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Articles on EDV

  • Schwab Select ETF Plan Has Bright Prospects

    04/06/2011

    Schwab ETF Plan Has Good Pedigree and Bright Prospects Retirement is now a "hair on fire" problem. There is much talk of working longer, downsizing, living on less. However, there is something you can do to help improve your risk adjusted returns. Look at your portfolios and plans to build a diversified portfolio with a systematic investment strategy.

    This is not as hard as you might think -- to highlight this point, we feature a plan created by a non professional that matches up well with any of the other plans. Kevin Carr. is an individual investor who employs a long term strategy. He manages an individual common stock portfolio as well as many plans on MyPlan IQ.  If you have any questions regarding this plan please contact him.

    This plan provides you with Schwab's experts’ top picks of low-cost ETFs representing approximately 50 ETFs, based on rigorous criteria including expenses, tracking error, trading volume, and more.  Schwab ETFs trade commission free.  There are no redemption periods so you can start today and not worry about holding periods.

    We report on this Schwab ETF Select List which consists of 49 funds. These funds give exposure to 6 major assets: US Equity, Commodity, Foreign Equity, REITs, Emerging Market Equity, Fixed Income.

     

    Asset Class Ticker Name
    LARGE BLEND SCHX Schwab U.S. Large-Cap ETF
    LARGE GROWTH SCHG Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF
    LARGE VALUE SCHV Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Value ETF
    MID-CAP BLEND VO Vanguard Mid-Cap ETF
    Mid-Cap Growth VOT Vanguard Mid-Cap Growth ETF
    MID-CAP VALUE VOE Vanguard Mid-Cap Value ETF
    SMALL BLEND SCHA Schwab U.S. Small-Cap ETF
    Small Growth VBK Vanguard Small Cap Growth ETF
    SMALL VALUE VBR Vanguard Small Cap Value ETF
    LARGE BLEND SCHB Schwab U.S. Broad Market ETF
    LARGE VALUE VYM Vanguard High Dividend Yield Indx ETF
    Foreign Large Blend SCHF Schwab International Equity ETF
    Foreign Large Growth EFG iShares MSCI EAFE Growth Index
    Foreign Large Value EFV iShares MSCI EAFE Value Index
    FOREIGN SMALL/MID GROWTH SCHC Schwab International Small-Cap Eq ETF
    DIVERSIFIED EMERGING MKTS SCHE Schwab Emerging Markets Equity ETF
    Foreign Large Blend VEU Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US ETF
    WORLD STOCK VT Vanguard Total World Stock Index ETF
    EUROPE STOCK VGK Vanguard European ETF
    DIVERSIFIED PACIFIC/ASIA VPL Vanguard Pacific Stock ETF
    JAPAN STOCK EWJ iShares MSCI Japan Index
    China Region GXC SPDR S&P China
    Intermediate-Term Bond BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF
    SHORT GOVERNMENT SCHO Schwab Short-Term U.S. Treasury ETF
    Intermediate Government SCHR Schwab Intermediate-Term U.S. Trsy ETF
    LONG GOVERNMENT TLH iShares Barclays 10-20 Year Treasury Bd
    Inflation-Protected Bond SCHP Schwab U.S. TIPS ETF
    Intermediate-Term Bond CIU iShares Barclays Intermediate Credit Bd
    High Yield Bond JNK SPDR Barclays Capital High Yield Bond
    WORLD BOND BWX SPDR Barclays Capital Intl Treasury Bond
    Muni National Long MUB iShares S&P National AMT-Free Muni Bd
    Consumer Discretionary XLY Consumer Discret Select Sector SPDR
    Consumer Staples XLP Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR
    Equity Energy XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR
    Financial XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR
    Health XLV Health Care Select Sector SPDR
    Industrials XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR
    Natural Resources XLB Materials Select Sector SPDR
    Technology XLK Technology Select Sector SPDR
    Communications IYZ iShares Dow Jones US Telecom
    Utilities XLU Utilities Select Sector SPDR
    COMMODITIES BROAD BASKET DBC PowerShares DB Commodity Index Tracking
    Commodities Agriculture DBA PowerShares DB Agriculture
    Commodities Precious Metals IAU iShares Gold Trust
    Commodities Industrial Metals DBB PowerShares DB Base Metals
    Commodities Energy USL United States 12 Month Oil
    MISCELLANEOUS SECTOR PFF iShares S&P U.S. Preferred Stock Index
    REAL ESTATE VNQ Vanguard REIT Index ETF


     

    Asset Class Number of funds
    Balanced Fund 0
    REITs 1
    Fixed Income 9
    Commodity 5
    Sector Fund 11
    Foreign Equity 8
    Emerging Market Equity 3
    US Equity 11
    Other 1
    Total 49

    Many are looking for access to a well rounded ETF plan through Schwab. This fills this hole and as Schwab makes more of their own funds available, it will be possible to move them into the plan. On this review, the only comment would be to add another REIT choice. The other asset classes have a good number of selections without being overwhelming.

    As of Apr 4, 2011, this plan investment choice is rated as above average based on MyPlanIQ Plan Rating methodology that was designed to measure how effective a plan's available investment funds are . It has the following detailed ratings:

    Diversification -- Rated as great (99%)
    Fund Quality -- Rated as average (47%)
    Portfolio Building -- Rated as average (56%)
    Overall Rating: above average (66%)

    Thehigh diversification score means that all the major and minor asset classes have been ticked. Fund quality is lower because some of the ETF's don't have a long history but that shouldn't impede the ability for the future.

    Portfolio Discussions

    The chart and table below show the historical performance of moderate model portfolios employing strategic and tactical asset allocation strategies. For comparison purpose, we also include the moderate model portfolios of a typical 6 asset SIB (Simpler Is Better) plan . This SIB plan has the following candidate index funds and their ETFs equivalent:

    US Equity: SPY or VTI
    Commodity: DBC
    Foreign Equity: EFA or VEU
    REITs: IYR or VNQ or ICF
    Emerging Market Equity: EEM or VWO
    Fixed Income: AGG or BND
    Performance chart (as of Apr 4, 2011)

    Performance table (as of Apr 4, 2011)

    Portfolio Name 1Yr AR 1Yr Sharpe 3Yr AR 3Yr Sharpe 5Yr AR 5Yr Sharpe
    Schwab ETF Select List Tactical Asset Allocation Moderate 9% 82% 8% 72% 12% 89%
    Schwab ETF Select List Strategic Asset Allocation Moderate 14% 118% 3% 15% 4% 20%
    Six Core Asset ETF Benchmark Tactical Asset Allocation Moderate 9% 81% 10% 82% 13% 89%
    Six Core Asset ETF Benchmark Strategic Asset Allocation Moderate 14% 121% 4% 20% 7% 34%


    This portfolio performs well against the six asset ETF benchmark

    • SAA provides lower volatility while albeit delivering lower historical returns but as more of the newer funds are applied to the portfolio, there will be more opportunity for closing the gap
    • The TAA portfolios run neck and neck over the five year period

    In a future article, we will review performance over the last three months to see how the plan has performed in the light of recent events.

    Kay Takeaways

    • Building a plan of funds is not the preserve of the few -- anybody who has the interest and application to research can provide well constructed plans
    • It is possible to benefit from those individuals while still having transparency and not being captive to any particular broker

    Symbols: SPY, VTI, EFA, VEU, EEM, VWO, IYR, VNQ, ICF, AGG, BND, DBC, HYG, JNK, PHB, CIU, BIV, MUB, TFI, PZA, MLN, GII, PUI, DBU, RYU, UPW, IYH, IXJ, VHT, XBI, PBE, DBR, RYH, EFG, IXP, PTE, DGG, LTL, IYM, IGE, VAW, XLB, XME, PYZ, DBN, RTM, UYM, MTK, PTF, DBT, RYT, ROM, GWL, PFA, IVE, IWW, JKF, VTV, ELV, PWV, RPV, SCHV, EFV, PID, DWM, IYF, VFH, IPF, PFI, DRF, RYF, KXI, VDC, PSL, DPN, RHS, RXI, VCR, IYJ, EXI, VIS, IGOV, BWX, WIP, IVV, IYY, IWV, VV, DLN, RSP, SCHX, IOO, VT, SHY, SHV, VGSH, PLK, USY, TLT, TLH, IEF, EDV, VGLT, TLO, PLW, IEV, VGK, PEF, DEB, IVW, IWZ, JKE, VUG, ELG, QQQQ, RPG, SCHG, IJJ, IWS, JKI, VOE, EMV, PWP, RFV, UVU, IJH, IWR, JKG, VO, MDY, EMM, PJG, DON, EZM, MVV, IFSM, VSS, SCHC, IJS, IWN, JKL, VBR, DSV, PWY, RZV, UVT, IJR, IWM, JKJ, VB, DSC, PJM, DES, SAA, UWM, SCHA, GMM, PXH, DEM, SCHE, ITE, IXC, IPW, DBE, RYE, DKA, IEI, VGIT, IJK, IWP, VOT, EMG, PWJ, RFG, UKW, IJT, IWO, JKK, VBK, DSG, PWT, RZG, UKK, TIP, EPP, VPL, GMF, PAF, EWJ, JPP, PJO, DXJ, GSG

    Disclosure:

    MyPlanIQ does not have any business relationship with the company or companies mentioned in this article. It does not set up their retirement plans. The performance data of portfolios mentioned above are obtained through historical simulation and are hypothetical.

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  • Initiating Tracking of US Subclasses

    02/22/2011

    We are initiating weekly tracking of the nine different styles or subclasses in the US Equity asset class. We use ETFs to represent each sub-class. We track returns over 1, 4, 13, 26, and 52 weeks and aggregate them to get a trend score. We then track the trend score to see the direction of each representative ETF in the subclass. By using an ETF from the same provider, we are attempting to normalize out performance of the ETF over the performance of the subclass.

     

    Assets Class

    Symbols

    02/18
    Trend
    Score

    02/11
    Trend
    Score

    Direction

    Russell Smallcap Growth

    IWO

    20.85%

    19.88%

    ^

    Russell Smallcap Index

    IWM

    18.7%

    17.58%

    ^

    Russell Midcap Growth

    IWP

    18.3%

    18.8%

    v

    Russell Smallcap Value

    IWN

    17.28%

    16.08%

    ^

    Russell Midcap Index

    IWR

    16.68%

    16.74%

    v

    Russell Midcap Value

    IWS

    15.91%

    15.66%

    ^

    Russell Largecap Growth

    IWF

    14.31%

    14.08%

    ^

    Russell Largecap Index

    IWB

    13.44%

    13.04%

    ^

    Russell Largecap Value

    IWD

    13.27%

    12.67%

    ^

    The trend score is defined as the average of 1,4,13,26 and 52 week total returns (including dividend reinvested).

    We note that most of the of the sub-classes are positive as the US bull market continues. We also note that Midcap is dropping in comparison to Smallcap - Midcap has been at the top of the list but is starting to be replaced by Smallcap. Finally we note that the order within a sub-class is Growth, Index (Blend), Value.

     

    Although the entire top three dropped compared to the prior week, the smalcaps dropped less than the midcap stock. The continuing bull market is moving investors away from the relative safety of large cap to the small cap stocks. The midcap, which had been a nice midway point, is being supplanted by the smallcap options as investors seek to maximize returns.

     

     

    The large cap stocks are solidly at the bottom of the table as investors look for higher returns. We note that the Largecap Value has the best performance in the short term even though it has had the poorest return over the longer time horizon.

     

    We would expect to see this picture to remain for some time unless the unrest in the Middle East and North Africa causes investors to look for safer US equities.

     

    Symbols:VCR,VDC,VIG,VWO,VDE,VEA,VGK,EDV,VFH,VEU,VSS,VUG,VHT,VYM,VIS,VGT,BIV,VCIT,BLV,VCLT,VGLT,VAW,MGC,MGK,MGV,VO,VOT,VOE,VMBS,VPL,VNQ,BSV,VGSH,VB,VBK,VBR,VOX,BND,VTI,VT,VPU,VTV,IJK,VBK,QQQQ,MDY,IWO,IJT,IJH,VB,VXF,IWP,IJR,VO,VOT,IWR,IJJ,VBR,IJS,IWN,RSP,IWM,IWS,VOE,VTV,IWC,SCHA,VTI,DIA,VUG,IWF,SPY,IWB,SDY,IVW,VIG,IVV,IWD,OEF,IVE,DVY,

     

    Disclosure:

    MyPlanIQ does not have any business relationship with the company or companies mentioned in this article. The performance data of portfolios mentioned above are obtained through historical simulation and are hypothetical.

     

     

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  • E-Trade ETF Plan Hits Most of the High Notes

    02/16/2011

    ETrade All-Star ETF plan has recently been announced as no/low cost ETF plans become increasingly widespread. The company has attempted to make their selection on criteria such as low expense ratio, tracking error, liquidity, style purity, underlying holdings, and how well the ETF represents the index it seeks to replicate. In addition, ETFs chosen are passively managed, have at least 6-months trading history and are sponsored by a well balanced investment firm.

    The growth in number of ETFs are such that many of them are still new. In our analysis, we ignore ETF's that have less than one year's history which may negatively impact returns in the short term but, over time, they will come on-line and provide greater diversification.

    The plan consists of 40 funds giving exposure to 5 major assets: US Equity, Foreign Equity, REITs, Emerging Market Equity, Fixed Income.

     

    Asset Class Ticker Name
    LARGE BLEND RSP Rydex S&P Equal Weight
    LARGE BLEND SPY SPDR S&P 500
    LARGE GROWTH IWF iShares Russell 1000 Growth Index
    LARGE GROWTH MGK Vanguard Mega Cap 300 Gr Index ETF
    LARGE VALUE IWD iShares Russell 1000 Value Index
    LARGE VALUE DIA SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average
    LARGE VALUE VYM Vanguard High Dividend Yield Indx ETF
    LARGE VALUE MGV Vanguard Mega Cap 300 Value Index ETF
    MID-CAP BLEND VO Vanguard Mid-Cap ETF
    Mid-Cap Growth VOT Vanguard Mid-Cap Growth ETF
    MID-CAP VALUE VOE Vanguard Mid-Cap Value ETF
    SMALL BLEND IWM iShares Russell 2000 Index
    Small Growth IWO iShares Russell 2000 Growth Index
    SMALL VALUE IWN iShares Russell 2000 Value Index
    Emerging Markets Bond EMB iShares JPMorgan USD Emerg Markets Bond
    Emerging Markets Bond PCY PowerShares Emerging Mkts Sovereign Debt
    High Yield Bond HYG iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bd
    High Yield Bond JNK SPDR Barclays Capital High Yield Bond
    Inflation-Protected Bond TIP iShares Barclays TIPS Bond
    Intermediate Government IEI iShares Barclays 3-7 Year Treasury Bond
    Intermediate Government AGZ iShares Barclays Agency Bond
    Intermediate Government ITE SPDR Barclays Capital Interm Term Trs
    Intermediate-Term Bond AGG iShares Barclays Aggregate Bond
    Intermediate-Term Bond CFT iShares Barclays Credit Bond
    Intermediate-Term Bond BIV Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF
    Intermediate-Term Bond BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF
    LONG GOVERNMENT TLH iShares Barclays 10-20 Year Treasury Bd
    Long-Term Bond BLV Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index ETF
    SHORT GOVERNMENT SHY iShares Barclays 1-3 Year Treasury Bond
    Short-Term Bond BSV Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
    WORLD BOND BWX SPDR Barclays Capital Intl Treasury Bond
    WORLD BOND BWZ SPDR Barclays Cap S/T Intl Treasury Bond
    WORLD BOND WIP SPDR DB Intl Govt Infl-Protected Bond
    DIVERSIFIED EMERGING MKTS BIK SPDR S&P BRIC 40
    DIVERSIFIED EMERGING MKTS VWO Vanguard Emerging Markets Stock ETF
    Foreign Large Blend EFA iShares MSCI EAFE Index
    Foreign Large Value IDV iShares Dow Jones Intl Select Div Idx
    Foreign Small/Mid Value SCZ iShares MSCI EAFE Small Cap Index
    Global Real Estate RWO SPDR Dow Jones Global Real Estate
    REAL ESTATE RWR SPDR Dow Jones REIT

     

    This is a good selection of funds which hit the main notes -- good choices in fixed income and the US and choices for international and domestic real estate as well as multiple selections in Foreign and emerging market classes.

    The US selections have one in the top ten performance ranking and so US there is room for improvement there.

    TKR
    Name
    Rank
     5 Yr AR%
    3yr AR%
    1yr AR%
    MPIQ Score
    IWO
    iShares Russell 2000 Growth 
    5
    3.73%
    5.45%
    39.77%
    55.4%
    VO
    Vanguard Mid-Cap ETF
    12
    3.60%
    3.05%
    36.00%
    47.8%
    VOT
    Vanguard Mid-Cap Growth ETF
    13
    0.00%
    3.26%
    42.68%
    47.6%
    IWN
    iShares Russell 2000 Value Index
    18
    1.61%
    3.65%
    32.80%
    41.5%
    RSP
    Rydex S&P Equal Weight
    19
    3.45%
    3.58%
    27.38%
    39.7%
    IWM
    iShares Russell 2000 Index
    20
    2.26%
    3.50%
    29.63%
    39.4%
    VOE
    Vanguard Mid-Cap Value ETF
    22
    0.00%
    2.95%
    29.26%
    33.7%
    DIA
    SPDR DJ  Industrial Average
    27
    4.35%
    0.33%
    19.15%
    28.3%
    IWF
    iShares Russell 1000 Growth Index
    29
    3%
    2.21%
    17.76%
    26.4%
    SPY
    SPDR S&P 500
    30
    2.07%
    -0.11%
    21.68%
    25.7%
    IWD
    iShares Russell 1000 Value Index
    36
    1.14%
    -2.81%
    18.67%
    16.7%
    MGK
    Vanguard Mega Cap 300 Growth
    NRV
    MGV
    Vanguard Mega Cap 300 Value
    NRV
    VYM
    Vanguard High Dividend Yield Indx 
    NRV


    NRV means not ranked because the trading volume was below our cutoff

    There is no commodity alternative. This may have been less important in the past, but with inflation almost inevitable, a commodities option such as DBC would make sense.

     

    As of Feb 15, 2011, this plan investment choice is rated as average based on MyPlanIQ's plan rating methodology that was designed to measure how effective a plan's available investment funds are .

    It has the following detailed ratings:

    Diversification -- Rated as great (89%)

    Fund Quality -- Rated as below average (17%)
    Portfolio Building -- Rated as average (42%)
    Overall Rating: average (49%)

    It is important to note that the fund quality rating is lower because of the lack of history -- as time marches on and the ETFs create more of a trail, we expect that rating to increase.

    Portfolio Discussions

    The chart and table below show the historical performance of moderate model portfolios employing strategic and tactical asset allocation strategies. For comparison purpose, we also include the moderate model portfolios of a typical 5 asset SIB (Simpler Is Better) plan . This SIB plan has the following candidate index funds and their ETFs equivalent:

    US Equity: SPY or VTI
    Foreign Equity: EFA or VEU
    REITs: IYR or VNQ or ICF
    Emerging Market Equity: EEM or VWO
    Fixed Income: AGG or BND
    Performance chart (as of Feb 15, 2011)

    Performance table (as of Feb 15, 2011)

    Portfolio Name 1Yr AR 1Yr Sharpe 3Yr AR 3Yr Sharpe 5Yr AR 5Yr Sharpe
    Etrade All Star ETFs Tactical Asset Allocation Moderate 14% 117% 9% 69% 11% 71%
    Etrade All Star ETFs Strategic Asset Allocation Moderate 16% 146% 2% 12% 5% 19%
    Five Core Asset ETF Benchmark Tactical Asset Allocation Moderate 14% 124% 8% 65% 11% 72%
    Five Core Asset ETF Benchmark Strategic Asset Allocation Moderate 19% 157% 4% 18% 6% 24%

    Currently Real Estate, US Equity and Commodities are doing well. US Equity and Real Estate available to Etrade All Star ETFs participants.

    The plan runs neck and neck with the benchmark but we would expect it to pull away as more of the funds establish history and can be used in the portfolio.

    To summarize, Etrade All Star ETF plan ticks most of the boxes but would be strengthened by adding commodity choices.

    Disclosure:

    MyPlanIQ does not have any business relationship with the company or companies mentioned in this article. It does not set up plans. The performance data of portfolios mentioned above are obtained through historical simulation and are hypothetical.

     

    Symbols:SPY,VTI,EFA,VEU,EEM,VWO,IYR,VNQ,ICF,AGG,BND,HYG,JNK,PHB,CIU,BIV,GWL,PFA,IVE,IWW,JKF,VTV,ELV,PWV,RPV,SCHV,SCZ,EFV,PID,DWM,IFGL,RWX,IGOV,BWX,WIP,IVV,IYY,IWV,VV,DLN,RSP,SCHX,SHY,SHV,VGSH,PLK,USY,TLT,TLH,IEF,EDV,VGLT,TLO,PLW,IVW,IWZ,JKE,VUG,ELG,QQQQ,RPG,SCHG,IJJ,IWS,JKI,VOE,EMV,PWP,RFV,UVU,IJH,IWR,JKG,VO,MDY,EMM,PJG,DON,EZM,MVV,IJS,IWN,JKL,VBR,DSV,PWY,RZV,UVT,IJR,IWM,JKJ,VB,DSC,PJM,DES,SAA,UWM,SCHA,GMM,PXH,DEM,SCHE,CLY,LQD,BLV,VCLT,PCY,CSJ,BSV,VCSH,IEI,VGIT,ITE,IJK,IWP,VOT,EMG,PWJ,RFG,UKW,IJT,IWO,JKK,VBK,DSG,PWT,RZG,UKK,TIP,DBC

    labels:IRA,Retirement,Investment,ETF,Portfolio,construction, 

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  • End of the Year Review of Luminary Portfolios -- II

    01/01/2011

    Earlier in the year, we presented a series of reports on lazy portfolios from investing luminaries. We went on to pit them together to come out with an overall winner.

    That was then, this is now. It's time to review their progress and look at how they have performed in 2010. This is the second article where we look at the bottom half of the alphabet and see how they have done this year.

    We created SIB (Simpler is Better) portfolios one index fund for each asset class (ETF's are ideal for this) as a basic benchmark for each asset class portfolio. A SIB gives you diversification and low cost with no thought to picking a stock or even sub-segment of an asset class.

    MyPlanIQ Benchmark

    TAA 5 Yr Return Annualized

    TAA 1 Year

    SAA 1 Year

    Asset Classes

    Six Asset SIB

    15%

    8%

    10%

    6

    Six Asset SIB (Popular ETFs)

    12%

    7%

    10%

    6

    Five Asset SIB

    11%

    6%

    11%

    5

    Four Asset SIB (REIT)

    9%

    8%

    11%

    4

    Four Asset SIB (EEM)

    11%

    1%

    10%

    4

    Three Asset SIB

    6%

    -1%

    10%

    3


    We present four return data points:
    1. The five year annualized return based on a Tactical Asset Allocation strategy (TAA) -- this gives a viewpoint on the longer term behavior
    2. The one year TAA return
    3. The one year Strategic Asset Allocation (SAA) return

    We note that for 2010, SAA portfolios have performed better than the SAA but TAA has a better performance metric in the longer run. This will calibrate what we see with the lazy portfolios.

    The portfolios are listed by decreasing number of asset classes and decreasing number of funds. We would expect that the portfolio with the greatest number of asset classes to have the highest returns and we will test that to see to what extent it is true.

    Table of Lazy Portfolios and their classes and funds

    Plan Name

    TAA 5 Yr Return Annualized

    TAA 1 Year

    SAA 1 Year

    Original

    Asset Classes

    Gibson

    11%

    6%

    11%

    7%

    5

    Green`s Gone Fishin

    10%

    9%

    11%

    13%

    6

    Lowell

    13%

    7%

    13%

    15%

    3

    Schultheis

    6%

    10%

    14%

    9%

    3

    Seven-12

    13%

    11%

    14%

    12%

    7

    Swensen Six

    11%

    10%

    10%

    13%

    5

    Wasik Nano Plan

    9%

    9%

    13%

    11%

    4

    • Gibson's 5 Equal Asset Allocation Strategy comes from his Asset Allocation: Balancing Financial Risks book. In it, he outlined a simple yet diversified asset allocation model: putting equal amount of investment into 5 asset classes: US Equity, International Equity, REIT, Commodity, Fixed Income. 
    • Alexander Green proposed this The Gone Fishin' Portfolio. Based on the book the allocation is achieved using Vanguard low cost index funds (in Bogleheads forum, there is a discussion thread devoted to this portfolio)
    • Jim Lowell edits MarketWatch's ETF Trader, an investment letter employing a momentum-based exchange-traded-fund strategy for long-term investors. Large and small stocks, proposed his Sower's Growth Portfolio. This is a diversified portfolio of exchange-traded funds
    • Bill Schulthe is is a former Smith Barney broker and author of "The Coffeehouse Investor"
    • Craig L. Israelsen is an Associate Professor at Brigham Young University where he teaches Personal and Family Finance to over 1,200 students each year. The Israelsen Seven Equally Weighted is aimed to protect the portfolio against losses
    • David Swensen, the Yale Endowment Manager, proposed a one size fit in all model portfolio for individual investors. The major difference of this portfolio is the emphasis on international equities (including emerging market equities) and real estate
    • John Wasik is a professional journalist and author specializing in personal finance, the environment, investing and social issues. John has proposed a Nano plan investment portfolio which employs a handful of index or ETFs to cover virtually the entire world of bond and stock markets

    The one year returns of the original portfolio are presented in order of highest to lowest.


    How do the returns compare to what we would have expected?

    Plan Name

    TAA 5 Yr Return Annualized

    TAA
    1 Year Return

    SAA
    1 Year Return

    Original 1Year

    Asset Classes

    Lowell

    13%

    7%

    13%

    15%

    3

    Green`s Gone Fishin

    10%

    9%

    11%

    13%

    6

    Swensen Six

    11%

    10%

    10%

    13%

    5

    Seven-12

    13%

    11%

    14%

    12%

    7

    Wasik Nano Plan

    9%

    9%

    13%

    11%

    4

    Schultheis

    6%

    10%

    14%

    9%

    3

    Gibson

    11%

    6%

    11%

    7%

    5

    • The second half of the group performed slightly better as a group than the first half. Lowell's return is the highest of the bunch -- as a three asset class portfolio, that will be an interesting study as to whether this will continue in 2011
    • All of the portfolios exhibited the same behavior of the buy and hold approaches beating TAA -- this is an important lesson that TAA, while having significant benefits in a choppy market, may not perform as well as SAA in a good market
    • As we end the year on a relatively strong note, there is still a note of caution and concern about the future and we will have to see how well these portfolios perform next year


    Takeaways

    • 2010 has been a good year for lazy portfolios as stocks have continued their recovery albeit with concern for the future
    • TAA has real benefits but so does SAA or buy and hold -- this year demonstrates this point
    • Index funds continue to show good results against managed funds
    • Larger asset class plans have the benefit of stability and good returns
    • ETF’s can be used to implement any of these strategies
    • We pick the top three -- Lowell, Green and Swensen Brown to move on to the finals
    • The Seven-12 portfolio can feel hard done by because if it were in the top half of the draw, it would have made it through to the finals

     

    labels:investment,

    Symbols:ACWI,ACWX,ADRE,AGG,BIV,BLV,BND,BSV,BWX,CFT,CIU,CSJ,DBC,DBV,DIA,DVY,EDV,EEM,EFA,EFG,EFV,EMB,ETF,GLD,GOOG,GSG,GXC,HPQ,HYG,ICF,IEF,IEI,IFGL,IGOV,IGR,IJH,IJJ,IJK,IJR,IJS,IJT,IVE,IVV,IVW,IWB,IWC,IWD,IWF,IWM,IWN,

     

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  • Allegheny Ludlum Corporation 401K Plan Is Rated As Above Average

    12/06/2010

    This report reviews Allegheny Ludlum Corporation Personal Retirement and 401(k) Savings Account Plan. We will discuss the investment choices and present the plan rating by MyPlanIQ. Current economic and market conditions are discussed in the context of the investment portfolios in the plan. We will then show how participants in Allegheny Ludlum Corporation Personal Retirement and 401(k) Savings Account Plan can achieve reasonable investment results using asset allocation strategies.

     

    Plan Review and Rating

    Allegheny Ludlum Corporation Personal Retirement and 401(k) Savings Account Plan's 401K plan consists of 55 funds. These funds enable participants to gain exposure to 5 major assets: US Equity, Foreign Equity, Commodity, Emerging Market Equity, Fixed Income. The list of minor asset classes covered:

    Commodities Broad Basket: GSG, DBC
    Conservative Allocation: AOK
    Diversified Emerging Mkts: EEM, GMM, PXH, DEM, SCHE
    Diversified Pacific/asia: EPP, VPL, GMF, PAF
    Equity Energy: ITE, IXC, IPW, DBE, RYE, DKA
    Europe Stock: IEV, VGK, PEF, DEB
    Foreign Large Blend: EFA, VEU, GWL, PFA
    Foreign Small/mid Growth: IFSM, VSS, SCHC
    Health: IYH, IXJ, VHT, XBI, PBE, DBR, RYH
    Inflation-protected Bond: TIP
    Intermediate-term Bond: AGG, CIU, BIV, BND
    Large Blend: IVV, IYY, IWV, VTI, VV, SPY, DLN, RSP, SCHX
    Large Growth: IVW, IWZ, JKE, VUG, ELG, QQQQ, RPG, SCHG
    Large Value: IVE, IWW, JKF, VTV, ELV, PWV, RPV, SCHV
    Latin America Stock: ILF, GML
    Long Government: TLT, TLH, IEF, EDV, VGLT, TLO, PLW
    Mid-cap Value: IJJ, IWS, JKI, VOE, EMV, PWP, RFV, UVU
    Multisector Bond: AGG, GBF, BND, LAG
    Natural Resources: IYM, IGE, VAW, XLB, XME, PYZ, DBN, RTM, UYM
    Pacific/asia Ex-japan Stk: EPP, AAXJ, GMF, PAF, DND
    Short Government: SHY, SHV, VGSH, PLK, USY
    Short-term Bond: CSJ, BSV, VCSH
    Small Growth: IJT, IWO, JKK, VBK, DSG, PWT, RZG, UKK
    Technology: MTK, PTF, DBT, RYT, ROM

    As of Dec 2, 2010, this plan investment choice is rated as based on MyPlanIQ Plan Rating methodology that measures the effectiveness of a plan's available investment funds. It has the following detailed ratings:

    Diversification -- Rated as (91%)
    Fund Quality -- Rated as (48%)
    Portfolio Building -- Rated as (84%)
    Overall Rating: (75%)

     

    Current Economic and Market Conditions

    We have experienced an uncertain 2010: plenty of worries on whether the US economy will climb out of the great recession and recover.

    • The Federal Reserve embarked on Quantitative Easing II (QE2) to stimulate the economy.
    • The housing market is still at its low but largely stabilized.
    • The unemployment rate is stuck at 9%.

     

    Americans continue to face an uncertain future, given (among others) the high unemployment rate, large federal and local government debts and global trade imbalance. With such an economic backdrop, the stock and debt markets are going to be volatile. Despite this, markets have been resilient and appear positioned to rebound.

    In this market it is even more critical to properly diversify and respond market changes. MyPlanIQ offers two asset allocation strategies: strategic and tactical asset allocation strategies ( SAA and TAA for participants in Allegheny Ludlum Corporation Personal Retirement and 401(k) Savings Account Plan).

    Strategic Asset Allocation is based on well known modern portfolio theory and its key features include: diversification, proper fund selection and periodically re-balancing.

    Tactical Asset Allocation works on a diversified array of assets provided by funds in a plan and adjusts asset mixes based on market conditions such as asset price momentum utilized by TAA.

     

    Portfolio Discussions

    The chart and table below show the historical performance of moderate model portfolios employing strategic and tactical asset allocation strategies. For comparison purpose, we also include the moderate model portfolios of a typical 4 asset SIB (Simpler Is Better) plan . This SIB plan has the following candidate index funds and their ETFs equivalent:

    US Equity: (SPY or VTI)
    Foreign Equity: (EFA or VEU)
    Emerging Market Equity: (EEM or VWO)
    Fixed Income: (AGG or BND)

    Performance chart (as of Dec 2, 2010)

    Performance table (as of Dec 2, 2010)

    Currently, asset classes in Foreign Equity (EFA,VEU), Emerging Market Equity (EEM,VWO) and Fixed Income (AGG,BND) are doing relatively well. These asset classes are available to Allegheny Ludlum Corporation Personal Retirement and 401(k) Savings Account Plan participants.

    To summarize, Allegheny Ludlum Corporation Personal Retirement and 401(k) Savings Account Plan plan participants can achieve reasonable investment returns by adopting asset allocation strategies that are tailored to their risk profiles. 

     

    labels:investment,

    Symbols:ATI,SPY,VTI,EFA,VEU,EEM,VWO,AGG,BND,DBC,AOK,CIU,BIV,IYH,IXJ,VHT,XBI,PBE,DBR,RYH,IYM,IGE,VAW,XLB,XME,PYZ,DBN,RTM,UYM,MTK,PTF,DBT,RYT,ROM,GWL,PFA,IVE,IWW,JKF,VTV,ELV,PWV,RPV,SCHV,IVV,IYY,IWV,VV,DLN,RSP,SCHX,SHY,SHV,VGSH,PLK,USY,TLT,TLH,IEF,EDV,VGLT,TLO,PLW,

     

    comments(0)  Share/Bookmark

  • Top Tier ETF Broker Playoffs II

    10/26/2010

  • Lazy Portfolios -- The Playoffs II

    10/19/2010

  • Lazy Portfolios -- The Playoffs

    10/19/2010

First   1   Last  

  • Allegheny Ludlum Corporation Personal Retirement and 401(k) Savings Account Plan Report On 12/03/2010

    12/03/2010

    This report reviews Allegheny Ludlum Corporation Personal Retirement and 401(k) Savings Account Plan plan. We will discuss the investment choices and present the plan rating by MyPlanIQ. Current economic and market conditions are discussed in the context of the investment portfolios in the plan. We will then show how participants in Allegheny Ludlum Corporation Personal Retirement and 401(k) Savings Account Plan can achieve reasonable investment results using asset allocation strategies.

    Plan Review and Rating

    --

    Allegheny Ludlum Corporation Personal Retirement and 401(k) Savings Account Plan's 401K plan consists of 55 funds. These funds enable participants to gain exposure to 5 major assets: US Equity, Foreign Equity, Commodity, Emerging Market Equity, Fixed Income. The list of minor asset classes covered:

    Commodities Broad Basket: GSG, DBC
    Conservative Allocation: AOK
    Diversified Emerging Mkts: EEM, GMM, PXH, DEM, SCHE
    Diversified Pacific/asia: EPP, VPL, GMF, PAF
    Equity Energy: ITE, IXC, IPW, DBE, RYE, DKA
    Europe Stock: IEV, VGK, PEF, DEB
    Foreign Large Blend: EFA, VEU, GWL, PFA
    Foreign Small/mid Growth: IFSM, VSS, SCHC
    Health: IYH, IXJ, VHT, XBI, PBE, DBR, RYH
    Inflation-protected Bond: TIP
    Intermediate-term Bond: AGG, CIU, BIV, BND
    Large Blend: IVV, IYY, IWV, VTI, VV, SPY, DLN, RSP, SCHX
    Large Growth: IVW, IWZ, JKE, VUG, ELG, QQQQ, RPG, SCHG
    Large Value: IVE, IWW, JKF, VTV, ELV, PWV, RPV, SCHV
    Latin America Stock: ILF, GML
    Long Government: TLT, TLH, IEF, EDV, VGLT, TLO, PLW
    Mid-cap Value: IJJ, IWS, JKI, VOE, EMV, PWP, RFV, UVU
    Multisector Bond: AGG, GBF, BND, LAG
    Natural Resources: IYM, IGE, VAW, XLB, XME, PYZ, DBN, RTM, UYM
    Pacific/asia Ex-japan Stk: EPP, AAXJ, GMF, PAF, DND
    Short Government: SHY, SHV, VGSH, PLK, USY
    Short-term Bond: CSJ, BSV, VCSH
    Small Growth: IJT, IWO, JKK, VBK, DSG, PWT, RZG, UKK
    Technology: MTK, PTF, DBT, RYT, ROM

    As of Dec 2, 2010, this plan investment choice is rated as based on MyPlanIQ Plan Rating methodology that measures the effectiveness of a plan's available investment funds. It has the following detailed ratings:

    Diversification -- Rated as (91%)
    Fund Quality -- Rated as (48%)
    Portfolio Building -- Rated as (84%)
    Overall Rating: (75%)

    Current Economic and Market Conditions

    We have experienced an uncertain 2010: plenty of worries on whether the US economy will climb out of the great recession and recover.

    • The Federal Reserve embarked on Quantitative Easing II (QE2) to stimulate the economy.
    • The housing market is still at its low but largely stabilized.
    • The unemployment rate is stuck at 9%.

    Americans continue to face an uncertain future, given (among others) the high unemployment rate, large federal and local government debts and global trade imbalance. With such an economic backdrop, the stock and debt markets are going to be volatile. Despite this, markets have been resilient and appear positioned to rebound.

    In this market it is even more critical to properly diversify and respond market changes. MyPlanIQ offers two asset allocation strategies: strategic and tactical asset allocation strategies ( SAA and TAA for participants in Allegheny Ludlum Corporation Personal Retirement and 401(k) Savings Account Plan).

    Strategic Asset Allocation is based on well known modern portfolio theory and its key features include: diversification, proper fund selection and periodically re-balancing.

    Tactical Asset Allocation works on a diversified array of assets provided by funds in a plan and adjusts asset mixes based on market conditions such as asset price momentum utilized by TAA.

    Portfolio Discussions

    The chart and table below show the historical performance of moderate model portfolios employing strategic and tactical asset allocation strategies. For comparison purpose, we also include the moderate model portfolios of a typical 4 asset SIB (Simpler Is Better) plan . This SIB plan has the following candidate index funds and their ETFs equivalent:

    US Equity: (SPY or VTI)
    Foreign Equity: (EFA or VEU)
    Emerging Market Equity: (EEM or VWO)
    Fixed Income: (AGG or BND)

    Performance chart (as of Dec 2, 2010)

    Performance table (as of Dec 2, 2010)

    Currently, asset classes in Foreign Equity (EFA,VEU), Emerging Market Equity (EEM,VWO) and Fixed Income (AGG,BND) are doing relatively well. These asset classes are available to Allegheny Ludlum Corporation Personal Retirement and 401(k) Savings Account Plan participants.

    To summarize, Allegheny Ludlum Corporation Personal Retirement and 401(k) Savings Account Plan plan participants can achieve reasonable investment returns by adopting asset allocation strategies that are tailored to their risk profiles.

    Symbols: ATI , SPY , VTI , EFA , VEU , EEM , VWO , AGG , BND , DBC , AOK , CIU , BIV , IYH , IXJ , VHT , XBI , PBE , DBR , RYH , IYM , IGE , VAW , XLB , XME , PYZ , DBN , RTM , UYM , MTK , PTF , DBT , RYT , ROM , GWL , PFA , IVE , IWW , JKF , VTV , ELV , PWV , RPV , SCHV , IVV , IYY , IWV , VV , DLN , RSP , SCHX , SHY , SHV , VGSH , PLK , USY , TLT , TLH , IEF , EDV , VGLT , TLO , PLW , IEV , VGK , PEF , DEB , IVW , IWZ , JKE , VUG , ELG , QQQQ , RPG , SCHG , IJJ , IWS , JKI , VOE , EMV , PWP , RFV , UVU , IFSM , VSS , SCHC , GMM , PXH , DEM , SCHE , GBF , LAG , CSJ , BSV , VCSH , ITE , IXC , IPW , DBE , RYE , DKA , ILF , GML , IJT , IWO , JKK , VBK , DSG , PWT , RZG , UKK , TIP , EPP , VPL , GMF , PAF , AAXJ , DND , GSG

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    12/03/2010

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