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5 Dividend Stocks Not To Buy
live (public) 0.00% June 30
As the focus on dividend stocks remains, there may be a concern as to
whether there is a dividend bubble being created. Matt Koppenheffer of
the Motley Fool sets out to address this issue. He claims there is no dividend bubble.
He found that on average dividend stocks in the S&P 500 currently
have a higher yield, a lower valuation, and a lower payout ratio than
they've had over the past 10 years. He concludes that while there may be
individual stocks that are over priced, this is not generally true.
On the back of this, Matt goes on to select five dividend stocks to buy and five to avoid.
Here are those who have high valuations and high (unsustainable?) payout ratios.
Company | Dividend Yield | Enterprise Value / Operating Income | Payout Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Company (SO) | 4.3% | 14.0 | 72.7% |
| ONEOK (OKS) | 3.0% | 12.3 | 63.0% |
| Plum Creek Timber (PCL) | 4.3% | 26.8 | 140.9% |
| Kimco Realty (KIM) | 4.1% | 28.5 | 267.4% |
| Ventas (VTR) | 4.4% | 41.0 | 143.0% |
These companies are in energy (Southern, ONEOK) and real estate which is much more focused.
| Asset | Fund in this portfolio | Price change* | Percentage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Asset1 | SO (Southern Company) | 0.85% | 0.08% |
| Asset1 | OKS (Oneok Partners LP) | 0.63% | 0.08% |
| Asset1 | PCL (Plum Creek Timber Company. Inc) | 99.61% | |
| Asset1 | KIM (Kimco Realty Corporation) | 2.19% | 0.04% |
| Asset1 | VTR (Ventas Inc) | 0.39% | 0.19% |
| CASH | CASH (CASH) | 0.0% | 0.00% |
* Day change on 06/30/2017.
Previous
Since 10/24/2003
| Name | YTD* Return |
1Yr AR** |
3Yr AR** |
5Yr AR** |
10Yr AR** |
15Yr AR** |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Dividend Stocks Not To Buy | -8.0% | 0.9% | 495.5% | 200.0% | 79.0% | |
| VFINX (Vanguard (S&P 500) Index) | 6.6% | 24.7% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 14.5% |
| VBINX (Vanguard Balance (60% stocks/40% bonds) | 1.8% | 12.7% | 2.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% |
* YTD: Year to Date
** AR: Annualized Return
| Last 1 Week* | 1 Yr | 3 Yr | 5 Yr | 10 Yr | Since 10/24/2003 |
2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annualized Return(%) | -0.0 | 0.9 | 495.5 | 200.0 | 79.0 | 60.9 | 0.9 | 23065.9 | -9.9 | 10.7 | 0.1 | 13.8 | 0.7 | 24.2 | 20.1 | -23.0 | 4.9 | 34.4 | 7.7 | 29.1 | 10.9 |
| Sharpe Ratio | NA | -18.78 | 1.48 | 0.72 | 0.33 | 0.27 | -6.1 | 41.73 | -1.61 | -0.73 | -1.17 | -0.44 | -0.69 | 0.29 | 0.04 | -0.81 | -0.84 | 0.94 | -0.96 | 0.61 | 0.59 |
| Draw Down(%) | NA | 0.1 | 28.3 | 28.3 | 54.4 | 54.4 | 0.1 | 13.4 | 26.3 | 7.8 | 20.3 | 6.4 | 27.3 | 11.7 | 35.0 | 48.4 | 17.2 | 7.0 | 9.6 | 16.2 | 3.9 |
| Standard Deviation(%) | NA | 1.0 | 319.0 | 247.8 | 176.8 | 151.3 | 1.3 | 551.9 | 17.7 | 10.7 | 15.7 | 10.9 | 25.9 | 19.4 | 40.9 | 52.4 | 20.5 | 12.9 | 13.8 | 15.6 | 10.9 |
| Treynor Ratio | NA | -42.53 | 0.07 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 0.05 | -14.37 | 1.11 | -0.44 | -0.19 | -0.2 | -0.08 | -0.22 | 0.06 | 0.01 | -0.38 | -0.17 | 0.14 | -0.15 | 0.14 | 0.1 |
| Alpha | NA | -2.12 | 122.38 | 66.45 | 14.96 | 11.05 | -2.23 | 319.67 | -0.65 | -0.02 | -0.2 | -0.01 | -0.01 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.13 | 0.01 | 0.06 | -0.05 | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| Beta | NA | 0.0 | 70.39 | 46.75 | 9.19 | 8.44 | 0.01 | 206.82 | 0.64 | 0.41 | 0.92 | 0.6 | 0.82 | 0.94 | 1.32 | 1.11 | 1.0 | 0.86 | 0.9 | 0.67 | 0.66 |
| RSquared | NA | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.01 | 0.32 | 0.19 | 0.42 | 0.49 | 0.57 | 0.76 | 0.77 | 0.75 | 0.6 | 0.44 | 0.45 | 0.22 | 0.4 |
| Sortino Ratio | NA | -0.09 | 2.97 | 1.25 | 0.53 | 0.4 | -0.04 | 157.54 | -0.16 | -0.64 | -0.12 | -0.41 | -0.76 | 0.04 | 0.05 | -1.07 | -0.99 | 0.99 | -0.1 | 0.63 | 0.6 |
| Yield(%) | N/A | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.11 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Dividend Growth(%) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
*: NOT annualized;YTD: Year to Date
**Inception: starting from 10/24/2003
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