- Portfolio Overview
- Asset Allocation and ETFs
- Performance
- Calculators
- Rolling Returns
- Drawdowns
Portfolio Overview
Marc Faber Portfolio Overview
1. Background and Philosophy
The Marc Faber Portfolio is inspired by the investment philosophy of Dr. Marc Faber, a well-known contrarian investor and publisher of the "Gloom, Boom & Doom Report." Faber is often referred to as "Dr. Doom" for his bearish outlook on markets, advocating for diversification across asset classes to hedge against economic downturns and inflation. His portfolio emphasizes a balanced approach, incorporating equities, bonds, real estate, and commodities like gold to mitigate risk in volatile markets.
The lazy portfolio reflects Faber's belief in holding non-correlated assets to protect against systemic risks. It leans toward conservative allocations, with a significant portion in bonds (BND) and gold (GLD), while still maintaining exposure to domestic (VV) and international equities (VEA, EEM) for growth potential.
2. Asset Allocation Analysis
Diversification: The portfolio is well-diversified across asset classes:
- 25% VNQ (Real Estate): Provides inflation protection and income via REITs.
- 13% VV (U.S. Large-Cap Stocks): Core equity exposure for growth.
- 8% VEA (Developed International Stocks): Diversifies geographically.
- 4% EEM (Emerging Markets): Higher-risk, higher-reward equity exposure.
- 25% BND (U.S. Bonds): Stabilizes the portfolio with fixed income.
- 25% GLD (Gold): Acts as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation.
Risk Level: Moderate to conservative. The heavy allocation to bonds and gold reduces volatility but may limit growth during bull markets. Emerging markets (EEM) add slight risk.
Pros:
- Strong downside protection during market crashes or inflationary periods.
- Broad diversification reduces reliance on any single asset class.
- Gold and real estate provide non-correlated returns.
- Lower equity exposure may underperform in long-term bull markets.
- Gold does not generate income and can be volatile.
- Higher fees (e.g., for GLD) compared to a pure index portfolio.
3. Application for Retirement Accounts (401(k) and IRA)
Investors can replicate this portfolio in their 401(k) or IRA by mapping the ETFs to available funds:
- VNQ: Use a REIT fund or a real estate sector fund in the 401(k). If unavailable, allocate to bonds or equities.
- VV: Substitute with an S&P 500 or total U.S. stock market index fund.
- VEA/EEM: Replace with an international stock fund (developed markets) and an emerging markets fund if available. Otherwise, consolidate into a single international equity fund.
- BND: Use a total bond market fund or intermediate-term bond fund.
- GLD: Most 401(k) plans lack commodity funds. Allocate this portion to equities (e.g., large-cap stocks) or omit it entirely.
Implementation Tip: For IRAs (which offer more flexibility), investors can directly purchase the ETFs. In 401(k)s, prioritize low-cost index funds that match the asset classes, even if not identical to the original holdings. Rebalance annually to maintain target allocations.
Asset Allocation
Symbol | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
---|---|---|
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF |
Real Estate | 25% |
VV Vanguard Large-Cap ETF |
US Equity | 13% |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF |
International Equity | 8% |
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF |
International Equity | 4% |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF |
Fixed Income | 25% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares |
Commodities | 25% |
Historical Performance
Marc Faber Portfolio Historical Returns
Name | YTD Return | 1Yr AR | 3Yr AR | 5Yr AR | 10Yr AR | 15Yr AR | 20Yr AR | Inception |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marc Faber Portfolio | 10.01% | 18.39% | 9.45% | 8.12% | 7.24% | 7.50% | NA | 7.51% |
VFINX (VANGUARD 500 INDEX FUND INVESTOR SHARES) | 2.03% | 14.20% | 14.72% | 15.60% | 12.92% | 14.19% | 10.37% | 10.67% |
VSMGX (VANGUARD LIFESTRATEGY MODERATE GROWTH FUND INVESTOR SHARES) | 5.23% | 10.75% | 8.37% | 7.42% | 6.31% | 7.36% | 6.07% | 5.77% |
Ticker/Portfolio | Last 1 Week | 1 Yr | 3 Yr | 5 Yr | 10 Yr | 15 Yr | 20 Yr | Inception | YTD | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 | 1996 | 1995 | 1994 | 1993 | 1992 | 1991 | 1990 | 1989 | 1988 | 1987 | 1986 | 1985 | 1984 | 1983 | 1982 | 1981 | 1980 | 1979 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Return (%) | Marc Faber Portfolio | 1.44 | 18.39 | 9.45 | 8.12 | 7.24 | 7.50 | NA | 7.51 | 10.01 | 11.91 | 13.28 | -14.74 | 11.81 | 11.83 | 20.69 | -3.99 | 11.57 | 7.51 | -2.17 | 9.12 | -2.45 | 11.55 | 5.95 | 20.04 | 24.97 | -16.49 | 7.47 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
VFINX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | 1.42 | 14.20 | 14.72 | 15.60 | 12.92 | 14.19 | 10.37 | 10.67 | 2.03 | 24.84 | 26.12 | -18.24 | 28.53 | 18.74 | 31.33 | -4.55 | 21.66 | 11.83 | 1.23 | 13.52 | 32.17 | 15.82 | 1.96 | 14.91 | 26.52 | -37.02 | 5.39 | 15.64 | 4.77 | 10.74 | 28.50 | -22.17 | -12.03 | -9.05 | 21.08 | 28.62 | 33.18 | 22.87 | 37.45 | 1.18 | 10.15 | 8.24 | 32.05 | -3.33 | 28.37 | 14.92 | 3.97 | 9.30 | 22.60 | 3.67 | 17.07 | 19.25 | -8.55 | 27.89 | -2.07 | |
VSMGX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | 1.13 | 10.75 | 8.37 | 7.42 | 6.31 | 7.36 | 6.07 | 5.77 | 5.23 | 10.28 | 15.51 | -16.01 | 10.08 | 13.59 | 19.30 | -6.28 | 14.86 | 7.09 | -2.21 | 6.38 | 14.73 | 9.78 | 0.12 | 13.14 | 20.35 | -26.49 | 7.21 | 13.30 | 5.68 | 11.76 | 22.40 | -10.34 | -4.78 | 1.27 | 14.09 | 21.59 | 17.90 | 10.77 | 26.58 | 2.04 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
Sharpe Ratio | Marc Faber Portfolio | NA | 1.43 | 0.54 | 0.57 | 0.56 | NA | NA | 0.47 | 0.71 | 0.91 | 1.00 | -1.17 | 1.49 | 0.59 | 3.25 | -0.73 | 2.26 | 0.93 | -0.26 | 1.51 | -0.26 | 1.42 | 0.43 | 1.58 | 1.08 | -0.62 | 0.44 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
VFINX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | 0.41 | 0.87 | 0.81 | 0.62 | NA | NA | 0.45 | 0.07 | 1.67 | 1.73 | -0.82 | 2.17 | 0.53 | 2.39 | -0.35 | 3.16 | 0.89 | 0.08 | 1.19 | 2.90 | 1.25 | 0.08 | 0.82 | 0.97 | -0.92 | 0.14 | 1.22 | 0.24 | 0.88 | 1.63 | -0.90 | -0.68 | -0.60 | 0.97 | 1.23 | 1.61 | 1.62 | 4.31 | -0.19 | 0.90 | 0.57 | 1.91 | -0.55 | 1.71 | 0.59 | -0.01 | 0.30 | 1.47 | -0.26 | 0.79 | 0.63 | -1.30 | 1.17 | -3.84 | |
VSMGX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | 0.62 | 0.73 | 0.56 | 0.47 | NA | NA | 0.50 | 0.72 | 0.87 | 1.45 | -1.22 | 1.32 | 0.70 | 2.77 | -0.87 | 3.75 | 0.83 | -0.26 | 1.01 | 2.16 | 1.23 | 0.01 | 1.18 | 1.12 | -0.98 | 0.39 | 1.34 | 0.49 | 1.49 | 2.09 | -0.75 | -0.59 | -0.24 | 1.06 | 1.56 | 1.56 | 0.91 | 4.18 | 4.60 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
Standard Deviation(%) | Marc Faber Portfolio | NA | 10.54 | 11.21 | 10.68 | 10.48 | NA | NA | 13.15 | 12.32 | 9.12 | 9.61 | 13.88 | 7.91 | 19.65 | 5.91 | 7.32 | 4.84 | 7.82 | 8.60 | 6.02 | 9.71 | 8.08 | 13.70 | 12.64 | 23.13 | 28.09 | 14.53 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
VFINX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | 19.74 | 17.49 | 17.52 | 18.48 | NA | NA | 18.11 | 25.21 | 12.67 | 13.09 | 24.19 | 13.11 | 34.69 | 12.48 | 17.11 | 6.68 | 13.11 | 15.51 | 11.39 | 11.07 | 12.74 | 23.36 | 18.07 | 27.22 | 40.99 | 16.02 | 10.04 | 10.29 | 11.10 | 17.04 | 25.96 | 21.55 | 22.20 | 18.17 | 20.48 | 18.21 | 11.77 | 7.77 | 9.92 | 8.83 | 9.93 | 14.69 | 16.06 | 13.09 | 17.07 | 33.80 | 16.55 | 11.67 | 12.80 | 13.62 | 18.09 | 14.61 | 16.53 | 23.80 | |
VSMGX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | 10.40 | 10.23 | 10.12 | 10.41 | NA | NA | 11.49 | 12.78 | 7.69 | 8.26 | 14.34 | 7.62 | 19.08 | 6.43 | 8.81 | 3.80 | 8.31 | 8.51 | 6.28 | 6.80 | 7.99 | 14.68 | 11.10 | 18.01 | 27.95 | 10.37 | 7.43 | 6.96 | 7.25 | 10.38 | 15.37 | 12.42 | 12.30 | 10.07 | 11.65 | 9.10 | 7.74 | 5.41 | 15.57 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
Draw Down(%) | Marc Faber Portfolio | NA | 7.42 | 14.54 | 21.61 | 21.61 | NA | NA | 36.34 | 7.42 | 4.78 | 9.08 | 21.61 | 4.46 | 21.32 | 1.94 | 7.79 | 2.98 | 7.98 | 9.82 | 4.40 | 9.57 | 5.25 | 9.57 | 6.62 | 17.27 | 36.34 | 6.02 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
VFINX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | 18.76 | 18.76 | 24.59 | 33.83 | NA | NA | 55.25 | 18.76 | 8.45 | 9.97 | 24.59 | 5.14 | 33.83 | 6.63 | 19.40 | 2.60 | 10.29 | 12.05 | 7.30 | 5.59 | 9.60 | 18.71 | 15.66 | 27.17 | 47.73 | 9.88 | 7.47 | 7.01 | 7.47 | 13.79 | 33.02 | 29.18 | 16.55 | 11.81 | 19.20 | 10.79 | 7.45 | 2.50 | 8.48 | 4.84 | 5.63 | 5.57 | 19.19 | 7.35 | 7.24 | 33.08 | 11.63 | 7.51 | 10.58 | 7.02 | 13.21 | 15.61 | 16.03 | 2.40 | |
VSMGX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | 9.62 | 12.88 | 22.29 | 22.43 | NA | NA | 41.18 | 9.62 | 4.17 | 8.15 | 21.74 | 3.53 | 22.43 | 3.12 | 11.47 | 1.14 | 6.20 | 8.34 | 4.70 | 5.67 | 6.27 | 12.90 | 8.64 | 19.61 | 36.81 | 6.11 | 6.13 | 4.74 | 5.89 | 8.91 | 20.06 | 17.93 | 8.77 | 6.26 | 11.99 | 6.02 | 4.75 | 1.82 | 1.89 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
Yield(%) | Marc Faber Portfolio | NA | 2.55 | 2.33 | 2.20 | 2.28 | NA | NA | 0.00 | 0.16 | 2.58 | 2.55 | 1.78 | 1.82 | 2.09 | 2.51 | 2.32 | 2.40 | 2.61 | 2.16 | 2.42 | 2.24 | 2.50 | 2.52 | 2.66 | 3.28 | 3.02 | 1.67 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
VFINX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
VSMGX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
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Marc Faber Portfolio Maximum Drawdown