- Portfolio Overview
- Asset Allocation and ETFs
- Performance
- Calculators
- Rolling Returns
- Drawdowns
Portfolio Overview
Simplified Permanent Portfolio Overview
The Simplified Permanent Portfolio is a variation of the classic Permanent Portfolio, which was originally conceptualized by investment analyst Harry Browne in the 1980s. Browne's philosophy was centered around creating a portfolio that could perform well in any economic environment---prosperity, recession, inflation, or deflation. The Simplified Permanent Portfolio streamlines Browne's original allocation by focusing on three core asset classes: stocks, bonds, and gold.
Philosophy and Background
The Simplified Permanent Portfolio is designed to provide stability and growth across various economic conditions. It reduces the complexity of Browne's original four-asset allocation (which included cash) by focusing on three key components:
- 25% in VTI (Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF): Represents the stock market, providing growth during prosperous economic times.
- 50% in IEF (iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF): Represents bonds, offering stability and income during deflationary or recessionary periods.
- 25% in GLD (SPDR Gold Shares ETF): Represents gold, acting as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation.
This portfolio is ideal for investors seeking a low-maintenance, diversified strategy that balances risk and reward.
Asset Allocation and Holdings
The Simplified Permanent Portfolio is highly diversified across asset classes, reducing reliance on any single economic scenario. Here's a breakdown of its characteristics:
- Diversification: The portfolio is spread across equities (VTI), bonds (IEF), and gold (GLD), ensuring exposure to different market drivers.
- Risk Level: Moderate to low risk, as the bond allocation (50%) provides stability, while gold and equities balance growth and inflation protection.
- Pros:
- Performs well in various economic conditions.
- Low maintenance and easy to rebalance.
- Provides a hedge against inflation and deflation.
- Cons:
- Lower growth potential compared to equity-heavy portfolios during bull markets.
- Gold can be volatile and may underperform during periods of low inflation.
Application for Retirement 401(k) and IRA Investors
The Simplified Permanent Portfolio is well-suited for retirement accounts like 401(k)s and IRAs due to its stability and long-term growth potential. Here's how investors can implement this portfolio:
- 401(k) Accounts: Investors should review their plan's investment options to find funds that closely match the ETFs in the portfolio. For example:
- Replace VTI with a total stock market index fund or an S&P 500 index fund.
- Replace IEF with an intermediate-term bond fund or a Treasury bond fund.
- Replace GLD with a gold-focused mutual fund or commodity fund, if available.
- IRA Accounts: Investors can directly purchase the ETFs (VTI, IEF, GLD) in their IRA, as IRAs typically offer more flexibility in investment choices.
By using this portfolio, retirement investors can achieve a balanced, low-maintenance strategy that aligns with long-term financial goals.
Asset Allocation
Symbol | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
---|---|---|
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF |
US Equity | 25% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF |
Fixed Income | 50% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares |
Commodities | 25% |
Historical Performance
Simplified Permanent Portfolio Historical Returns
Name | YTD Return | 1Yr AR | 3Yr AR | 5Yr AR | 10Yr AR | 15Yr AR | 20Yr AR | Inception |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Simplified Permanent Portfolio | 9.58% | 16.90% | 9.44% | 6.31% | 6.62% | 6.61% | 7.26% | 7.87% |
VFINX (VANGUARD 500 INDEX FUND INVESTOR SHARES) | 2.03% | 14.20% | 14.72% | 15.60% | 12.92% | 14.19% | 10.37% | 10.99% |
VSMGX (VANGUARD LIFESTRATEGY MODERATE GROWTH FUND INVESTOR SHARES) | 5.23% | 10.75% | 8.37% | 7.42% | 6.31% | 7.36% | 6.07% | 7.03% |
Ticker/Portfolio | Last 1 Week | 1 Yr | 3 Yr | 5 Yr | 10 Yr | 15 Yr | 20 Yr | Inception | YTD | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 | 1996 | 1995 | 1994 | 1993 | 1992 | 1991 | 1990 | 1989 | 1988 | 1987 | 1986 | 1985 | 1984 | 1983 | 1982 | 1981 | 1980 | 1979 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Return (%) | Simplified Pe...Portfolio | 1.52 | 16.90 | 9.44 | 6.31 | 6.62 | 6.61 | 7.26 | 7.87 | 9.58 | 12.05 | 11.48 | -12.85 | 4.20 | 17.17 | 15.62 | -0.85 | 9.71 | 6.08 | -1.61 | 7.12 | -2.68 | 7.50 | 10.68 | 16.40 | 7.82 | 0.43 | 14.11 | 11.81 | 7.51 | 7.21 | 16.62 | 3.25 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
VFINX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | 1.42 | 14.20 | 14.72 | 15.60 | 12.92 | 14.19 | 10.37 | 10.99 | 2.03 | 24.84 | 26.12 | -18.24 | 28.53 | 18.74 | 31.33 | -4.55 | 21.66 | 11.83 | 1.23 | 13.52 | 32.17 | 15.82 | 1.96 | 14.91 | 26.52 | -37.02 | 5.39 | 15.64 | 4.77 | 10.74 | 28.50 | -22.17 | -12.03 | -9.05 | 21.08 | 28.62 | 33.18 | 22.87 | 37.45 | 1.18 | 10.15 | 8.24 | 32.05 | -3.33 | 28.37 | 14.92 | 3.97 | 9.30 | 22.60 | 3.67 | 17.07 | 19.25 | -8.55 | 27.89 | -2.07 | |
VSMGX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | 1.13 | 10.75 | 8.37 | 7.42 | 6.31 | 7.36 | 6.07 | 7.03 | 5.23 | 10.28 | 15.51 | -16.01 | 10.08 | 13.59 | 19.30 | -6.28 | 14.86 | 7.09 | -2.21 | 6.38 | 14.73 | 9.78 | 0.12 | 13.14 | 20.35 | -26.49 | 7.21 | 13.30 | 5.68 | 11.76 | 22.40 | -10.34 | -4.78 | 1.27 | 14.09 | 21.59 | 17.90 | 10.77 | 26.58 | 2.04 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
Sharpe Ratio | Simplified Pe...Portfolio | NA | 1.66 | 0.67 | 0.52 | 0.73 | NA | NA | 0.91 | 0.92 | 1.16 | 0.98 | -1.31 | 0.65 | 1.80 | 2.98 | -0.47 | 2.33 | 1.04 | -0.28 | 1.48 | -0.37 | 1.38 | 1.52 | 2.26 | 0.88 | -0.05 | 1.68 | 0.99 | 1.06 | 1.34 | 2.84 | 0.59 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
VFINX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | 0.41 | 0.87 | 0.81 | 0.62 | NA | NA | 0.45 | 0.07 | 1.67 | 1.73 | -0.82 | 2.17 | 0.53 | 2.39 | -0.35 | 3.16 | 0.89 | 0.08 | 1.19 | 2.90 | 1.25 | 0.08 | 0.82 | 0.97 | -0.92 | 0.14 | 1.22 | 0.24 | 0.88 | 1.63 | -0.90 | -0.68 | -0.60 | 0.97 | 1.23 | 1.61 | 1.62 | 4.31 | -0.19 | 0.90 | 0.57 | 1.91 | -0.55 | 1.71 | 0.59 | -0.01 | 0.30 | 1.47 | -0.26 | 0.79 | 0.63 | -1.30 | 1.17 | -3.84 | |
VSMGX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | 0.62 | 0.73 | 0.56 | 0.47 | NA | NA | 0.50 | 0.72 | 0.87 | 1.45 | -1.22 | 1.32 | 0.70 | 2.77 | -0.87 | 3.75 | 0.83 | -0.26 | 1.01 | 2.16 | 1.23 | 0.01 | 1.18 | 1.12 | -0.98 | 0.39 | 1.34 | 0.49 | 1.49 | 2.09 | -0.75 | -0.59 | -0.24 | 1.06 | 1.56 | 1.56 | 0.91 | 4.18 | 4.60 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
Standard Deviation(%) | Simplified Pe...Portfolio | NA | 8.18 | 8.94 | 8.28 | 7.15 | NA | NA | 7.06 | 9.06 | 7.29 | 8.00 | 10.92 | 6.41 | 9.38 | 4.76 | 4.76 | 3.88 | 5.65 | 5.82 | 4.81 | 7.35 | 5.39 | 6.99 | 7.21 | 8.80 | 11.23 | 6.53 | 8.52 | 4.97 | 4.66 | 5.60 | 4.81 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
VFINX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | 19.74 | 17.49 | 17.52 | 18.48 | NA | NA | 18.11 | 25.21 | 12.67 | 13.09 | 24.19 | 13.11 | 34.69 | 12.48 | 17.11 | 6.68 | 13.11 | 15.51 | 11.39 | 11.07 | 12.74 | 23.36 | 18.07 | 27.22 | 40.99 | 16.02 | 10.04 | 10.29 | 11.10 | 17.04 | 25.96 | 21.55 | 22.20 | 18.17 | 20.48 | 18.21 | 11.77 | 7.77 | 9.92 | 8.83 | 9.93 | 14.69 | 16.06 | 13.09 | 17.07 | 33.80 | 16.55 | 11.67 | 12.80 | 13.62 | 18.09 | 14.61 | 16.53 | 23.80 | |
VSMGX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | 10.40 | 10.23 | 10.12 | 10.41 | NA | NA | 11.49 | 12.78 | 7.69 | 8.26 | 14.34 | 7.62 | 19.08 | 6.43 | 8.81 | 3.80 | 8.31 | 8.51 | 6.28 | 6.80 | 7.99 | 14.68 | 11.10 | 18.01 | 27.95 | 10.37 | 7.43 | 6.96 | 7.25 | 10.38 | 15.37 | 12.42 | 12.30 | 10.07 | 11.65 | 9.10 | 7.74 | 5.41 | 15.57 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
Draw Down(%) | Simplified Pe...Portfolio | NA | 4.42 | 11.08 | 18.08 | 18.08 | NA | NA | 18.08 | 4.42 | 3.18 | 7.21 | 17.87 | 4.60 | 9.70 | 2.21 | 4.67 | 2.27 | 6.83 | 5.18 | 2.68 | 7.27 | 3.39 | 4.67 | 3.40 | 5.58 | 16.03 | 3.56 | 8.87 | 2.56 | 4.88 | 4.06 | 1.71 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
VFINX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | 18.76 | 18.76 | 24.59 | 33.83 | NA | NA | 55.25 | 18.76 | 8.45 | 9.97 | 24.59 | 5.14 | 33.83 | 6.63 | 19.40 | 2.60 | 10.29 | 12.05 | 7.30 | 5.59 | 9.60 | 18.71 | 15.66 | 27.17 | 47.73 | 9.88 | 7.47 | 7.01 | 7.47 | 13.79 | 33.02 | 29.18 | 16.55 | 11.81 | 19.20 | 10.79 | 7.45 | 2.50 | 8.48 | 4.84 | 5.63 | 5.57 | 19.19 | 7.35 | 7.24 | 33.08 | 11.63 | 7.51 | 10.58 | 7.02 | 13.21 | 15.61 | 16.03 | 2.40 | |
VSMGX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | 9.62 | 12.88 | 22.29 | 22.43 | NA | NA | 41.18 | 9.62 | 4.17 | 8.15 | 21.74 | 3.53 | 22.43 | 3.12 | 11.47 | 1.14 | 6.20 | 8.34 | 4.70 | 5.67 | 6.27 | 12.90 | 8.64 | 19.61 | 36.81 | 6.11 | 6.13 | 4.74 | 5.89 | 8.91 | 20.06 | 17.93 | 8.77 | 6.26 | 11.99 | 6.02 | 4.75 | 1.82 | 1.89 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
Yield(%) | Simplified Pe...Portfolio | NA | 1.83 | 1.71 | 1.38 | 1.43 | NA | NA | 0.00 | 0.15 | 2.22 | 1.92 | 1.17 | 0.78 | 1.04 | 1.67 | 1.58 | 1.46 | 1.48 | 1.45 | 1.61 | 1.34 | 1.53 | 1.90 | 2.17 | 2.53 | 2.52 | 2.79 | 2.60 | 2.37 | 2.33 | 4.09 | 1.29 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
VFINX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
VSMGX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
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Calculators
Dollar Cost Average Calculator for Simplified Permanent Portfolio
Retirement Spending Calculator for Simplified Permanent Portfolio
Rolling Returns
Maximum Drawdown
Simplified Permanent Portfolio Maximum Drawdown