- Portfolio Overview
- Asset Allocation and ETFs
- Performance
- Calculators
- Rolling Returns
- Drawdowns
Portfolio Overview
1. Background and Philosophy
The William Bernstein Sheltered Sam 70/30 Allocation is a lazy portfolio designed by Dr. William Bernstein, a neurologist-turned-financial theorist and author of influential investing books like The Intelligent Asset Allocator and The Four Pillars of Investing. Bernstein advocates for low-cost, passive indexing and emphasizes diversification across asset classes to mitigate risk while achieving long-term growth. His "Sheltered Sam" portfolios are tailored for tax-advantaged accounts (e.g., IRAs, 401(k)s) and prioritize simplicity and efficiency.
This portfolio follows a 70% stocks / 30% bonds allocation, targeting investors with a moderate risk tolerance. Bernstein's philosophy centers on global diversification, value tilting (to capture the "value premium"), and inflation protection through bonds like TIP.
2. Asset Allocation Analysis
Diversification: The portfolio is highly diversified across:
- U.S. equities (45.5%): Large-cap (VV, VTV), small-cap value (IJS, IJR), and REITs (VNQ).
- International equities (21%): Developed (EFV, VGK, VPL) and emerging markets (EEM).
- Bonds (30%): Short-term Treasuries (SHY) and inflation-protected securities (TIP).
- Commodities (2.1%): Broad exposure via GLTR.
Risk Level: Moderate (70/30 split). The value tilt and international exposure add volatility but may enhance long-term returns. Bonds provide stability.
Pros:
- Low-cost ETFs minimize expenses.
- Global diversification reduces concentration risk.
- Inflation protection via TIP and commodities.
Cons:
- Complexity with 12 holdings may deter beginners.
- Value stocks can underperform in growth-dominated markets.
- Commodities (GLTR) are volatile and may not be accessible in 401(k)s.
3. Practical Application in Retirement Accounts
For 401(k) Investors:
- Match ETFs to available funds: Look for index funds with similar exposures (e.g., an S&P 500 fund for VV, a small-cap value fund for IJS).
- Substitute unavailable holdings: If a fund like EFV (international value) isn't available, use a broad international stock fund instead.
- Commodities workaround: Allocate the 2.1% from GLTR to equities or bonds if no commodity option exists.
For IRA Investors: Replicate the portfolio exactly using the specified ETFs, as IRAs offer broader investment choices.
Rebalancing: Adjust holdings annually to maintain the target allocation (e.g., 70/30 stocks/bonds).
Asset Allocation
Symbol | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
---|---|---|
VTV Vanguard Value ETF |
US Equity | 17.5% |
VV Vanguard Large-Cap ETF |
US Equity | 14% |
IJS iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value ETF |
US Equity | 10.5% |
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF |
Real Estate | 7% |
EFV iShares MSCI EAFE Value ETF |
International Equity | 4.9% |
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF |
International Equity | 3.5% |
IJR iShares Core S&P Small Cap ETF |
US Equity | 3.5% |
VGK Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF |
International Equity | 3.5% |
VPL Vanguard FTSE Pacific ETF |
International Equity | 3.5% |
SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF |
Fixed Income | 18% |
TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF |
Fixed Income | 12% |
GLTR abrdn Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares ETF |
Commodities | 2.1% |
Historical Performance
William Bernstein Sheltered Sam 70/30 Allocation Historical Returns
Name | YTD Return | 1Yr AR | 3Yr AR | 5Yr AR | 10Yr AR | 15Yr AR | 20Yr AR | Inception |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
William Bernstein Sheltered Sam 70/30 Allocation | 3.11% | 9.28% | 6.79% | 8.74% | 6.96% | NA | NA | 7.91% |
VFINX (VANGUARD 500 INDEX FUND INVESTOR SHARES) | 2.03% | 14.20% | 14.72% | 15.60% | 12.92% | 14.19% | 10.37% | 14.34% |
VSMGX (VANGUARD LIFESTRATEGY MODERATE GROWTH FUND INVESTOR SHARES) | 5.23% | 10.75% | 8.37% | 7.42% | 6.31% | 7.36% | 6.07% | 7.12% |
Ticker/Portfolio | Last 1 Week | 1 Yr | 3 Yr | 5 Yr | 10 Yr | 15 Yr | 20 Yr | Inception | YTD | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 | 1996 | 1995 | 1994 | 1993 | 1992 | 1991 | 1990 | 1989 | 1988 | 1987 | 1986 | 1985 | 1984 | 1983 | 1982 | 1981 | 1980 | 1979 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Return (%) | William Berns...llocation | 0.93 | 9.28 | 6.79 | 8.74 | 6.96 | NA | NA | 7.91 | 3.11 | 9.80 | 12.41 | -10.85 | 16.31 | 8.95 | 19.24 | -5.59 | 12.71 | 11.34 | -1.65 | 6.54 | 15.71 | 12.40 | 0.94 | 3.88 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
VFINX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | 1.42 | 14.20 | 14.72 | 15.60 | 12.92 | 14.19 | 10.37 | 14.34 | 2.03 | 24.84 | 26.12 | -18.24 | 28.53 | 18.74 | 31.33 | -4.55 | 21.66 | 11.83 | 1.23 | 13.52 | 32.17 | 15.82 | 1.96 | 14.91 | 26.52 | -37.02 | 5.39 | 15.64 | 4.77 | 10.74 | 28.50 | -22.17 | -12.03 | -9.05 | 21.08 | 28.62 | 33.18 | 22.87 | 37.45 | 1.18 | 10.15 | 8.24 | 32.05 | -3.33 | 28.37 | 14.92 | 3.97 | 9.30 | 22.60 | 3.67 | 17.07 | 19.25 | -8.55 | 27.89 | -2.07 | |
VSMGX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | 1.13 | 10.75 | 8.37 | 7.42 | 6.31 | 7.36 | 6.07 | 7.12 | 5.23 | 10.28 | 15.51 | -16.01 | 10.08 | 13.59 | 19.30 | -6.28 | 14.86 | 7.09 | -2.21 | 6.38 | 14.73 | 9.78 | 0.12 | 13.14 | 20.35 | -26.49 | 7.21 | 13.30 | 5.68 | 11.76 | 22.40 | -10.34 | -4.78 | 1.27 | 14.09 | 21.59 | 17.90 | 10.77 | 26.58 | 2.04 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
Sharpe Ratio | William Berns...llocation | NA | 0.51 | 0.31 | 0.58 | 0.46 | NA | NA | 0.56 | 0.12 | 0.72 | 0.91 | -0.83 | 1.80 | 0.37 | 2.33 | -0.70 | 2.47 | 1.14 | -0.17 | 0.92 | 1.87 | 1.31 | 0.05 | 0.40 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
VFINX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | 0.41 | 0.87 | 0.81 | 0.62 | NA | NA | 0.45 | 0.07 | 1.67 | 1.73 | -0.82 | 2.17 | 0.53 | 2.39 | -0.35 | 3.16 | 0.89 | 0.08 | 1.19 | 2.90 | 1.25 | 0.08 | 0.82 | 0.97 | -0.92 | 0.14 | 1.22 | 0.24 | 0.88 | 1.63 | -0.90 | -0.68 | -0.60 | 0.97 | 1.23 | 1.61 | 1.62 | 4.31 | -0.19 | 0.90 | 0.57 | 1.91 | -0.55 | 1.71 | 0.59 | -0.01 | 0.30 | 1.47 | -0.26 | 0.79 | 0.63 | -1.30 | 1.17 | -3.84 | |
VSMGX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | 0.62 | 0.73 | 0.56 | 0.47 | NA | NA | 0.50 | 0.72 | 0.87 | 1.45 | -1.22 | 1.32 | 0.70 | 2.77 | -0.87 | 3.75 | 0.83 | -0.26 | 1.01 | 2.16 | 1.23 | 0.01 | 1.18 | 1.12 | -0.98 | 0.39 | 1.34 | 0.49 | 1.49 | 2.09 | -0.75 | -0.59 | -0.24 | 1.06 | 1.56 | 1.56 | 0.91 | 4.18 | 4.60 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
Standard Deviation(%) | William Berns...llocation | NA | 11.66 | 11.59 | 11.62 | 12.05 | NA | NA | 11.74 | 14.74 | 8.64 | 9.59 | 14.84 | 9.05 | 23.33 | 7.64 | 9.89 | 4.88 | 9.73 | 10.04 | 7.12 | 8.36 | 9.41 | 17.54 | 9.70 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
VFINX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | 19.74 | 17.49 | 17.52 | 18.48 | NA | NA | 18.11 | 25.21 | 12.67 | 13.09 | 24.19 | 13.11 | 34.69 | 12.48 | 17.11 | 6.68 | 13.11 | 15.51 | 11.39 | 11.07 | 12.74 | 23.36 | 18.07 | 27.22 | 40.99 | 16.02 | 10.04 | 10.29 | 11.10 | 17.04 | 25.96 | 21.55 | 22.20 | 18.17 | 20.48 | 18.21 | 11.77 | 7.77 | 9.92 | 8.83 | 9.93 | 14.69 | 16.06 | 13.09 | 17.07 | 33.80 | 16.55 | 11.67 | 12.80 | 13.62 | 18.09 | 14.61 | 16.53 | 23.80 | |
VSMGX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | 10.40 | 10.23 | 10.12 | 10.41 | NA | NA | 11.49 | 12.78 | 7.69 | 8.26 | 14.34 | 7.62 | 19.08 | 6.43 | 8.81 | 3.80 | 8.31 | 8.51 | 6.28 | 6.80 | 7.99 | 14.68 | 11.10 | 18.01 | 27.95 | 10.37 | 7.43 | 6.96 | 7.25 | 10.38 | 15.37 | 12.42 | 12.30 | 10.07 | 11.65 | 9.10 | 7.74 | 5.41 | 15.57 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
Draw Down(%) | William Berns...llocation | NA | 10.86 | 12.40 | 18.31 | 25.82 | NA | NA | 25.82 | 10.82 | 4.26 | 8.79 | 18.31 | 4.48 | 25.82 | 4.19 | 12.62 | 1.86 | 6.83 | 9.33 | 5.28 | 6.33 | 7.50 | 15.43 | 3.69 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
VFINX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | 18.76 | 18.76 | 24.59 | 33.83 | NA | NA | 55.25 | 18.76 | 8.45 | 9.97 | 24.59 | 5.14 | 33.83 | 6.63 | 19.40 | 2.60 | 10.29 | 12.05 | 7.30 | 5.59 | 9.60 | 18.71 | 15.66 | 27.17 | 47.73 | 9.88 | 7.47 | 7.01 | 7.47 | 13.79 | 33.02 | 29.18 | 16.55 | 11.81 | 19.20 | 10.79 | 7.45 | 2.50 | 8.48 | 4.84 | 5.63 | 5.57 | 19.19 | 7.35 | 7.24 | 33.08 | 11.63 | 7.51 | 10.58 | 7.02 | 13.21 | 15.61 | 16.03 | 2.40 | |
VSMGX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | 9.62 | 12.88 | 22.29 | 22.43 | NA | NA | 41.18 | 9.62 | 4.17 | 8.15 | 21.74 | 3.53 | 22.43 | 3.12 | 11.47 | 1.14 | 6.20 | 8.34 | 4.70 | 5.67 | 6.27 | 12.90 | 8.64 | 19.61 | 36.81 | 6.11 | 6.13 | 4.74 | 5.89 | 8.91 | 20.06 | 17.93 | 8.77 | 6.26 | 11.99 | 6.02 | 4.75 | 1.82 | 1.89 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
Yield(%) | William Berns...llocation | NA | 2.73 | 2.64 | 2.43 | 2.28 | NA | NA | 0.00 | 0.06 | 2.84 | 2.72 | 2.34 | 2.30 | 1.81 | 2.61 | 2.24 | 2.09 | 2.13 | 1.73 | 1.97 | 1.87 | 2.08 | 2.27 | 0.82 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
VFINX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
VSMGX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
Calculate Performance
Start date (MM/dd/yyyy)
End date (MM/dd/yyyy)
calculate result (Annualized)
William Bernstein Sheltered Sam 70/30 Allocation Historical Return Chart
Calculators
Dollar Cost Average Calculator for William Bernstein Sheltered Sam 70/30 Allocation
Retirement Spending Calculator for William Bernstein Sheltered Sam 70/30 Allocation
Rolling Returns
Maximum Drawdown
William Bernstein Sheltered Sam 70/30 Allocation Maximum Drawdown