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Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio
0.07%May 19 | MyPlanIQ portfolio symbol P_78993

  • Portfolio Overview
  • Asset Allocation and ETFs
  • Performance
  • Calculators
  • Rolling Returns
  • Drawdowns

Portfolio Overview


1. Background and Philosophy

The Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio is a variant of the Permanent Portfolio strategy, popularized by Harry Browne and later refined by investment blogger Tyler at Portfolio Charts. The philosophy emphasizes diversification across uncorrelated asset classes to weather various economic conditions (e.g., growth, inflation, deflation, recession). The "Golden Butterfly" adapts Browne's approach by increasing equity exposure for higher long-term returns while maintaining robust downside protection.

2. Asset Allocation Analysis

The portfolio is evenly split into five 20% allocations:

  • IJS (iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value ETF): Provides exposure to small-cap value stocks, historically offering higher returns with higher volatility.
  • VTI (Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF): Represents broad U.S. equities for market beta.
  • SHY (iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF): Short-term Treasuries for stability and liquidity.
  • TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF): Long-term Treasuries for deflation protection and negative correlation to stocks.
  • GLD (SPDR Gold Trust): Gold acts as a hedge against inflation and currency risk.

Key Attributes:

  • Diversification: Balances equities (40%), bonds (40%), and gold (20%) to mitigate systemic risks.
  • Risk Level: Moderate (historically lower volatility than 100% equity portfolios but higher than conservative bond-heavy allocations).
  • Pros: Resilient in market downturns, simple to rebalance, and suitable for long-term investors.
  • Cons: Gold and long-term bonds may underperform in rising-rate environments; small-cap value tilts may lag during growth rallies.

3. Practical Application in Retirement Accounts

For 401(k) Accounts:

Investors should map the portfolio to their plan's available funds:

  • Equities (40%): Replace IJS with a small-cap value fund (e.g., Russell 2000 Value Index) or a broader U.S. stock fund if unavailable. Use an S&P 500 or total market fund for VTI.
  • Bonds (40%): Substitute SHY with a short-term bond fund and TLT with a long-term Treasury or aggregate bond fund.
  • Gold (20%): If no commodity fund is available (common in 401(k)s), allocate this portion to equities or a TIPS fund for inflation protection.

For IRA Accounts:

Investors can directly purchase the ETFs listed above for precise allocation. Rebalance annually or when allocations deviate by ±5%.

Note: Always prioritize low-cost index funds and avoid overlapping exposures when substituting holdings.


Asset Allocation


Symbol Category/Sector Target Weight
IJS
iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value ETF
US Equity 20%
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
US Equity 20%
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Fixed Income 20%
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Fixed Income 20%
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
Commodities 20%


Historical Performance


The return data shown below all have the same latest date: 05/19/2025.
AR inception is since 07/31/2002.
Name Inception YTD Return 1Yr AR 3Yr AR 5Yr AR 10Yr AR 15Yr AR 20Yr AR
Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio 8.07% 2.91% 9.33% 7.36% 7.20% 6.49% 7.10% 7.32%
VFINX (VANGUARD 500 INDEX FUND INVESTOR SHARES) 10.98% 1.86% 13.70% 16.81% 17.04% 12.74% 13.83% 10.40%
VSMGX (VANGUARD LIFESTRATEGY MODERATE GROWTH FUND INVESTOR SHARES) 7.00% 4.53% 9.53% 9.09% 8.33% 6.12% 7.14% 6.08%

Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio Return Calculator

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Calculators


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Rolling Returns


From 07/31/2002 to 05/19/2025, the worst annualized return of 3-year rolling returns for Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio is -0.36%.

From 07/31/2002 to 05/19/2025, the worst annualized return of 5-year rolling returns for Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio is 3.7%.

From 07/31/2002 to 05/19/2025, the worst annualized return of 10-year rolling returns for Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio is 4.58%.


Maximum Drawdown

Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio Maximum Drawdown