ETF Based Major Asset Class Trend Indicators For The Week of November 8

11/08/2010 1 comments

MyPlanIQ tracks major asset classes trend movement. Major asset trends provide insights into underlying economic and market segments and are critical to tactical asset allocation strategies. We use ETFs that represent the asset class indices. For more information, please visitMyPlanIQ 360 Degree Market View.
 
The Fed announced $600 billion treasury purchase, the so called QE2 that pushed most risk assets price higher. Risk assets like emerging market stocks, foreign stocks, US stocks, REITs and commodities had risen higher even before the announcement, partly due to QE2 anticipation and partly due to perceived improved economic conditions.

It is also believed that QE2 will result in US dollar devaluation and that in turns has led so called ‘commodity stockpiling’ propelling Gold and other commodities (such as agricultural commodities) to continue their recent ascent.

The only major trend change worth watching is the prices of long term treasury bonds, especially 10+ years which have continued weakness. It illustrates the market's belief that in the longer term, the Fed's actions will result in higher inflation. 

Asset Class Symbol  8-Nov Trend Score Direction
US Equity REITs  VNQ  57% ^
Frontier Market Stks  FRN  47% ^
Emerging Market Stks  VWO  34% ^
Gold  GLD  32% v
International REITs  RWX  28% ^
US Stocks  VTI  25% ^
Emerging Mkt Bonds  PCY  20% ^
US High Yield Bonds  JNK  19% ^
International Developed Stks  EFA  15% ^
Intermediate Treasuries  IEF  14% ^
Commodities  GSG  11% ^
US Credit Bonds  CFT  11% v
International Treasury Bonds  BWX  8% ^
Mortgage Back Bonds  MBB  7% ^
Total US Bonds  BND  6% ^
Municipal Bonds  MUB  6% ^
Treasury Bills  SHV  0% ^


Top Five Indicators

US REITs have been very strong all year, defying the perception of a weak real estate market. Emerging market and frontier markets continue their recent strength. Gold is approaching its all time high.

Bottom Five Indicators


All the bottom five asset classes are fixed income, pointing to an increasing risk appetite. 

In conclusion, other than long term treasury bonds, assets exhibit their continuous trends and have become stronger since QE2 announcement.

 

labels:investment,

Symbols:EEM,VNQ,FRN,VWO,IYR,ICF,GLD,RWX,VTI,SPY,IWM,PCY,EMB,JNK,HYG,PHB,EFA,VEU,IEF,TLT,GSG,DBC,DBA,CFT,BWX,MBB,BND,MUB,SHV,AGG,




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