , DON , EZM , MVV
    Retirement Income:
    Small Blend: IJR , IWM , JKJ , VB , DSC , PJM , DES , SAA , UWM , SCHA
    Target Date 2016-2020: TZG
    Target Date 2026-2030: TZL
    Target Date 2036-2040: TZV
    Target Date 2050+:
    World Stock: IOO , VT

    As of Oct 22, 2010, this plan investment choice is rated as Above Average based on MyPlanIQ Plan Rating methodology that was designed to measure how effective a plan's available investment funds are . It has the following detailed ratings:

    Diversification -- Rated as above average (76%)
    Fund Quality -- Rated as above average (69%)
    Portfolio Building -- Rated as above average (71%)
    Overall Rating: above average (72%)

    The Fund Quality ranking is very reasonable. Its selection includes Fidelity Contrafund, Neuberger Berman Genesis Instl and Royce funds. 

    The chart and table below show the historical performance of moderate model portfolios employing strategic and tactical asset allocation strategies ( SAA and TAA , both provided by MyPlanIQ). For comparison purpose, we also include the moderate model portfolios of a typical 4 asset SIB (Simpler Is Better) plan . This SIB plan has the following candidate index funds and their ETFs equivalent:

    Us Equity:( SPY or VTI )
    Foreign Equity:( EFA or VEU )
    Reits:( IYR or VNQ or ICF )
    Fixed Income:( AGG or BND )

    Performance chart (as of Oct 22, 2010)

    Performance table (as of Oct 22, 2010)

    Currently, asset classes in Us Equity( SPY , VTI ) , Foreign Equity( EFA , VEU ) , REITs ( IYR , VNQ , ICF ) and Fixed Income( AGG , BND ) are doing relatively well. These asset classes are available to Ford Motor 401K participants.

    To summarize, Ford Motor 401K plan provides above average choices to its plan participants. As one of the major automobile manufacturers, Ford employees can benefit from such a plan to support their retirement needs.

     

    labels:investment,

    Symbols:F,SPY,VTI,EFA,VEU,IYR,VNQ,ICF,AGG,BND,CIU,BIV,GWL,PFA,IFGL,RWX,TZG,TZL,TZV,IVV,IYY,IWV,VV,DLN,RSP,SCHX,IOO,VT,IVW,IWZ,JKE,VUG,ELG,QQQQ,RPG,SCHG,IJH,IWR,JKG,VO,MDY,EMM,PJG,DON,EZM,MVV,IFSM,VSS,SCHC,IJR,IWM,JKJ,VB,DSC,PJM,DES,SAA,UWM,SCHA,TIP,ETF,Portfolio,Building,401K,

     

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  • TD Ameritrade Commission Free ETF’s Empowers Both Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation

    10/19/2010

    The recent news that TD Ameritrade are providing over 100 ETF’s commission free is a perfect fit for a retirement portfolio. Investors are able to trade once a month and pick from a wide range of ETF’s without incurring any trading fees. Combine this with an IRA where the tax consequences of trading are removed and you have an almost ideal scenario and back tested returns demonstrate the point.


    There is a continuing dilemma between wanting to increase returns while mitigating downside risk against the perceived risk of adopting a tactical asset allocation strategy. It is clear that tactical asset allocation consistently delivers higher returns at a lower risk. At the same time many are uncomfortable moving away from buy and hold which has been the mantra over the past twenty years.

    In a previous article we introduced the notion of a core-satellite portfolio where the assets are split between tactical and strategic asset allocation strategies as a way of introducing tactical asset allocation in a step-by-step fashion.

    TD Ameritrade making so many ETF’s available commission free allows another alternative to be considered and that is maintaining classic strategic asset allocation – i.e. all asset classes are fully represented at all times but with so many funds in each class, use fund momentum to rotate styles such that the funds in each asset class are regularly optimized.
     

    Category
    Jan-08
    Jan-09
    Jan-10
    Apr-10
    Jul-10
    Oct-10
    US Equities
    IWN
    VUG, MGK
    IWN
    VIG
    IWS
    VO
    International Equities
    EWJ
    EWG
    EWJ
    EWA
    AAXJ
    AAXJ
    Emerging Markets
    EWZ
    EWZ
    EWZ
    ILF
    VWO
    VWO
    Real Estate
    VNQ
    VNQ
    VNQ
    VNQ
    VNQ
    VNQ
    Commodities
    DBC
    DBC
    DBC
    DBC
    DBC
    DBC
    Balanced Fund
    AOK
     
    AOK
    AOK
    AOK
    AOK
    Fixed Income
    SHY, WIP, JNK
    SHM, BWX
    SHY, WIP, JNK
    VCSH, BWX, JNK
    CASH, AGG, JNK
    CASH, AGG, JNK

     
    We used the MyPlanIQ system to build and monitor a moderate risk (40% fixed income) strategic asset allocation portfolio. With five risk based asset classes, each of those classes would have 12% of the assets dedicated to them but the funds would be evaluated every month and the optimal fund selected based on the momentum within the class.

    This can be compared with a Six asset SIB for which there is just one fund in each asset class.



    From the performance chart, it is clear that there is increased upside potential from being able to switch funds within an asset class. Unfortunately, there is less ability to minimize downside risk when an asset class is under downward pressure.
    Despite this, for those who want to stay with a buy and hold in terms of asset classes, using this approach can squeeze some extra returns from the strategy.
     





    With the large number of funds in six asset classes, momentum based asset allocation can be seen in its best light.

    Portfolio Performance Comparison

    Portfolio Name
    1Yr AR
    1Yr Sharpe
    3Yr AR
    3Yr Sharpe
    5Yr AR
    5Yr Sharpe
    13%
    87%
    13%
    86%
    20%
    128%
    10%
    83%
    -1%
    -6%
    9%
    46%
    11%
    93%
    1%
    5%
    8%
    40%

     
     
    Takeaways
    • ETF’s provide the basis for an outstanding portfolio with either strategic or tactical asset allocation. This is clearly demonstrated with TD’s wide range of commission free funds
    • Using a web based application takes a lot of the effort from finding the best funds for either strategy
    • Strategic asset allocation with styles rotation can deliver solid results using a well trusted strategy
    • Tactical asset allocation greatly benefits from the large number of funds

     

    labels:investment,

    Symbols:GSG,DBC,AOK,EEM,GMM,PXH,DEM,SCHE,PCY,VTI,VT,IEV,VGK,PEF,DEB,EFA,VEU,GWL,PFA,EFG,EFV,PID,DWM,IFSM,VSS,SCHC,SCZ,IFGL,RWX,HYG,JNK,PHB,TIP,IEI,VGIT,ITE,AGG,CIU,BIV,BND,EWJ,JPP,PJO,DXJ,IVV,IYY,IWV,VV,SPY,DLN,RSP,SCHX,IVW,IWZ,JKE,VUG,ELG,QQQQ,RPG,SCHG,IVE,IWW,Commission,Free,ETFs,Strategic,Asset,Allocation,Tactical,Asset,Allocation,Asset,Allocation,styles,rotation,


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  • Apple 401K: A Great Company with an Average Retirement Plan

    10/19/2010

  • Bernstein's No Brainer and Smart Money Portfolios Reviewed

    10/08/2010

  • Diversification, Style AND Asset Rotation Improve Portfolio Performance without Incurring Extra Risk

    10/08/2010

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