Top 5 Stocks Good Enough For Buffett And Lynch
0.71%November 29 | MyPlanIQ portfolio symbol P_33635
From the list of 22 stocks, here’s a look at five good prospects and one stock to avoid:
Northrop Grumman (NOC)
Defense company stocks have tanked in recent years as investors worried
that the government will drastically cut the defense budget. Northrop
gets about 90% of its business from the government. But as a generally
rule, neither Buffett nor Lynch places a lot of significance on sector
outlooks when evaluating a company. Both subscribe to the idea that good
companies grow over time regardless of the general economic
environment.
Northrop has managed to increase its revenues and generally produce steady earnings despite the gloominess of its sector.
With democracy in the messy stage of development around the world, massive cuts in the defense budget are less likely now than they were a few months ago. The diversity of Northrop’s goods and services—they range from making parts for fighter jets and space telescopes to training foreign militaries and building wireless networks—swill help the company maintain growth even if war spending drops.
Coca-Cola Co. (KO)
Buffett considers himself a life-long fan of Coca-Cola, largely because
he believes the company is extremely well-managed. But there’s plenty
here for Lynch to like too, despite its gargantuan size. The magic of
Coca-Cola marketing continues to fuel respectable sales and earnings
gains even as annual revenue tops $35 billion. A steady diet of
acquisitions helps. The company projects this growth to continue well
into the next decade. It’s PEG, one of the lowest on our list, would
make Lynch happy too.
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. (BMY)
As an international pharmaceuticals company, Bristol-Myers spends a lot
of energy trying to pace the roll-out of new drugs to keep the bottom
line growing. Not an easy task when your products are at the mercy of a
years-long process for government approval.
Among pharma companies, Bristol-Myers is among the most threatened by patent expirations; its Plavix (a pricey blood thinner) brings in one third of revenue, and faces patent expiration this year. But good news in recent months about skin cancer treatments that are very close to going to market has perked up investor interest in the shares. But more important to our two long-term investment gurus would be Bristol-Myers’ business performance when the gods of industry are not looking down in its favor.
The company produces respectable earnings and a solid balance sheet even when there’s a dearth of new products to hawk. Thanks in part to price increases, revenues grew even in the past two years, even as investors were particularly worked up over worries that the company’s new product stream had stalled. Much of Bristol-Myers value to shareholders tends to come in the form of dividends, which the company has paid consistently, usually at yield well over 10-year Treasury bills.
Microsoft (MSFT)
While Buffett doesn’t care much for tech stocks, Lynch was never quite
so sector-averse. Microsoft’s Bing search engine and a new controller
for the popular Xbox game console have reinvigorated revenues at the
company. They have also helped ramp up earnings per share growth to
about 30% last year. That’s a level Peter Lynch would particularly
like–high, but below the 50% mark he considered unsustainable.
Microsoft is not in the kind of boring business both investors claim to prefer. But as a grown-up tech company selling products for consumers, it’s a business that fits the definition of a company you can readily understand.
Corning (GLW)
On the surface, Corning has all the right numbers–high earnings yield,
low PEG, low debt, growing earnings and lots of cash. But this is not a
good fit for the Buffett/Lynch model. The company’s business is simply
too complex to generate the steady, predictable share growth Buffett or
Lynch value investors crave. Corning makes glass-based products like
computer monitors, fiber optic cables and LCD television screens. It
also is involved in a variety of joint ventures outside of those fields.
The need to consistently produce new high tech products for its markets is partly responsible for big swings in earnings. The share price reflects the volatility too. While it would have been nice to own Corning shares for the ride up in the last couple of years, this is not a picture of the kind of value stock our mentors favor. It’s an example of how relying on the numbers alone can result in the wrong stock for the goal.
Becton, Dickinson & Co. (BDX)
Becton, Dickinson’s simplistic business among today’s diversified
companies would thrill both Buffett and Lynch. Buffett, in fact, bought
this company’s shares in 2009 and 2010.
BDX makes medical needles, syringes and other sharps that it sells to hospitals, clinics, doctors’ offices and pharmacies around the world. Sales figures have been muted recently, in part because people cut back on going to the doctor when they’re unemployed or worried about money. But Becton, Dickinson churned out profits anyway, thanks largely to a good hold on profit margins. Buffett likes companies whose profits are predictable years on out. It’s a safe bet that people will need shots for decades to come, recession or not.