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Fools Safer Alternative to Bonds

live (public) 1.81% May 01

With the current turbulence in the market, our observations of the current global asset trends are:

  • Gold and international bonds and treasury bonds are at the top
  • Commodity (DBC) is now above its 200 day simple average, as is agriculture commodity (DBA)
  • Precious metals and commodities are the only risk asset that still above cash but ranked below U.S. total bond index (BND).
  • All other risk assets (U.S. stocks, international stocks, emerging market and frontier stocks, REITs and high yield bonds) are now ranked lower than cash (SHV)

With this backdrop, dividends remain a key aspect of analysis. Dividends are the key link between corporate fundamentals and fear-induced stock prices. Strong dividends linked to fundamentally sound companies are critical to riding out this current wave of fear and uncertainty.

Jonas Elmerraji reviews a select group of the stocks that declared dividend increases the previous week

His list is

  • News Corp.(NWSA)
  • SunTrust Banks(STI)
  • Torchmark (TMK)
  • Buckeye Partners(BPL)
  • Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG)
  • Kinross Gold (KGC
  • Ritchie Bros. Auctioneers(RBA)


This is an interesting list of companies that we haven't reviewed before. This gives variety of market sements -- entertainment, banking, insurance, oil, gold, household and agricultural. Intuitively, this should be a set of segments that should ride out the current turbulence well.

Note that we are not recommending this selection, we are measuring what Jonas is recommending, but it is an interesting group.

Holdings (As of 05/01/2024)
Asset Fund in this portfolio Price change* Percentage
Asset1 CIM (Chimera Investment Corporation) 3.16% 6.55%
Asset1 EXC (Exelon Corporation) 0.69% 4.57%
Asset1 INTC (Intel Corporation) 0.33% 10.47%
Asset1 JNJ (Johnson & Johnson) 4.56% 21.01%
Asset1 NGG (National Grid PLC ADR) 0.71% 9.54%
Asset1 NLY (Annaly Capital Management Inc) 1.23% 26.52%
Asset1 SO (Southern Company) 1.39% 20.42%
CASH CASH (CASH) 0.0% 0.92%

* Day change on 05/01/2024.

Monthly Holding Date: Total Transaction Times So Far:
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Holdings

Transactions

Performance (As of 05/01/2024)

Since 11/29/2007

Name YTD*
Return
1Yr
AR**
3Yr
AR**
5Yr
AR**
10Yr
AR**
15Yr
AR**
Fools Safer Alternative to Bonds -6.1% 1.3% 3.0% 2.6% 5.7% 8.1%
VFINX (Vanguard (S&P 500) Index) 6.6% 24.7% 8.1% 13.4% 12.4% 14.6%
VBINX (Vanguard Balance (60% stocks/40% bonds) 2.6% 14.0% 2.5% 7.6% 7.6% 9.7%

*   YTD: Year to Date
**  AR: Annualized Return
Last 1 Week* YTD*(2024) 1 Yr 3 Yr 5 Yr 10 Yr 15 Yr Since
11/29/2007
2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
Annualized Return(%) -0.2 -6.1 1.3 3.0 2.6 5.7 8.1 4.7 9.4 -0.9 20.0 -14.5 19.1 -6.3 13.0 9.4 12.8 19.7 8.3 0.4 10.7 8.7 13.4 -29.4 3.7
Sharpe Ratio NA -0.48 -0.17 0.04 0.04 0.24 NA 0.2 0.32 -0.08 1.6 -0.41 1.87 -0.57 1.55 0.78 0.55 2.1 0.73 0.04 0.71 0.65 0.63 -0.75 0.27
Draw Down(%) NA 10.6 14.8 21.5 39.5 39.5 NA 44.6 14.8 21.5 4.5 39.5 8.9 10.7 5.0 9.2 9.5 5.3 11.6 10.2 9.7 9.8 22.4 41.1 2.8
Standard Deviation(%) NA 15.1 14.9 19.3 22.6 18.9 NA 19.6 15.7 26.7 12.5 36.2 9.4 13.4 8.0 11.8 23.3 9.4 11.4 8.7 15.0 13.3 21.1 40.1 13.1
Treynor Ratio NA -0.14 -0.03 0.01 0.01 0.08 NA 0.21 0.06 -0.04 0.28 -0.16 0.34 -0.59 -1.74 1.16 -10.57 21.3 -1.89 -0.06 -1.06 -0.9 -0.85 1.25 -0.23
Alpha NA -0.11 -0.05 0.0 -0.02 0.0 NA 0.02 -0.04 0.06 0.0 -0.11 0.01 -0.02 0.05 0.03 0.06 0.07 0.04 0.01 0.05 0.04 0.08 -0.15 0.17
Beta NA 0.54 0.74 0.66 0.8 0.6 NA 0.19 0.84 0.62 0.72 0.93 0.52 0.13 -0.07 0.08 -0.01 0.01 -0.04 -0.05 -0.1 -0.1 -0.16 -0.24 -0.16
RSquared NA 0.18 0.34 0.34 0.56 0.31 NA 0.04 0.49 0.3 0.57 0.8 0.47 0.03 0.0 0.01 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.04
Sortino Ratio NA -0.61 -0.23 0.06 0.06 0.36 NA 0.29 0.46 -0.15 2.31 -0.53 2.65 -0.76 2.21 1.06 1.38 3.2 1.09 0.05 0.98 0.91 0.88 -1.05 0.42
Yield(%) N/A 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 N/A 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.65 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Dividend Growth(%) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

*: NOT annualized;YTD: Year to Date
**Inception: starting from 11/29/2007

Commission Fee ($ per transaction)      Long Term Tax Rate (%)
Short Term Tax Rate (%)      Monthly Withdraw ($)
Monthly Deposit ($)      Tax on Withdraw (%)
Initial Amount ($)      Estimation Method
The start date of the charts is 11/29/2007 when all charts have data
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