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Articles on IWV

  • How Plan Rating Stack up Against ETF Portfolios Returns -- Part 3

    11/03/2010

    Plan rating is a quick and easy way to get a read on a plan and what a portfolio built from the funds in the plan can deliver. This is not the whole story but is a rapid means of making an assessment.

    In this article we are comparing two sets of plans to expose what plan rating gives you and contrast it with backtested results.

    1. News Corp Versus New York Times have been separately reviewed and the purpose here is to compare their plan profile and compare the plan ranking.

    As of Oct 26, 2010 News Corp's plan and ratings summary is:

    Asset Class News Corp Funds New York Times Funds
    U.S. Equity Excluding Company Stock 3 6
    International Equity 2 2
    Emerging Markets 0 1
    Fixed Income Including Money Market 2 2
    Target Date Funds 0 11
    Plan Rating Attribute News Corp New York Times
    Diversification 4% 64%
    Fund Quality 49% 90%
    Portfolio Building 65% 31%
    Overall Rating 42% 59%

     

    Performance table (as of Oct 29, 2010)

    Portfolio Name1Yr AR1Yr Sharpe3Yr AR3Yr Sharpe5Yr AR5Yr Sharpe
    News America (News Corp) 401k Savings Plan Tactical Asset Allocation Moderate 8% 67% 6% 62% 10% 92%
    News America (News Corp) 401k Savings Plan Strategic Asset Allocation Moderate 11% 130% 3% 18% 7% 44%
    THE NEW YORK TIMES COMPANIES SUPPLEMENTAL RETIREMENT AND INVESTMENT PLAN Tactical Asset Allocation Moderate 10% 85% 7% 62% 13% 114%
    THE NEW YORK TIMES COMPANIES SUPPLEMENTAL RETIREMENT AND INVESTMENT PLAN Strategic Asset Allocation Moderate 14% 135% 1% 2% 7% 44%

    Currently, asset classes in US Equity ( SPY , VTI ) , Foreign Equity ( EFA , VEU ) and Fixed Income ( AGG , BND ) are doing relatively well. These asset

    2.  TD Ameritrade Versus Vanguard ETFs  have been separately reviewed and the purpose here is to compare their plan profile and compare the plan ranking.

    Asset Class TDA Funds Vanguard Funds
    U.S. Equity Excluding Company Stock 31 33
    International Equity 14 6
    Emerging Markets 11 1
    Real Estate 4 1
    Commodities 6 1
    Sectors 3 9
    Fixed Income Including Money Market 32 11
    Plan Attribute TDA Vanguard
    Diversification 95% 57%
    Fund Quality 26% 56%
    Portfolio Building 92% 51%
    Overall Rating 73% 54%

     

    Performance chart (as of Oct 25, 2010):

    Performance table (as of Oct 25, 2010):

    Portfolio Name1Yr AR1Yr Sharpe3Yr AR3Yr Sharpe5Yr AR5Yr Sharpe
    Vanguard 62 Tactical Asset Allocation Moderate 14% 93% 5% 33% 13% 81%
    Vanguard 62 Strategic Asset Allocation Moderate 17% 126% 2% 5% 8% 42%
    TD Ameritrade Commission Free ETFs Tactical Asset Allocation Moderate 14% 96% 13% 84% 20% 128%
    TD Ameritrade Commission Free ETFs Strategic Asset Allocation Moderate 10% 89% -1% -10% 8% 44%


    If we now compare ratings and five year performance we get the following graph:


    If we now normalize both sides 



    We can see that there is reasonable correlation between the plan rating and the five year return number.

    Note that this is not an exact science and there are many exceptions. In addition, this is not the whole story, just a means of assessing a plan and uncovering where there may be weaknesses in the long term.

    MyPlanIQ continues to improve the plan rating which is accessible to anybody at no cost.

    labels:investment,

    Symbols:SPY,VTI,EFA,VEU,EEM,VWO,AGG,BND,AOM,CIU,BIV,GWL,PFA,EFV,PID,DWM,TZD,TZE,TZG,TZI,TZO,TZL,TZV,IVV,IYY,IWV,VV,DLN,RSP,SCHX,IVW,IWZ,JKE,VUG,ELG,QQQQ,RPG,SCHG,IJR,IWM,JKJ,VB,DSC,PJM,DES,SAA,UWM,SCHA,GMM,PXH,DEM,SCHE,

     

     

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  • How Plan Rating Stack up Against ETF Portfolios Returns -- Part 2

    11/02/2010

    We are going to use our SIBs to explore plan rating so that it is clear how it works.

    We will use a six asset SIB that has Vanguard market funds and a six asset SIB that has Vanguard ETF's. Both have one fund per asset class.

    Asset Class Index SIB ETF SIB
    U.S. Equity Excluding Company Stock VTSMX VTI
    International Equity VGTSX VEU
    Emerging Markets VEIEX VWO
    Real Estate VGSIX VNQ
    Commodities DBC DBC
    Fixed Income Including Money Market VBMFX BND

    The current ratings given to each SIB are listed below.

    Plan Rating Attribute Index SIB ETF SIB
    Diversification 60% 60%
    Fund Quality 74% 39%
    Portfolio Building 85% 81%
    Overall Rating 74% 62%

     

     




    We base the Diversification score on nine asset classes: US Equity, International Equity, Fixed Income, Real Estate, Commodities, Emerging Markets, International Bonds, High Yield Bonds, Balanced Funds. For each asset class, except for US Equity, the diversification score is highest to plans having 4-5 funds in each asset class as this allows the investor to find and use the best funds. For an application like MyPlanIQ, the more funds the better because it can search efficiently through a large number of alternatives but that is not true in the general case. The US is treated as a special case where the sweetspot is 7-8 funds as there are more classes and more opportunities for non-correlated benefits. Each of these asset classes are combined to give the overall diversification score.

    Both SIBs score identically as they each have one fund in each asset class.
    We base Fund Quality score on 1Yr, 3Yr, 5Yr and Inception risk adjusted returns. We make a tradeoff between the recent and more distant past. As this is primarily for longer term investments we think that the three and five year returns are the most important and so have the highest weight.

    The ETF SIB scores considerably lower than the index funds and that is because many of them don't have a long history and so their historical component is zero. Whereas this is unlikely to returns performance, it is important to recognize that funds with a longer history and give them a measure of preference.
     
    We base the Portfolio Building score on how the funds can combine to give a robust portfolio with different classes and styles being able to interact to provide consistently good results in differing conditions. To achieve this, we use our own strategic asset allocation and tactical asset allocation strategies and perform a number of different simulations.

    Both SIBs score approximately the same. There are some differences in the individual behaviors of the funds that make a slight difference but not enough to be significant.

    Each one of these categories is then combined to create an overall score.

    Now let's see how the rating stacks up against historical returns.

    Performance chart (as of Oct 29, 2010)

    Performance table (as of Oct 29, 2010)

    Portfolio Name1Yr AR1Yr Sharpe3Yr AR3Yr Sharpe5Yr AR5Yr Sharpe
    Six Core Asset ETFs Tactical Asset Allocation Moderate 13% 87% 8% 57% 17% 114%
    Six Core Asset ETFs Strategic Asset Allocation Moderate 14% 104% 2% 6% 9% 42%
    Six Core Asset Index Funds Tactical Asset Allocation Moderate 11% 84% 8% 65% 15% 117%
    Six Core Asset Index Funds Strategic Asset Allocation Moderate 13% 113% 1% 2% 8% 40%

    As predicted, the index SIB performance is higher. If we compare the ratio of the TAA performance of the two SIB and the ratio of the performance of the Plan rating of the two SIBs we can see that the ratio of the rating and the 5 year returns follow a similar pattern -- more of this in the final article on this.


    We see that the 5 year returns of the ETF SIB is higher that it's overall rating would initially predict but that is to be expected as we know that the fund quality was impacted by its history which won't, in fact, impact the returns for the period of time it was available.

    labels:investment,

    Symbols:SPY,VTI,EFA,VEU,EEM,VWO,IYR,VNQ,ICF,AGG,BND,DBC,CIU,BIV,GWL,PFA,IVV,IYY,IWV,VV,DLN,RSP,SCHX,GMM,PXH,DEM,SCHE,GSG,

     

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  • New York Times -- How Plan Rating Stack up Against ETF Portfolios -- Part 1

    11/02/2010

    This is the first of three articles where we are going to examine how plan rating can be used to give you additional insight into the properties of a plan (collection of funds) and how they may perform going forward.We have previously examined News Corp's 401K plan. We found that while it was lacking in terms of diversity, it performed well within its scope -- beating the 3 Asset SIB with which it was comparable but losing out to the 4 Asset SIB.

    We will now look at the New York Times Company's 401K plan and establish it's performance before comparing the two and examining how each of their ratings gives insight as to their performance. All of MyPlanIQ's plans have ratings so this equally applies to any retirement, taxable, VA, 529 or any other sort of plan.

    The New York Times Company, a leading media company with 2009 revenues of $2.4 billion, includes The New York Times, the International Herald Tribune, The Boston Globe, 15 other daily newspapers and more than 50 Web sites, including NYTimes.com,Boston.com and About.com. The Company's core purpose is to enhance society by creating, collecting and distributing high-quality news, information and entertainment.

    The New York Times 401K plan consists of 23 funds. These funds enable participants to gain exposure to 4 major assets: US Equity, Foreign Equity, Emerging Market Equity, Fixed Income. The list of minor asset classes covered:
     

    Asset ClassTickerName
    Intermediate-Term Bond DODIX Dodge & Cox Income
    Foreign Large Value DODFX Dodge & Cox International Stock
    SMALL BLEND LRSCX Lord Abbett Small-Cap Value A
    LARGE GROWTH PNOYX Putnam New Opportunities Y
    Emerging Markets EMF Templeton Emerging Markets Fund
    LARGE BLEND VFINX Vanguard 500 Index Investor
    Moderate Allocation VAARX Vanguard Asset Allocation Adm
    LARGE GROWTH VHCOX Vanguard Capital Opportunity
    Foreign Large Blend VWIGX Vanguard International Growth
    Target Date 2000-2010 VTOVX Vanguard Target Retirement 2005
    Target Date 2000-2010 VTENX Vanguard Target Retirement 2010
    Target Date 2011-2015 VTXVX Vanguard Target Retirement 2015
    Target Date 2016-2020 VTWNX Vanguard Target Retirement 2020
    Target Date 2021-2025 VTTVX Vanguard Target Retirement 2025
    Target Date 2026-2030 VTHRX Vanguard Target Retirement 2030
    Target Date 2031-2035 VTTHX Vanguard Target Retirement 2035
    Target Date 2036-2040 VFORX Vanguard Target Retirement 2040
    Target Date 2041-2045 VTIVX Vanguard Target Retirement 2045
    Target Date 2050+ VFIFX Vanguard Target Retirement 2050
    Retirement Income VTINX Vanguard Target Retirement Income
    LARGE BLEND REASX Russell U.S. Core Equity I
    CASH CASH Money Market

    Summary
    US Equity                 6 funds
    International Equity  2 funds
    Emerging Markets  1 fund
    Fixed income           1 fund
    Target date            11 funds

    If we exclude the target date funds as they can't be used to build a portfolio as they are a portfolio in and of themselves, there are ten funds, six of which are US based.

    As of Oct 29, 2010, this plan investment choice is rated as average based on MyPlanIQ Plan Rating methodology that was designed to measure how effective a plan's available investment funds are . It has the following detailed ratings:

    Diversification -- Rated as average (64%)
    Fund Quality -- Rated as great (90%)
    Portfolio Building -- Rated as below average (31%)
    Overall Rating: average (59%)

    The rating shows the lack of funds to really build a portfolio and that although there are four asset classes, two of them, most notably Fixed income, only have one fund each.

    The chart and table below show the historical performance of moderate model portfolios employing strategic and tactical asset allocation strategies (SAA and TAA both provided by MyPlanIQ). For comparison purpose, we also include the moderate model portfolios of a typical 4 asset SIB (Simpler Is Better) plan. This SIB plan has the following candidate index funds and their ETFs equivalent:

    US Equity SPY or VTI
    Foreign Equity EFA or VEU
    Emerging Market Equity EEM or VWO
    Fixed Income AGG or BND

    Performance chart (as of Oct 29, 2010)

    Performance chart (as of Nov 1, 2010)

    Performance table (as of Nov 1, 2010)

    Portfolio Name1Yr AR1Yr Sharpe3Yr AR3Yr Sharpe5Yr AR5Yr Sharpe
    THE NEW YORK TIMES COMPANIES SUPPLEMENTAL RETIREMENT AND INVESTMENT PLAN Tactical Asset Allocation Moderate 10% 85% 7% 62% 13% 114%
    THE NEW YORK TIMES COMPANIES SUPPLEMENTAL RETIREMENT AND INVESTMENT PLAN Strategic Asset Allocation Moderate 14% 135% 1% 2% 7% 44%
    Four Core Asset ETF Index Funds Emerging Markets Tactical Asset Allocation Moderate 4% 36% 4% 34% 14% 90%
    Four Core Asset ETF Index Funds Emerging Markets Strategic Asset Allocation Moderate 13% 98% 0% -0% 8% 37%

     

    The results are mixed in the sense that the NYT portfolios outperform the SIBs in the one and three year categories but underperform the SIBs in the five year categories. The choice of multiple funds in the US and international equity categories will allow for styles rotation to find higher returns. However, in the other major categories there are only single options and the benefits of low fees and market index performance in the SIBs allow it to deliver higher performance.

    To summarize having a four asset class portfolio is good. The number of funds in the plan is misleading as the target date funds don't assist in building a portfolio -- if you are a believer in target date funds then you have lots of choices. To further improve the portfolio, it is important to increase the fixed income choices immediately and then balance out emerging market choices from the US choices.

    In the next article we will compare News Corp and New York Times to see how the plan rating numbers give insight to the quality of the overall plan.


    labels:investment,

    Symbols:SPY,VTI,EFA,VEU,EEM,VWO,AGG,BND,AOM,CIU,BIV,GWL,PFA,EFV,PID,DWM,TZD,TZE,TZG,TZI,TZO,TZL,TZV,IVV,IYY,IWV,VV,DLN,RSP,SCHX,IVW,IWZ,JKE,VUG,ELG,QQQQ,RPG,SCHG,IJR,IWM,JKJ,VB,DSC,PJM,DES,SAA,UWM,SCHA,GMM,PXH,DEM,SCHE,

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  • Kellogg 401K beats a 3 Asset Class ETF portfolio -- Can't beat the 4 asset class ETF portfolio

    11/02/2010

    Kellogg Company is an internationally recognized brand in the ready-to-eat cereal and convenience foods. Its principal products include cookies, crackers, toaster pastries, cereal bars, fruit snacks, frozen waffles, and veggie foods.

    Kellogg Company sells its products in North America, Europe, Latin America, and the Asia Pacific. The company was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in Battle Creek, Michigan.

    Its retirement plan is a reflection of the company -- high quality funds but old style diversification. The 401K plan consists of 8 funds (not including cash). These funds give exposure to 3 major assets: US Equity, Foreign Equity, Fixed Income. The list of minor asset classes covered:

    Asset ClassTickerName
    LARGE BLEND SVSPX SSgA S&P 500 Index
    EQUITY K Kellogg
    LARGE VALUE VWNAX Vanguard Windsor II Adm
    LARGE GROWTH PRGFX T. Rowe Price Growth Stock
    Foreign Large Blend RERFX American Funds EuroPacific Gr R5
    Small Growth VEXRX Vanguard Explorer Adm
    SMALL VALUE DFSVX DFA U.S. Small Cap Value I
    Intermediate-Term Bond PTTRX PIMCO Total Return Instl

    In summary

    • Six US equity funds -- including the company's own stock
    • One international fund
    • One fixed income fund


    Having fewer US choices and more fixed income and international choices would provide better diversification as would adding real estate or emerging markets.

    Investing in the company's own stock may show loyalty but it may be better to leave that to an employee stock purchase plan if they have it.

    Comparable ETF's

    Equity: VTI, VT 
    Foreign Large Blend: EFA, VEU, GWL, PFA 
    Intermediate-term Bond: AGG, CIU, BIV, BND 
    Large Blend: IVV, IYY, IWV, VTI, VV, SPY, DLN, RSP, SCHX 
    Large Growth: IVW, IWZ, JKE, VUG, ELG, QQQQ, RPG, SCHG 
    Large Value: IVE, IWW, JKF, VTV, ELV, PWV, RPV, SCHV 
    Small Growth: IJT, IWO, JKK, VBK, DSG, PWT, RZG, UKK 
    Small Value: IJS, IWN, JKL, VBR, DSV, PWY, RZV, UVT 

    As of Oct 29, 2010, this plan investment choice is rated as average based on MyPlanIQ Plan Rating methodology that was designed to measure how effective a plan's available investment funds are . It has the following detailed ratings:

    Diversification
    -- Rated as below average (13%)

    Fund Quality -- Rated as great (99%)
    Portfolio Building -- Rated as average (47%)
    Overall Rating: average (53%)

    The chart and table below show the historical performance of moderate model portfolios employing strategic and tactical asset allocation strategies (SAA and TAA, both provided by MyPlanIQ). For comparison purpose, we also include the moderate model portfolios of a typical 3 asset SIB (Simpler Is Better) plan. This SIB plan has the following candidate index funds and their ETFs equivalent:

    US Equity :SPY or VTI 
    Foreign Equity :EFA or VEU
    Fixed Income :AGG or BND

    Performance chart (as of Oct 29, 2010)

    Performance table (as of Oct 29, 2010)

    The Kellogg 401K plan beats the 3 core asset SIB based on the quality of the funds and the ability to select multiple funds in the US category.

    If we now compare it with a four asset ETF SIB it is possible to see the benefit of having the extra asset class even without the benefit of multiple funds in each asset class.



    Even with excellent choices of funds, the returns can be beaten by a simple ETF portfolio with an extra asset class.

    Kellogg gets strong marks for the choice of funds but are encouraged to add another asset class (or two) to really provide additional returns to their employees. 

    labels:investment,

    Symbols:SPY,VTI,EFA,VEU,AGG,BND,VT,CIU,BIV,GWL,PFA,IVE,IWW,JKF,VTV,ELV,PWV,RPV,SCHV,IVV,IYY,IWV,VV,DLN,RSP,SCHX,IVW,IWZ,JKE,VUG,ELG,QQQQ,RPG,SCHG,IJS,IWN,JKL,VBR,DSV,PWY,RZV,UVT,IJT,IWO,JKK,VBK,DSG,PWT,RZG,UKK,

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  • News Corporation -- Worldwide Presence -- Old Style Retirement

    10/28/2010

    News Corporation was founded in 1922 and is headquartered in New York, New York. The company operates as a diversified media company worldwide. The company's Filmed Entertainment segment produces and licenses television programming worldwide. Its Television segment develops, produces, and broadcasts television programming in Asia. The company's Cable Network Programming segment produces and licenses programming distributed through cable television systems and direct broadcast satellite operators primarily in the United States. Its Direct Broadcast Satellite Television segment distributes premium programming services via satellite and broadband directly to subscribers in Italy.

    Its Newspapers and Information Services segment publishes The Times, The Sunday Times, The Sun, and News of the World national newspapers in the United Kingdom; approximately 146 newspapers in Australia; and metropolitan newspaper and a national newspaper in the United States, as well as offers various information services.

    Its Other segment sells advertising, sponsorships, and subscription services on the company's various digital media; and outdoor advertising space on various media, primarily in the Russian Federation and eastern Europe. This segment also provides mobile entertainment services.

    This article is part of a series of case studies we are conducting for various 401K plans. In this article, we will discuss how participants in News America (News Corp) 401k Savings Plan can achieve reasonable investment results using asset allocation strategies. We will also discuss how those portfolios are positioned in today’s market environment.

    This plan is the News Corp (Ticker: NWS, NWSA) 401k Savings Plan. It has Self-Directed Brokerage option for participants.

    News America (News Corp) 401k Savings Plan's 401K plan consists of 8 funds. These funds enable participants to gain exposure to 3 major assets: US Equity, Foreign Equity, Fixed Income. The list of minor asset classes covered:

    US EQUITY News Corporation Stock Fund Class A (nonvoting)    
    US EQUITY News Corporation Stock Fund Class B (voting)    
    MID-CAP VALUE Hartford Cap App Y    
    SMALL VALUE Allianz NFJ Small Cap Value Fund Inst    
    Intermediate-Term Bond PIMCO Total Return Institutional    
    Foreign Large Blend DWS International Fund S    
    LARGE BLEND Spartan US Equity Index    
    WORLD STOCK Templeton Growth Adv    

     

    Given that two of the options are company stock which is going to suffer from high volatility, the choices are somewhat restrictive and the lack of asset classes make this an old style plan.

    As of Oct 26, 2010, this plan investment choice is rated as average based on MyPlanIQ Plan Rating methodology that was designed to measure how effective a plan's available investment funds are . It has the following detailed ratings:

    Diversification -- Rated as poor (4%)
    Fund Quality -- Rated as average (49%)
    Portfolio Building -- Rated as average (65%)
    Overall Rating: average (42%)

    The chart and table below show the historical performance of moderate model portfolios employing strategic and tactical asset allocation strategies ( SAA and TAA , both provided by MyPlanIQ). For comparison purpose, we also include the moderate model portfolios of a typical 3 asset SIB (Simpler Is Better) plan . This SIB plan has the following candidate index funds and their ETFs equivalent:

    US Equity: SPY or VTI
    Foreign Equity: EFA or VEU
    Fixed Income: AGG or BND

    Performance chart (as of Oct 26, 2010)

    Performance table (as of Oct 26, 2010)

    Currently, asset classes in US Equity ( SPY , VTI ) , Foreign Equity ( EFA , VEU ) and Fixed Income ( AGG , BND ) are doing relatively well. These asset classes are available to News America (News Corp) 401k Savings Plan participants.

    To summarize, News America (News Corp) 401k Savings Plan plan participants can achieve reasonable investment returns by adopting asset allocation strategies that are tailored to their risk profiles. Currently, the tactical asset allocation strategy indicates overweighing on US Equity , Foreign Equity and Fixed Income funds.

    labels:investment,

    Symbols:VTI,EFA,VEU,AGG,BND,IVV,IYY,IWV,VV,DLN,RSP,SCHX,CIU,BIV,GWL,PFA,IOO,VT,IJJ,IWS,JKI,VOE,EMV,PWP,RFV,UVU,IJS,IWN,JKL,VBR,DSV,PWY,RZV,UVT,

     

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  • Ford Motor Company 401K Plan: Diversified and High Quality

    10/24/2010

  • TD Ameritrade Commission Free ETF’s Empowers Both Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation

    10/19/2010

  • Apple 401K: A Great Company with an Average Retirement Plan

    10/19/2010

  • Schwab ETFs Review

    07/27/2010

  • Investing with Styles Can Pay off

    07/09/2010

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