Riding High with Global Economy, International REITs Offer Currency and Inflation Hedge

03/10/2011 0 comments

 Among dividend paying equity ETFs, REITs continue to out perform other dividend stock ETFs. Both international (RWX) and US REITs (IYR, VNQ) are ranked at the top two spots in the following trend score table. This trend has lasted several months now. For more detailed performance, please refer to here

Assets Class Symbols 03/09
Trend
Score
03/02
Trend
Score
Direction
SPDR DJ Wilshire Intl Real Estate RWX 9.74% 10.04% v
iShares Dow Jones US Real Estate IYR 9.61% 10.0% v
SPDR S&P 500 SPY 9.41% 10.12% v
Vanguard Dividend Appreciation VIG 9.2% 9.09% ^
Vanguard High Dividend Yield Indx VYM 9.15% 9.39% v
iShares Dow Jones Select Dividend Index DVY 8.42% 7.38% ^
First Trust Value Line Dividend Index FVD 8.22% 7.75% ^
WisdomTree Emerging Market Equity Income DEM 8.12% 7.59% ^
iShares Dow Jones Intl Select Div Idx IDV 8.05% 9.23% v
SPDR S&P Dividend SDY 7.95% 7.14% ^
PowerShares Intl Dividend Achievers PID 7.84% 9.12% v
PowerShares HighYield Dividend Achievers PEY 7.11% 6.33% ^
iShares MSCI EAFE Index EFA 6.48% 8.35% v
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index EEM 6.3% 5.21% ^
iShares S&P U.S. Preferred Stock Index PFF 3.38% 3.4% v

The trend score is defined as the average of 1,4,13,26 and 52 week total returns (including dividend reinvested).

International REITs (RWX, DRW, IFGL) have risen along with global economic recovery. The sector suffered staggering loss in 2008: SPDR Dow Jones Intl Real Estate (RWX) had 51% loss, WisdomTree International Real Estate (DRW)  -57% and iShares FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Dev Real Estate(IFGL)  -52%. Since then, the sector has recovered dramatically, though from the following table, they still have negative annual returns in the last 3 years. 


As of 3/04/2011

Description Symbol 1 Yr 3 Yr 5 Yr Avg. Volume(K) 1 Yr Sharpe
SPDR Dow Jones Intl Real Estat RWX 24.45% -3.57% NA 312 106.56%
iShares FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Dev Real Estate IFGL 13.32% -5.29% NA 66 65.6%
SPDR Dow Jones Global Real Estate RWO 27.78% NA NA 71 144.86%
iShares S&P Dev ex-US Property WPS 16.81% -4.01% NA 20 79.7%
WisdomTree International Real Estate DRW 22.25% -3.97% NA 32 99.26%    


In the current economic cycle, barring from an abrupt economic slowdown, international REITs offer the following advantages:
  • They offer  international diversification, both among risk equity assets and REITs. 
  • They offer inflation hedge: traditionally, REITs are reasonably anti-inflation: as landlords, the real estate operators can raise rents when inflation rises. 
  • They offer dollar hedge: in the era of dollar depreciation due to high debt in the U.S., REITs abroad make perfect sense. 
If we dig deeper on the holdings of SPDR Dow Jones REITs (RWX), we can see its top ten holdings:
 

Fund Country Weights
As of  03/08/2011
Japan 18.45%
Australia 18.36%
United Kingdom 13.42%
Hong Kong 12.74%
France 9.35%
Canada 9.15%
Singapore 7.09%
Austria 2.30%
Netherlands 2.21%
Switzerland 2.13%


The top two countries Japan and Australia have strong currencies agaist U.S. dollars. This does bode well with the long term dollar weakness. 

In conclusions, international REITs offer several advantages in building a portfolio. As always, the view should be taken in an overall asset allocation strategy. This is especially true in today's highly overvalued and overbought markets. 

Symbols: RWX,SPY,IYR,VIG,IDV,VYM,EEM,PID,EFA,FVD,DVY,PEY,SDY,PFF,

Disclosure:

MyPlanIQ does not have any business relationship with the company or companies mentioned in this article. It does not set up their retirement plans. The performance data of portfolios mentioned above are obtained through historical simulation and are hypothetical.



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