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by dshort.com - Advisor Perspectives | Apr 1, 2016 | Financial-Blogs

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by dshort.com - Advisor Perspectives | Jan 27, 2016 | Financial-Blogs

Access the latest research from mutual fund thought leaders

by dshort.com - Advisor Perspectives | Nov 10, 2015 | Financial-Blogs

Access research from the fund industry as soon as it is available. We curate the most relevant research reports from top analysts and firms, and we write a one-paragraph abstract with a link to read the full report. This is a free service from Advis…

Intuit Small Business Index: Up Fractionally

by dshort.com - Advisor Perspectives | Nov 10, 2015 | Financial-Blogs

The latest Intuit Small Business Employment Index (SBI) came out this morning, which measures employment in firms with fewer than 20 employees with data going back to 2007. The real-time data comes directly from Intuit software, not from surveys, an…

NFIB: Small Business Index Unchanged in October

by dshort.com - Advisor Perspectives | Nov 10, 2015 | Financial-Blogs

The latest issue of the NFIB Small Business Economic Trends is out today. The update for October came in at 96.1, unchanged from the previous month. The index remains at the 29th percentile in this series. Today’s number came in slightly below the I…

S&P 500 Snapshot: The Selloff Accelerates

by dshort.com - Advisor Perspectives | Nov 9, 2015 | Financial-Blogs

On a day with relatively little economic news US equity markets declined at an accelerating rate, with the benchmark S&P 500 posted its fourth consecutive loss. The index opened at its -0.13% intraday high, plunged sharply and slid to its -1.48% int…

Weekly Gasoline Price Update: Regular and Premium Up Two Cents

by dshort.com - Advisor Perspectives | Nov 9, 2015 | Financial-Blogs

It’s time again for our weekly gasoline update based on data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA). The price of Regular and Premium gained about two cents each. WTIC ended today at $48.37, up $2.23 from the previous week. According to Ga…

Multiple Jobholders: Two Decades of Trends as of October

by dshort.com - Advisor Perspectives | Nov 9, 2015 | Financial-Blogs

What are the long-term trends for multiple jobholders in the US? The Bureau of Labor Statistics has two decades of historical data to enlighten us on that topic, courtesy of Table A-16 in the monthly Current Population Survey. At present, multiple …

The Labor Market Conditions Index for October: Back Above Zero with Revisions

by dshort.com - Advisor Perspectives | Nov 9, 2015 | Financial-Blogs

The Labor Market Conditions Index (LMCI) is a relatively recent indicator developed by Federal Reserve economists to assess changes in the labor market conditions. It is a dynamic factor model of labor market indicators, essentially a diffusion inde…

World Markets Weekend Update: Six Up, Two Down

by dshort.com - Advisor Perspectives | Nov 7, 2015 | Financial-Blogs

Six of eight indexes on our world watch list posted gains over the past week, up from three up the previous week. China’s Shanghai Composite was the outstanding performer, up a whopping 6.13%. France’s CAC 40 was a distant second with its substantia…

S&P 500 Snapshot: Flat for the Day, Up 0.95% for the Week

by dshort.com - Advisor Perspectives | Nov 6, 2015 | Financial-Blogs

The better-than-forecast October employment report presumably strengthened the odds of a December Fed rate hike, but the market’s reaction was surprisingly subdued. The S&P 500 opened fractionally lower, hit its 0.09% intraday high minutes later and…

The Big Four Economic Indicators: September Nonfarm Employment

by dshort.com - Advisor Perspectives | Nov 6, 2015 | Financial-Blogs

Note: This commentary has been updated to include Nonfarm Employment for October. As the adjacent thumbnail of the past year illustrates, Nonfarm Employment remains in its upward trend and the October report of 271K new jobs is the biggest monthly i…

ECRI Weekly Leading Index: "Checked by China"

by dshort.com - Advisor Perspectives | Nov 6, 2015 | Financial-Blogs

ECRI’s latest weekly data point shows a fractional decrease from the previous week’s revised number and their latest feature commentary published earlier this week highlights the impact of declining Chinese imports.
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October New Jobs Surprise Forecast; September Revised Slightly Downward

by dshort.com - Advisor Perspectives | Nov 6, 2015 | Financial-Blogs

Today’s report of 271K new nonfarm jobs in October was significantly higher than the Investing.com forecast of 180K. September nonfarm payrolls was revised downward by 5K. The unemployment rate dropped 0.1 to 5.0%.
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S&P 500 Snapshot: A Fractional Decline Before Friday’s Employment Report

by dshort.com - Advisor Perspectives | Nov 5, 2015 | Financial-Blogs

The S&P 500 ended the session with a fractional decline. The pre-market economic release of weekly jobless claims was a bit disappointing. Today’s seasonally adjusted 276K new claims was a 16K rise over the previous week and the largest weekly incre…

New Jobless Claims: Worse than Forecast

by dshort.com - Advisor Perspectives | Nov 5, 2015 | Financial-Blogs

Today’s seasonally adjusted 276K new claims was worse than the Investing.com forecast of 262K. The four-week moving average is at 262,750, up from last week’s 259,250, which was at a its lowest levels since 1973.
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S&P 500 Snapshot: A Modest Decline Snaps a Two-Day Rally

by dshort.com - Advisor Perspectives | Nov 4, 2015 | Financial-Blogs

The S&P 500 ended the session with a modest -0.35% decline. The pre-market economic news was a tepid estimate of 182K new nonfarm private employment jobs from ADP countered by the September trade balance, which was the lowest since February. The S&P…

ISM Non-Manufacturing: October Growth at Faster Rate

by dshort.com - Advisor Perspectives | Nov 4, 2015 | Financial-Blogs

Today the Institute for Supply Management published its latest Non-Manufacturing Report. The headline NMI Composite Index is at 59.1 percent, up 2.2 percent from last month’s 56.9 percent. Today’s number came in above the Investing.com forecast of 5…

Anticipating October Employment: ADP Report at 182K

by dshort.com - Advisor Perspectives | Nov 4, 2015 | Financial-Blogs

The economic mover and shaker this week is Friday’s employment report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This monthly report contains a wealth of data for economists, the most publicized being the month-over-month change in Total Nonfarm Employmen…

September Trade Deficit Lowest in Seven Months

by dshort.com - Advisor Perspectives | Nov 4, 2015 | Financial-Blogs

The U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, also known as the FT-900, is published monthly by the Bureau of Economic Analysis with data going back to 1992. The monthly reports include revisions that go back several months. This report detail…

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RSS Bogleheads Latest Posts

  • Re: CD or Treasury note? Help me decide February 25, 2021
    Consider using an Ally or Marcus savings account. The last I looked the rate on a savings account was 0.5%. Ally has/had 1year CDs at 0.6%. None of these rates are good and you will lose money due to inflation but with the savings accounts you have no term risk (and no guarantee the rates […]
    jimkinny
  • Re: UK - 36 Year old male - £800k in assets can I retire on £25k a year? Please recommend funds. February 25, 2021
    Star_fish wrote: ↑Wed Feb 24, 2021 1:33 pm Country of Residence: United Kingdom. International Lifestyle: Not planning any permanent move ever. Currency: GBP. Emergency funds: About 10k GBP for 6 months living expenses Debt: £120k mortgage fixed for 5 years @ 1.29% interest rate. Age: 36 Desired Asset allocation: 60% stocks / 40% bonds State […]
    Valuethinker
  • Re: Need Advice on Asset Allocation February 25, 2021
    If you wanted to get to 20% bonds quickly, one possibility would be to — use the $ from CDs to purchase municipal bonds in your taxable account (maybe state specific; I live in CA and hold CA munis through Vanguard’s funds). This would get you 156K in bonds. — you need to be closer […]
    theorist
  • Re: Why the disdain for managed funds like ARKK that destroy total market funds? February 25, 2021
    I think the "flash crash" the ARK funds just had does emphasize the liquidity issues of some of the holdings, as their funds hold a large percentage of some very small companies due to their massive AUM inflows.
    dalbright
  • Re: Nate Silver sums up trying to beat the market very well February 25, 2021
    eshkidd wrote: ↑Wed Feb 24, 2021 10:32 pmBuffett, Graham, and Klarman aren't luck, are they? No one has provided any argument in this thread as to what would constitute for them the line between luck and a proven track record. What are the implications of a proven track record? In particular, even if they were […]
    Seasonal
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