- Portfolio Overview
- Asset Allocation and ETFs
- Performance
- Calculators
- Rolling Returns
- Drawdowns
Portfolio Overview
Overview of the "Late Thirties to Early Forties" Lazy Portfolio
1. Background and Philosophy
The "Late Thirties to Early Forties" lazy portfolio is designed for investors in that age range who seek a balanced approach to long-term growth while managing risk. While the exact origin of this portfolio is unclear, it aligns with the principles of passive investing popularized by financial experts like John Bogle (founder of Vanguard) and modern portfolio theory. The philosophy emphasizes diversification across asset classes, low-cost index funds or ETFs, and a "set-it-and-forget-it" strategy to minimize behavioral investing mistakes.
2. Asset Allocation and Analysis
Diversification: This portfolio is well-diversified across domestic and international equities, real estate, and bonds. It includes:
- VTI (32.5%): Exposure to the entire U.S. stock market.
- EEM (16.25%) & EFA (16.25%): Broad exposure to emerging and developed international markets.
- VIG (10%) & VNQ (10%): Dividend growth stocks and real estate for income and inflation hedging.
- BIL (5%), EMB (5%), LQD (5%): Short-term Treasuries, emerging market bonds, and corporate bonds for stability.
Risk Level: Moderate to moderately aggressive. The heavy equity allocation (75%) suggests growth focus, while bonds (15%) and cash equivalents (5%) provide downside protection.
Pros:
- Strong global diversification.
- Low-cost ETFs minimize fees.
- Balanced for growth and risk management.
Cons:
- Higher volatility due to significant international exposure (EEM, EFA).
- Limited inflation protection beyond REITs (VNQ).
- No explicit allocation to commodities or alternatives.
3. Application for Retirement Accounts (401(k) and IRA)
This portfolio is suitable for retirement investors in their late 30s to early 40s who want a hands-off approach. Here's how to implement it in a 401(k) or IRA:
For 401(k) Plans:
- VTI: Look for a "U.S. Total Stock Market Index Fund" (e.g., FSKAX, SWTSX).
- EEM/EFA: Use an "International Stock Index Fund" (e.g., FSPSX, VTMGX for EFA; FPADX for EEM).
- VIG/VNQ: Substitute with a "Dividend Growth Fund" or "REIT Fund" if available.
- BIL/EMB/LQD: Use a "Short-Term Bond Fund," "Emerging Market Bond Fund," or "Corporate Bond Fund" if available.
If a fund is unavailable: Allocate to the closest asset class (e.g., no EMB? Increase LQD or EEM). Avoid overcomplicating---simplicity is key. Since most 401(k)s lack commodity funds, allocate that portion to equities (e.g., VTI or EFA).
For IRAs: Investors can replicate the exact ETFs listed, as IRAs typically offer broader investment options.
This portfolio is a solid choice for mid-career savers prioritizing growth while maintaining a cushion against market downturns. Regular rebalancing (e.g., annually) is recommended to maintain the target allocation.
Asset Allocation
Symbol | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
---|---|---|
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF |
US Equity | 32.5% |
VIG Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF |
US Equity | 10% |
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF |
International Equity | 16.25% |
EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF |
International Equity | 16.25% |
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF |
Real Estate | 10% |
BIL SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF |
Fixed Income | 5% |
EMB iShares JP Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF |
Emerging Markets Bond | 5% |
LQD iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF |
Corporate Bond | 5% |
Historical Performance
John Bogle Late Thirties to Early Forties Historical Returns
Name | YTD Return | 1Yr AR | 3Yr AR | 5Yr AR | 10Yr AR | 15Yr AR | 20Yr AR | Inception |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Bogle Late Thirties to Early Forties | 6.04% | 12.57% | 9.51% | 9.66% | 7.96% | 9.19% | NA | 7.05% |
VFINX (VANGUARD 500 INDEX FUND INVESTOR SHARES) | 2.03% | 14.20% | 14.72% | 15.60% | 12.92% | 14.19% | 10.37% | 10.75% |
VSMGX (VANGUARD LIFESTRATEGY MODERATE GROWTH FUND INVESTOR SHARES) | 5.23% | 10.75% | 8.37% | 7.42% | 6.31% | 7.36% | 6.07% | 5.70% |
Ticker/Portfolio | Last 1 Week | 1 Yr | 3 Yr | 5 Yr | 10 Yr | 15 Yr | 20 Yr | Inception | YTD | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 | 1996 | 1995 | 1994 | 1993 | 1992 | 1991 | 1990 | 1989 | 1988 | 1987 | 1986 | 1985 | 1984 | 1983 | 1982 | 1981 | 1980 | 1979 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Return (%) | John Bogle La...y Forties | 1.28 | 12.57 | 9.51 | 9.66 | 7.96 | 9.19 | NA | 7.05 | 6.04 | 12.04 | 16.87 | -17.17 | 15.24 | 13.22 | 24.17 | -7.50 | 20.43 | 9.26 | -2.48 | 6.97 | 15.62 | 15.92 | -2.40 | 15.19 | 30.95 | -32.68 | 1.26 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
VFINX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | 1.42 | 14.20 | 14.72 | 15.60 | 12.92 | 14.19 | 10.37 | 10.75 | 2.03 | 24.84 | 26.12 | -18.24 | 28.53 | 18.74 | 31.33 | -4.55 | 21.66 | 11.83 | 1.23 | 13.52 | 32.17 | 15.82 | 1.96 | 14.91 | 26.52 | -37.02 | 5.39 | 15.64 | 4.77 | 10.74 | 28.50 | -22.17 | -12.03 | -9.05 | 21.08 | 28.62 | 33.18 | 22.87 | 37.45 | 1.18 | 10.15 | 8.24 | 32.05 | -3.33 | 28.37 | 14.92 | 3.97 | 9.30 | 22.60 | 3.67 | 17.07 | 19.25 | -8.55 | 27.89 | -2.07 | |
VSMGX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | 1.13 | 10.75 | 8.37 | 7.42 | 6.31 | 7.36 | 6.07 | 5.70 | 5.23 | 10.28 | 15.51 | -16.01 | 10.08 | 13.59 | 19.30 | -6.28 | 14.86 | 7.09 | -2.21 | 6.38 | 14.73 | 9.78 | 0.12 | 13.14 | 20.35 | -26.49 | 7.21 | 13.30 | 5.68 | 11.76 | 22.40 | -10.34 | -4.78 | 1.27 | 14.09 | 21.59 | 17.90 | 10.77 | 26.58 | 2.04 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
Sharpe Ratio | John Bogle La...y Forties | NA | 0.63 | 0.44 | 0.54 | 0.43 | NA | NA | 0.33 | 0.25 | 0.84 | 1.17 | -0.96 | 1.42 | 0.45 | 2.36 | -0.68 | 3.32 | 0.71 | -0.19 | 0.74 | 1.46 | 1.32 | -0.11 | 0.86 | 1.11 | -0.83 | 0.08 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
VFINX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | 0.41 | 0.87 | 0.81 | 0.62 | NA | NA | 0.45 | 0.07 | 1.67 | 1.73 | -0.82 | 2.17 | 0.53 | 2.39 | -0.35 | 3.16 | 0.89 | 0.08 | 1.19 | 2.90 | 1.25 | 0.08 | 0.82 | 0.97 | -0.92 | 0.14 | 1.22 | 0.24 | 0.88 | 1.63 | -0.90 | -0.68 | -0.60 | 0.97 | 1.23 | 1.61 | 1.62 | 4.31 | -0.19 | 0.90 | 0.57 | 1.91 | -0.55 | 1.71 | 0.59 | -0.01 | 0.30 | 1.47 | -0.26 | 0.79 | 0.63 | -1.30 | 1.17 | -3.84 | |
VSMGX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | 0.62 | 0.73 | 0.56 | 0.47 | NA | NA | 0.50 | 0.72 | 0.87 | 1.45 | -1.22 | 1.32 | 0.70 | 2.77 | -0.87 | 3.75 | 0.83 | -0.26 | 1.01 | 2.16 | 1.23 | 0.01 | 1.18 | 1.12 | -0.98 | 0.39 | 1.34 | 0.49 | 1.49 | 2.09 | -0.75 | -0.59 | -0.24 | 1.06 | 1.56 | 1.56 | 0.91 | 4.18 | 4.60 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
Standard Deviation(%) | John Bogle La...y Forties | NA | 14.63 | 14.18 | 14.18 | 15.14 | NA | NA | 18.38 | 19.00 | 10.07 | 11.33 | 19.34 | 10.70 | 28.95 | 9.60 | 13.02 | 5.96 | 12.72 | 13.11 | 9.38 | 10.70 | 12.02 | 22.16 | 17.64 | 27.78 | 40.32 | 14.44 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
VFINX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | 19.74 | 17.49 | 17.52 | 18.48 | NA | NA | 18.11 | 25.21 | 12.67 | 13.09 | 24.19 | 13.11 | 34.69 | 12.48 | 17.11 | 6.68 | 13.11 | 15.51 | 11.39 | 11.07 | 12.74 | 23.36 | 18.07 | 27.22 | 40.99 | 16.02 | 10.04 | 10.29 | 11.10 | 17.04 | 25.96 | 21.55 | 22.20 | 18.17 | 20.48 | 18.21 | 11.77 | 7.77 | 9.92 | 8.83 | 9.93 | 14.69 | 16.06 | 13.09 | 17.07 | 33.80 | 16.55 | 11.67 | 12.80 | 13.62 | 18.09 | 14.61 | 16.53 | 23.80 | |
VSMGX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | 10.40 | 10.23 | 10.12 | 10.41 | NA | NA | 11.49 | 12.78 | 7.69 | 8.26 | 14.34 | 7.62 | 19.08 | 6.43 | 8.81 | 3.80 | 8.31 | 8.51 | 6.28 | 6.80 | 7.99 | 14.68 | 11.10 | 18.01 | 27.95 | 10.37 | 7.43 | 6.96 | 7.25 | 10.38 | 15.37 | 12.42 | 12.30 | 10.07 | 11.65 | 9.10 | 7.74 | 5.41 | 15.57 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
Draw Down(%) | John Bogle La...y Forties | NA | 13.46 | 15.67 | 25.04 | 30.93 | NA | NA | 49.41 | 13.46 | 5.88 | 10.57 | 25.04 | 5.04 | 30.93 | 4.94 | 15.69 | 1.79 | 9.10 | 12.92 | 7.06 | 9.13 | 9.76 | 19.41 | 12.59 | 25.34 | 47.73 | 1.69 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
VFINX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | 18.76 | 18.76 | 24.59 | 33.83 | NA | NA | 55.25 | 18.76 | 8.45 | 9.97 | 24.59 | 5.14 | 33.83 | 6.63 | 19.40 | 2.60 | 10.29 | 12.05 | 7.30 | 5.59 | 9.60 | 18.71 | 15.66 | 27.17 | 47.73 | 9.88 | 7.47 | 7.01 | 7.47 | 13.79 | 33.02 | 29.18 | 16.55 | 11.81 | 19.20 | 10.79 | 7.45 | 2.50 | 8.48 | 4.84 | 5.63 | 5.57 | 19.19 | 7.35 | 7.24 | 33.08 | 11.63 | 7.51 | 10.58 | 7.02 | 13.21 | 15.61 | 16.03 | 2.40 | |
VSMGX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | 9.62 | 12.88 | 22.29 | 22.43 | NA | NA | 41.18 | 9.62 | 4.17 | 8.15 | 21.74 | 3.53 | 22.43 | 3.12 | 11.47 | 1.14 | 6.20 | 8.34 | 4.70 | 5.67 | 6.27 | 12.90 | 8.64 | 19.61 | 36.81 | 6.11 | 6.13 | 4.74 | 5.89 | 8.91 | 20.06 | 17.93 | 8.77 | 6.26 | 11.99 | 6.02 | 4.75 | 1.82 | 1.89 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
Yield(%) | John Bogle La...y Forties | NA | 2.70 | 2.64 | 2.51 | 2.58 | NA | NA | 0.00 | 0.06 | 2.88 | 3.00 | 1.99 | 2.26 | 2.13 | 3.10 | 2.55 | 2.71 | 2.75 | 2.44 | 2.62 | 2.60 | 2.75 | 2.44 | 2.47 | 3.13 | 2.61 | 1.07 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
VFINX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
VSMGX (VANGUA...R SHARES) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
Calculate Performance
Start date (MM/dd/yyyy)
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Calculators
Dollar Cost Average Calculator for John Bogle Late Thirties to Early Forties
Retirement Spending Calculator for John Bogle Late Thirties to Early Forties
Rolling Returns
Maximum Drawdown
John Bogle Late Thirties to Early Forties Maximum Drawdown