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  • Schwab Select ETF Plan Has Bright Prospects

    04/06/2011

    Schwab ETF Plan Has Good Pedigree and Bright Prospects Retirement is now a "hair on fire" problem. There is much talk of working longer, downsizing, living on less. However, there is something you can do to help improve your risk adjusted returns. Look at your portfolios and plans to build a diversified portfolio with a systematic investment strategy.

    This is not as hard as you might think -- to highlight this point, we feature a plan created by a non professional that matches up well with any of the other plans. Kevin Carr. is an individual investor who employs a long term strategy. He manages an individual common stock portfolio as well as many plans on MyPlan IQ.  If you have any questions regarding this plan please contact him.

    This plan provides you with Schwab's experts’ top picks of low-cost ETFs representing approximately 50 ETFs, based on rigorous criteria including expenses, tracking error, trading volume, and more.  Schwab ETFs trade commission free.  There are no redemption periods so you can start today and not worry about holding periods.

    We report on this Schwab ETF Select List which consists of 49 funds. These funds give exposure to 6 major assets: US Equity, Commodity, Foreign Equity, REITs, Emerging Market Equity, Fixed Income.

     

    Asset Class Ticker Name
    LARGE BLEND SCHX Schwab U.S. Large-Cap ETF
    LARGE GROWTH SCHG Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF
    LARGE VALUE SCHV Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Value ETF
    MID-CAP BLEND VO Vanguard Mid-Cap ETF
    Mid-Cap Growth VOT Vanguard Mid-Cap Growth ETF
    MID-CAP VALUE VOE Vanguard Mid-Cap Value ETF
    SMALL BLEND SCHA Schwab U.S. Small-Cap ETF
    Small Growth VBK Vanguard Small Cap Growth ETF
    SMALL VALUE VBR Vanguard Small Cap Value ETF
    LARGE BLEND SCHB Schwab U.S. Broad Market ETF
    LARGE VALUE VYM Vanguard High Dividend Yield Indx ETF
    Foreign Large Blend SCHF Schwab International Equity ETF
    Foreign Large Growth EFG iShares MSCI EAFE Growth Index
    Foreign Large Value EFV iShares MSCI EAFE Value Index
    FOREIGN SMALL/MID GROWTH SCHC Schwab International Small-Cap Eq ETF
    DIVERSIFIED EMERGING MKTS SCHE Schwab Emerging Markets Equity ETF
    Foreign Large Blend VEU Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US ETF
    WORLD STOCK VT Vanguard Total World Stock Index ETF
    EUROPE STOCK VGK Vanguard European ETF
    DIVERSIFIED PACIFIC/ASIA VPL Vanguard Pacific Stock ETF
    JAPAN STOCK EWJ iShares MSCI Japan Index
    China Region GXC SPDR S&P China
    Intermediate-Term Bond BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF
    SHORT GOVERNMENT SCHO Schwab Short-Term U.S. Treasury ETF
    Intermediate Government SCHR Schwab Intermediate-Term U.S. Trsy ETF
    LONG GOVERNMENT TLH iShares Barclays 10-20 Year Treasury Bd
    Inflation-Protected Bond SCHP Schwab U.S. TIPS ETF
    Intermediate-Term Bond CIU iShares Barclays Intermediate Credit Bd
    High Yield Bond JNK SPDR Barclays Capital High Yield Bond
    WORLD BOND BWX SPDR Barclays Capital Intl Treasury Bond
    Muni National Long MUB iShares S&P National AMT-Free Muni Bd
    Consumer Discretionary XLY Consumer Discret Select Sector SPDR
    Consumer Staples XLP Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR
    Equity Energy XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR
    Financial XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR
    Health XLV Health Care Select Sector SPDR
    Industrials XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR
    Natural Resources XLB Materials Select Sector SPDR
    Technology XLK Technology Select Sector SPDR
    Communications IYZ iShares Dow Jones US Telecom
    Utilities XLU Utilities Select Sector SPDR
    COMMODITIES BROAD BASKET DBC PowerShares DB Commodity Index Tracking
    Commodities Agriculture DBA PowerShares DB Agriculture
    Commodities Precious Metals IAU iShares Gold Trust
    Commodities Industrial Metals DBB PowerShares DB Base Metals
    Commodities Energy USL United States 12 Month Oil
    MISCELLANEOUS SECTOR PFF iShares S&P U.S. Preferred Stock Index
    REAL ESTATE VNQ Vanguard REIT Index ETF


     

    Asset Class Number of funds
    Balanced Fund 0
    REITs 1
    Fixed Income 9
    Commodity 5
    Sector Fund 11
    Foreign Equity 8
    Emerging Market Equity 3
    US Equity 11
    Other 1
    Total 49

    Many are looking for access to a well rounded ETF plan through Schwab. This fills this hole and as Schwab makes more of their own funds available, it will be possible to move them into the plan. On this review, the only comment would be to add another REIT choice. The other asset classes have a good number of selections without being overwhelming.

    As of Apr 4, 2011, this plan investment choice is rated as above average based on MyPlanIQ Plan Rating methodology that was designed to measure how effective a plan's available investment funds are . It has the following detailed ratings:

    Diversification -- Rated as great (99%)
    Fund Quality -- Rated as average (47%)
    Portfolio Building -- Rated as average (56%)
    Overall Rating: above average (66%)

    Thehigh diversification score means that all the major and minor asset classes have been ticked. Fund quality is lower because some of the ETF's don't have a long history but that shouldn't impede the ability for the future.

    Portfolio Discussions

    The chart and table below show the historical performance of moderate model portfolios employing strategic and tactical asset allocation strategies. For comparison purpose, we also include the moderate model portfolios of a typical 6 asset SIB (Simpler Is Better) plan . This SIB plan has the following candidate index funds and their ETFs equivalent:

    US Equity: SPY or VTI
    Commodity: DBC
    Foreign Equity: EFA or VEU
    REITs: IYR or VNQ or ICF
    Emerging Market Equity: EEM or VWO
    Fixed Income: AGG or BND
    Performance chart (as of Apr 4, 2011)

    Performance table (as of Apr 4, 2011)

    Portfolio Name 1Yr AR 1Yr Sharpe 3Yr AR 3Yr Sharpe 5Yr AR 5Yr Sharpe
    Schwab ETF Select List Tactical Asset Allocation Moderate 9% 82% 8% 72% 12% 89%
    Schwab ETF Select List Strategic Asset Allocation Moderate 14% 118% 3% 15% 4% 20%
    Six Core Asset ETF Benchmark Tactical Asset Allocation Moderate 9% 81% 10% 82% 13% 89%
    Six Core Asset ETF Benchmark Strategic Asset Allocation Moderate 14% 121% 4% 20% 7% 34%


    This portfolio performs well against the six asset ETF benchmark

    • SAA provides lower volatility while albeit delivering lower historical returns but as more of the newer funds are applied to the portfolio, there will be more opportunity for closing the gap
    • The TAA portfolios run neck and neck over the five year period

    In a future article, we will review performance over the last three months to see how the plan has performed in the light of recent events.

    Kay Takeaways

    • Building a plan of funds is not the preserve of the few -- anybody who has the interest and application to research can provide well constructed plans
    • It is possible to benefit from those individuals while still having transparency and not being captive to any particular broker

    Symbols: SPY, VTI, EFA, VEU, EEM, VWO, IYR, VNQ, ICF, AGG, BND, DBC, HYG, JNK, PHB, CIU, BIV, MUB, TFI, PZA, MLN, GII, PUI, DBU, RYU, UPW, IYH, IXJ, VHT, XBI, PBE, DBR, RYH, EFG, IXP, PTE, DGG, LTL, IYM, IGE, VAW, XLB, XME, PYZ, DBN, RTM, UYM, MTK, PTF, DBT, RYT, ROM, GWL, PFA, IVE, IWW, JKF, VTV, ELV, PWV, RPV, SCHV, EFV, PID, DWM, IYF, VFH, IPF, PFI, DRF, RYF, KXI, VDC, PSL, DPN, RHS, RXI, VCR, IYJ, EXI, VIS, IGOV, BWX, WIP, IVV, IYY, IWV, VV, DLN, RSP, SCHX, IOO, VT, SHY, SHV, VGSH, PLK, USY, TLT, TLH, IEF, EDV, VGLT, TLO, PLW, IEV, VGK, PEF, DEB, IVW, IWZ, JKE, VUG, ELG, QQQQ, RPG, SCHG, IJJ, IWS, JKI, VOE, EMV, PWP, RFV, UVU, IJH, IWR, JKG, VO, MDY, EMM, PJG, DON, EZM, MVV, IFSM, VSS, SCHC, IJS, IWN, JKL, VBR, DSV, PWY, RZV, UVT, IJR, IWM, JKJ, VB, DSC, PJM, DES, SAA, UWM, SCHA, GMM, PXH, DEM, SCHE, ITE, IXC, IPW, DBE, RYE, DKA, IEI, VGIT, IJK, IWP, VOT, EMG, PWJ, RFG, UKW, IJT, IWO, JKK, VBK, DSG, PWT, RZG, UKK, TIP, EPP, VPL, GMF, PAF, EWJ, JPP, PJO, DXJ, GSG

    Disclosure:

    MyPlanIQ does not have any business relationship with the company or companies mentioned in this article. It does not set up their retirement plans. The performance data of portfolios mentioned above are obtained through historical simulation and are hypothetical.

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  • Initiating Tracking of US Subclasses

    02/22/2011

    We are initiating weekly tracking of the nine different styles or subclasses in the US Equity asset class. We use ETFs to represent each sub-class. We track returns over 1, 4, 13, 26, and 52 weeks and aggregate them to get a trend score. We then track the trend score to see the direction of each representative ETF in the subclass. By using an ETF from the same provider, we are attempting to normalize out performance of the ETF over the performance of the subclass.

     

    Assets Class

    Symbols

    02/18
    Trend
    Score

    02/11
    Trend
    Score

    Direction

    Russell Smallcap Growth

    IWO

    20.85%

    19.88%

    ^

    Russell Smallcap Index

    IWM

    18.7%

    17.58%

    ^

    Russell Midcap Growth

    IWP

    18.3%

    18.8%

    v

    Russell Smallcap Value

    IWN

    17.28%

    16.08%

    ^

    Russell Midcap Index

    IWR

    16.68%

    16.74%

    v

    Russell Midcap Value

    IWS

    15.91%

    15.66%

    ^

    Russell Largecap Growth

    IWF

    14.31%

    14.08%

    ^

    Russell Largecap Index

    IWB

    13.44%

    13.04%

    ^

    Russell Largecap Value

    IWD

    13.27%

    12.67%

    ^

    The trend score is defined as the average of 1,4,13,26 and 52 week total returns (including dividend reinvested).

    We note that most of the of the sub-classes are positive as the US bull market continues. We also note that Midcap is dropping in comparison to Smallcap - Midcap has been at the top of the list but is starting to be replaced by Smallcap. Finally we note that the order within a sub-class is Growth, Index (Blend), Value.

     

    Although the entire top three dropped compared to the prior week, the smalcaps dropped less than the midcap stock. The continuing bull market is moving investors away from the relative safety of large cap to the small cap stocks. The midcap, which had been a nice midway point, is being supplanted by the smallcap options as investors seek to maximize returns.

     

     

    The large cap stocks are solidly at the bottom of the table as investors look for higher returns. We note that the Largecap Value has the best performance in the short term even though it has had the poorest return over the longer time horizon.

     

    We would expect to see this picture to remain for some time unless the unrest in the Middle East and North Africa causes investors to look for safer US equities.

     

    Symbols:VCR,VDC,VIG,VWO,VDE,VEA,VGK,EDV,VFH,VEU,VSS,VUG,VHT,VYM,VIS,VGT,BIV,VCIT,BLV,VCLT,VGLT,VAW,MGC,MGK,MGV,VO,VOT,VOE,VMBS,VPL,VNQ,BSV,VGSH,VB,VBK,VBR,VOX,BND,VTI,VT,VPU,VTV,IJK,VBK,QQQQ,MDY,IWO,IJT,IJH,VB,VXF,IWP,IJR,VO,VOT,IWR,IJJ,VBR,IJS,IWN,RSP,IWM,IWS,VOE,VTV,IWC,SCHA,VTI,DIA,VUG,IWF,SPY,IWB,SDY,IVW,VIG,IVV,IWD,OEF,IVE,DVY,

     

    Disclosure:

    MyPlanIQ does not have any business relationship with the company or companies mentioned in this article. The performance data of portfolios mentioned above are obtained through historical simulation and are hypothetical.

     

     

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