- Portfolio Overview
- Holdings
- Performance
- Calculators
- Rolling Returns
- Drawdowns
Portfolio Overview
Using total return bond fund portfolio P_46880 (Schwab Total Return Bond) as cash. See portfolio P Shiller Cyclically Adjusted PE 10 SO SU Stock Market Timing Strategy Weekly that uses cash. Equity fund is S&P 500 (SPY).
If CAPE10 > 1.5, sell SPY and buy P_46880 (Schwab Total Return Bond)
Else if CAPE10 < 0.83, sell P_46880 (Schwab Total Return Bond) and buy SPY
Also see newsletter April 13, 2015: Total Return Bond Funds As Smart Cash for the discussion on using total return bond fund portfolio as cash substitute.
Holdings
Historical Performance
The return data shown below all delayed by 3 months. Their latest dates are all the same: 08/31/2021.
AR inception is since 07/01/2001.
AR inception is since 07/01/2001.
| Name | YTD Return | 1Yr AR | 3Yr AR | 5Yr AR | 10Yr AR | 15Yr AR | 20Yr AR | Inception |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P Shiller Cyclically Adjusted PE 10 SO SU Stock Market Timing Strategy Weekly Total Return Bond Funds As Cash | NA | 7.81% | 8.25% | 6.38% | 9.02% | 10.46% | 10.65% | 10.81% |
| VFINX (VANGUARD 500 INDEX FUND INVESTOR SHARES) | NA | 31.33% | 18.08% | 17.96% | 16.22% | 10.80% | 9.20% | 8.73% |
| VSMGX (VANGUARD LIFESTRATEGY MODERATE GROWTH FUND INVESTOR SHARES) | NA | 17.69% | 10.53% | 9.80% | 8.43% | 6.52% | 6.58% | 6.40% |
| Ticker/Portfolio | Last 1 Week | 1 Yr | 3 Yr | 5 Yr | 10 Yr | 15 Yr | 20 Yr | Inception | YTD | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 | 1996 | 1995 | 1994 | 1993 | 1992 | 1991 | 1990 | 1989 | 1988 | 1987 | 1986 | 1985 | 1984 | 1983 | 1982 | 1981 | 1980 | 1979 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annualized Return (%) | P Shiller Cyc...s As Cash | 0.33 | 7.81 | 8.25 | 6.38 | 9.02 | 10.46 | 10.65 | 10.81 | NA | NA | NA | NA | 3.61 | 10.21 | 10.46 | -0.83 | 8.56 | 7.47 | -1.34 | 5.25 | 28.98 | 15.99 | 1.89 | 15.06 | 49.95 | -1.67 | 8.69 | 11.00 | 4.01 | 7.60 | 28.84 | 8.25 | 4.93 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| VFINX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | 0.84 | 31.33 | 18.08 | 17.96 | 16.22 | 10.80 | 9.20 | 8.73 | NA | 24.84 | 26.12 | -18.24 | 28.53 | 18.74 | 31.33 | -4.55 | 21.66 | 11.83 | 1.23 | 13.52 | 32.17 | 15.82 | 1.96 | 14.91 | 26.52 | -37.02 | 5.39 | 15.64 | 4.77 | 10.74 | 28.50 | -22.17 | -12.03 | -9.05 | 21.08 | 28.62 | 33.18 | 22.87 | 37.45 | 1.18 | 10.15 | 8.24 | 32.05 | -3.33 | 28.37 | 14.92 | 3.97 | 9.30 | 22.60 | 3.67 | 17.07 | 19.25 | -8.55 | 27.89 | -2.07 | |
| VSMGX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | 0.53 | 17.69 | 10.53 | 9.80 | 8.43 | 6.52 | 6.58 | 6.40 | NA | 10.28 | 15.51 | -16.01 | 10.08 | 13.59 | 19.30 | -6.28 | 14.86 | 7.09 | -2.21 | 6.38 | 14.73 | 9.78 | 0.12 | 13.14 | 20.35 | -26.49 | 7.21 | 13.30 | 5.68 | 11.76 | 22.40 | -10.34 | -4.78 | 1.27 | 14.09 | 21.59 | 17.90 | 10.77 | 26.58 | 2.04 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
| Sharpe Ratio | P Shiller Cyc...s As Cash | NA | 2.03 | 1.79 | 1.60 | 1.21 | NA | NA | 0.99 | NA | NA | NA | NA | 0.99 | 1.91 | 2.38 | -1.22 | 3.20 | 2.02 | -0.42 | 1.74 | 2.70 | 1.25 | 0.08 | 0.83 | 2.16 | -0.36 | 1.30 | 2.23 | 0.59 | 0.94 | 5.30 | 1.73 | 0.76 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| VFINX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | 0.19 | 0.53 | 0.74 | 0.57 | NA | NA | 0.44 | -0.44 | 1.44 | 1.69 | -0.81 | 2.17 | 0.53 | 2.40 | -0.34 | 3.16 | 0.89 | 0.08 | 1.19 | 2.90 | 1.25 | 0.08 | 0.82 | 0.97 | -0.92 | 0.15 | 1.24 | 0.25 | 0.88 | 1.63 | -0.90 | -0.68 | -0.59 | 0.98 | 1.24 | 1.62 | 1.63 | 4.33 | -0.18 | 0.91 | 0.58 | 1.92 | -0.53 | 1.73 | 0.60 | 0.00 | 0.31 | 1.49 | -0.24 | 0.80 | 0.65 | -1.27 | 1.19 | -3.84 | |
| VSMGX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | 0.17 | 0.37 | 0.50 | 0.40 | NA | NA | 0.49 | 0.18 | 0.48 | 1.37 | -1.22 | 1.32 | 0.70 | 2.78 | -0.86 | 3.76 | 0.83 | -0.26 | 1.01 | 2.16 | 1.23 | 0.01 | 1.18 | 1.12 | -0.98 | 0.41 | 1.36 | 0.50 | 1.49 | 2.09 | -0.75 | -0.58 | -0.23 | 1.08 | 1.57 | 1.57 | 0.93 | 4.20 | 4.63 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
| Standard Deviation(%) | P Shiller Cyc...s As Cash | NA | 3.50 | 4.20 | 3.61 | 6.79 | NA | NA | 9.82 | NA | NA | NA | NA | 3.63 | 5.22 | 3.81 | 1.75 | 2.48 | 3.59 | 3.29 | 3.01 | 10.73 | 12.73 | 23.10 | 17.94 | 23.10 | 7.13 | 4.37 | 3.46 | 3.12 | 7.07 | 5.31 | 4.12 | 5.37 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| VFINX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | 19.31 | 18.07 | 17.83 | 18.44 | NA | NA | 18.11 | 27.25 | 12.67 | 13.09 | 24.19 | 13.11 | 34.69 | 12.48 | 17.11 | 6.68 | 13.11 | 15.51 | 11.39 | 11.07 | 12.74 | 23.36 | 18.07 | 27.22 | 40.99 | 16.02 | 10.04 | 10.29 | 11.10 | 17.04 | 25.96 | 21.55 | 22.20 | 18.17 | 20.48 | 18.21 | 11.77 | 7.77 | 9.92 | 8.83 | 9.93 | 14.69 | 16.06 | 13.09 | 17.07 | 33.80 | 16.55 | 11.67 | 12.80 | 13.62 | 18.09 | 14.61 | 16.53 | 23.80 | |
| VSMGX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | 10.32 | 10.59 | 10.31 | 10.39 | NA | NA | 11.50 | 13.84 | 7.69 | 8.26 | 14.34 | 7.62 | 19.08 | 6.43 | 8.81 | 3.80 | 8.31 | 8.51 | 6.28 | 6.80 | 7.99 | 14.68 | 11.10 | 18.01 | 27.95 | 10.37 | 7.43 | 6.96 | 7.25 | 10.38 | 15.37 | 12.42 | 12.30 | 10.07 | 11.65 | 9.10 | 7.74 | 5.41 | 15.57 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
| Draw Down(%) | P Shiller Cyc...s As Cash | NA | 2.22 | 7.82 | 7.82 | 9.69 | NA | NA | 18.61 | NA | NA | NA | NA | 2.22 | 7.82 | 2.37 | 1.75 | 0.93 | 3.38 | 3.64 | 3.49 | 5.55 | 9.69 | 18.61 | 15.70 | 12.57 | 7.29 | 3.09 | 2.91 | 2.81 | 7.56 | 6.18 | 5.11 | 4.14 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| VFINX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | 18.76 | 18.76 | 24.59 | 33.83 | NA | NA | 55.25 | 18.76 | 8.45 | 9.97 | 24.59 | 5.14 | 33.83 | 6.63 | 19.40 | 2.60 | 10.29 | 12.05 | 7.30 | 5.59 | 9.60 | 18.71 | 15.66 | 27.17 | 47.73 | 9.88 | 7.47 | 7.01 | 7.47 | 13.79 | 33.02 | 29.18 | 16.55 | 11.81 | 19.20 | 10.79 | 7.45 | 2.50 | 8.48 | 4.84 | 5.63 | 5.57 | 19.19 | 7.35 | 7.24 | 33.08 | 11.63 | 7.51 | 10.58 | 7.02 | 13.21 | 15.61 | 16.03 | 2.40 | |
| VSMGX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | 9.62 | 12.88 | 22.29 | 22.43 | NA | NA | 41.18 | 9.62 | 4.17 | 8.15 | 21.74 | 3.53 | 22.43 | 3.12 | 11.47 | 1.14 | 6.20 | 8.34 | 4.70 | 5.67 | 6.27 | 12.90 | 8.64 | 19.61 | 36.81 | 6.11 | 6.13 | 4.74 | 5.89 | 8.91 | 20.06 | 17.93 | 8.77 | 6.26 | 11.99 | 6.02 | 4.75 | 1.82 | 1.89 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
| Yield(%) | P Shiller Cyc...s As Cash | NA | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.47 | NA | NA | 0.55 | NA | NA | NA | NA | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.63 | 2.45 | 2.04 | 2.01 | 2.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| VFINX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
| VSMGX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
P Shiller Cyclically Adjusted PE 10 SO SU Stock Market Timing Strategy Weekly Total Return Bond Funds As Cash Return Calculator
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Calculators
Dollar Cost Average Calculator for P Shiller Cyclically Adjusted PE 10 SO SU Stock Market Timing Strategy Weekly Total Return Bond Funds As Cash
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Retirement Spending Calculator for P Shiller Cyclically Adjusted PE 10 SO SU Stock Market Timing Strategy Weekly Total Return Bond Funds As Cash
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Rolling Returns
From 07/01/2001 to 11/04/2021, the worst annualized return of 3-year rolling returns for P Shiller Cyclically Adjusted PE 10 SO SU Stock Market Timing Strategy Weekly Total Return Bond Funds As Cash is 3.08%.
From 07/01/2001 to 11/04/2021, the worst annualized return of 5-year rolling returns for P Shiller Cyclically Adjusted PE 10 SO SU Stock Market Timing Strategy Weekly Total Return Bond Funds As Cash is 3.35%.
From 07/01/2001 to 11/04/2021, the worst annualized return of 10-year rolling returns for P Shiller Cyclically Adjusted PE 10 SO SU Stock Market Timing Strategy Weekly Total Return Bond Funds As Cash is 7.76%.
Maximum Drawdown
P Shiller Cyclically Adjusted PE 10 SO SU Stock Market Timing Strategy Weekly Total Return Bond Funds As Cash Maximum Drawdown