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401k Investor
University of California Retirement Savings Program Fidelity
University of California Retirement Savings Program Fidelity Tactical Asset Allocation Moderate
University of California Retirement Savings Program Fidelity Tactical Asset Allocation Moderate
live (public) 0.30% December 31
Delayed
Holdings (As of 11/30/2018)
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| Asset | Fund in this portfolio | Price change* | Original Fund Description | Percentage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Estate | VGSNX (VANGUARD REIT INDEX FUND INSTITUTIONAL SHARES) | 1.43% | VANG REIT IDX INST | 9.97% |
| Real Estate | FSRVX (FIDELITY REAL ESTATE INDEX FUND PREMIUM CLASS) | 1.56% | SPTN REAL ES IDX ADV | 11.99% |
| General Bond | FINPX (FIDELITY INFLATION-PROTECTED BOND FUND FIDELITY INFLATION-PROTECTED BOND FUND) | FID INFLAT PROT BOND | 40.86% | |
| US Equity | FCPGX (FIDELITY SMALL CAP GROWTH FUND FIDELITY SMALL CAP GROWTH FUND) | 0.25% | FID SMALL CAP GROWTH | 12.82% |
| US Equity | FDSCX (FIDELITY STOCK SELECTOR SMALL CAP FUND FIDELITY STOCK SELECTOR SMALL CAP FUND) | 0.34% | FID STK SEL SM CAP | 5.25% |
| US Equity | FTQGX (FIDELITY FOCUSED STOCK FUND FIDELITY FOCUSED STOCK FUND) | 0.18% | FID FOCUSED STOCK | 3.22% |
| Global Real Estate | FIREX (FIDELITY INTERNATIONAL REAL ESTATE FUND FIDELITY INTERNATIONAL REAL ESTATE FUND) | 0.53% | FID INTL REAL ESTATE | 15.89% |
* Day change on 09/28/2018.

Beta
Performance (As of 12/31/2018)
Since 12/31/2000
| Name | YTD* Return |
1Yr AR** |
3Yr AR** |
5Yr AR** |
10Yr AR** |
15Yr AR** |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of California Retirement Savings Program Fidelity Tactical Asset Allocation Moderate | 0.2% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% |
| VFINX (Vanguard (S&P 500) Index) | 8.5% | 24.1% | 21.3% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 14.4% |
| VBINX (Vanguard Balance (60% stocks/40% bonds) | 5.7% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% |
* YTD: Year to Date
** AR: Annualized Return
** portfolio AR is delayed
| Last 1 Week* | 1 Yr | 3 Yr | 5 Yr | 10 Yr | 15 Yr | 20 Yr | Since 01/02/2001 |
2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annualized Return(%) | -0.4 | 3.6 | 7.6 | 5.5 | 8.5 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 9.8 | -4.7 | 11.8 | 9.3 | -4.9 | 6.5 | 11.6 | 12.3 | 1.1 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 1.8 | 18.9 | 20.7 | 9.3 | 12.9 | 28.0 | 10.8 | 6.1 |
| Sharpe Ratio | NA | -0.79 | 0.69 | 0.45 | 0.83 | NA | NA | 1.11 | -0.79 | 2.21 | 1.44 | -0.68 | 1.07 | 1.83 | 2.23 | 0.09 | 0.99 | 1.62 | 0.12 | 1.31 | 2.03 | 1.06 | 1.33 | 5.36 | 1.85 | 0.87 |
| Draw Down(%) | NA | 11.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | NA | NA | 11.9 | 11.0 | 2.3 | 5.4 | 10.7 | 4.6 | 6.6 | 5.2 | 10.8 | 9.6 | 5.6 | 7.4 | 10.3 | 11.6 | 5.2 | 11.9 | 3.0 | 6.6 | 3.4 |
| Standard Deviation(%) | NA | 7.7 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 8.3 | NA | NA | 8.0 | 7.7 | 5.0 | 6.3 | 7.2 | 6.1 | 6.3 | 5.5 | 11.3 | 12.1 | 11.7 | 7.4 | 12.1 | 8.5 | 6.7 | 9.0 | 5.1 | 5.2 | 4.3 |
| Treynor Ratio | NA | -0.16 | 0.14 | 0.08 | 0.21 | NA | NA | 0.48 | -0.16 | 0.23 | 0.5 | -0.15 | 0.15 | 0.23 | 0.4 | 0.03 | 0.2 | 1.5 | -0.25 | 0.26 | 0.33 | 0.22 | 0.23 | 5.29 | 3.23 | 0.97 |
| Alpha | NA | -0.01 | 0.01 | 0.0 | 0.01 | NA | NA | 0.03 | -0.01 | 0.01 | 0.03 | -0.02 | 0.01 | -0.01 | 0.03 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 0.06 | 0.0 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.09 | 0.04 | 0.02 |
| Beta | NA | 0.39 | 0.33 | 0.35 | 0.32 | NA | NA | 0.18 | 0.39 | 0.49 | 0.18 | 0.33 | 0.44 | 0.5 | 0.31 | 0.35 | 0.59 | 0.13 | -0.03 | 0.61 | 0.53 | 0.33 | 0.52 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| RSquared | NA | 0.73 | 0.43 | 0.49 | 0.41 | NA | NA | 0.19 | 0.73 | 0.43 | 0.14 | 0.52 | 0.67 | 0.77 | 0.51 | 0.52 | 0.77 | 0.09 | 0.04 | 0.66 | 0.38 | 0.25 | 0.41 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.04 |
| Sortino Ratio | NA | -1.01 | 0.95 | 0.61 | 1.16 | NA | NA | 1.56 | -1.01 | 3.48 | 2.07 | -0.86 | 1.55 | 2.53 | 3.46 | 0.12 | 1.41 | 2.5 | 0.16 | 1.79 | 2.92 | 1.48 | 1.87 | 9.05 | 2.9 | 1.28 |
| Yield(%) | N/A | 5.9 | 4.3 | 3.6 | 5.5 | 9.0 | 11.1 | 4.41 | 5.9 | 0.7 | 4.6 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 4.5 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 4.3 | 4.0 | 6.6 | 8.0 | 3.3 | 4.7 | 5.7 | 4.5 | 6.9 |
| Dividend Growth(%) | N/A | 879.1 | 40.8 | 22.4 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 879.1 | -83.9 | 87.2 | -7.5 | -32.9 | 41.9 | 6.4 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 8.2 | -28.0 | -2.4 | 171.6 | -22.2 | 7.5 | 40.0 | -31.2 | N/A |
*: NOT annualized;YTD: Year to Date
**Inception: starting from 12/31/2000
Portfolio Description
This model portfolio uses Tactical Asset Allocation
. The following is the description on how in general the strategy works for this portfolio. It is for information purpose only. The actual implementation might be
different from the description in some situations where optimization has been implemented.
The strategy first derives trend scores of the 5 major asset classes: US Equity, Fixed Income, Foreign Equity, Emerging Market Equity, REITs that are covered in University of California Retirement Savings Program Fidelity. It then selects the top 2 risk assets and 1 fixed income asset.
1. Risk allocation: the risk profile of this portfolio is 40.
The total allocation of the 1 fixed income asset should be at least 40%.
2. Asset weights: risk assets selected are equally weighted by
default.
3. Fund selection: about 2 top performing funds among 201 available funds in the plan are chosen for each asset selected. They are usually equally weighted within
the asset by default.
4. Rebalance frequency: the portfolio is reviewed by the strategy program monthly
and the above steps are repeated. Asset weights are rebalanced back to target allocation if it is necessary. During a market downturn, the asset
exposure to risk assets might be reduced and is switched to fixed income instead to avoid big loss.
5.
Simulation: Performance data before this portfolio went public on
01/31/2012
are obtained from historical simulation. They are hypothetical.