ETF Based Major Asset Class Trend Indicators For The Week of November 15

11/15/2010 0 comments

Last week, MyPlanIQ initiated tracking major asset classes trend movement. These asset trends provide insights into underlying economic and market segments and are critical to tactical asset allocation strategies. We use ETFs that represent the asset class indices. For more information, please visit MyPlanIQ 360 Degree Market View.
 
Now that the QE2 initiative is "old news", some of the bullishness has also evaporated. Without further policy initiatives or data showing strength in the economy, there will be concern that Wall Street's rally may be running out of fuel.

However, a week of positive data could give investors hard evidence to justify a rally that lifted the S&P 500 ~ 17% from the August 31 close to the 2010 closing high hit November 5.

There are some concerning signson the horizon and last week the major US indices all lost over 2%. This is reflected in the major asset class trend indicators which are all down even if the relative rankings are largely unchanged.

Description

Symbol

15-Nov Trend Score

Direction

8-Nov Trend Score

Frontier Market Stks

FRN

13%

v

20%

US Equity REITs

VNQ

9%

v

18%

Emerging Market Stks

VWO

9%

v

16%

Gold

GLD

9%

v

13%

International REITs

RWX

8%

v

15%

US Stocks

VTI

7%

v

10%

International Developed Stks

EFA

6%

v

9%

US High Yield Bonds

JNK

5%

v

8%

Commodities

GSG

5%

v

7%

Emerging Mkt Bonds

PCY

5%

v

9%

Intermediate Treasuries

IEF

3%

v

5%

International Treasury Bonds

BWX

3%

v

6%

US Credit Bonds

CFT

2%

v

4%

Mortgage Back Bonds

MBB

1%

v

2%

Total US Bonds

BND

1%

v

2%

Treasury Bills

SHV

0%

v

0%

Municipal Bonds

MUB

-1%

v

2%



Top Five Indicators


Emerging markets are going to react to the US market fluctuations and real estate is still edgy as it was a major cause of the current crisis. Gold is also down but much more heavily damped as it will continue to have strength based on inherent value and as currencies are under pressure.


Bottom Five Indicators


The bonds see some depression but are less volatile than the top asset classes.


In conclusion, the excitement from QE2 is over and we will see whether this down trend continues and we see a reversal towards more fixed income asset classes being desirable.

 

labels:investment,

Symbols:EEM,VNQ,FRN,VWO,IYR,ICF,GLD,RWX,VTI,SPY,IWM,PCY,EMB,JNK,HYG,PHB,EFA,VEU,IEF,TLT,GSG,DBC,DBA,CFT,BWX,MBB,BND,MUB,SHV,AGG,

 



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