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Articles on DJP

  • GCC Leads Broad Based Commodity ETFs

    05/10/2011

    Investing is a major concern especially for those for whom retirement is the next step in their lives. Every investor has their own concept of investing; some are investing for long term and some are investing for a shorter term. We review ETF’s in a number of major asset classes to provide insight into building a long term investment portfolio that can bring the best risk adjusted returns even in the light of uncertain circumstances.

     

    Despite the recent selloff, 2011 be an important year for commodities. Due to the Fed’s approach, the dollar will continue to drop which, in turn, makes owning a commodity an attractive investment. The commodities markets are classified into three major categories i.e.

    ·         Food items

    ·         Base metal and precious metal.

    ·         Energy related commodities

    The combination of slower growth in U.S. service industries and fewer German manufacturing orders helped drive the Standard & Poor’s GSCI Index of 24 commodities down 11 percent last week, the most since December 2008, and erased all the gains since mid-March.

     Despite this, the recent growth in commodity markets is due to the following factors:

     ·         More demand: The world population grew from 2.5 billion in 1950 to 6.7 billion by the end of 2010. The phenomenal growth in the population cause the agriculture related product demand to increase and this is not going to change

    ·         Dollar lower: There has been a systematic devaluation of dollar by the FED over the last 2 years

     

    Commodities of the asset class table with excellent return of 39.21% in the last one year. The second position goes to US small cap growth with a return of 31.51%. Although the one year returns are good, the five year returns are not good.

     

    The broad-based commodities table are as follows:

     

    Description

    Symbol

    1 Yr

    3 Yr

    5 Yr

    Avg. Volume(K)

    1 Yr Sharpe

    GreenHaven Continuous Commodity

    GCC

    35.08%

    -0.26%

    NA

    252

    213.18%

    iPath DJ-UBS Commodity Index Tracker

    DJP

    25.12%

    -9.47%

    NA

    449

    138.13%

    iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Index

    GSG

    18.14%

    -19.3%

    NA

    671

    91.86%

    ELEMENTS Rogers Intl Commodity

    RJI

    28.59%

    -9.45%

    NA

    706

    150.16%

    PowerShares DB Commodity Index

    DBC

    24.89%

    -9.57%

    3.48%

    2,363

    128.67%

     

    GCC clearly turned out to the winner with the annual return of 35.08% RJI take the second position followed by DJP from a volume perspective (high liquidity and low trading friction) DBC shows the best consistent performance over the year showing fair returns in terms in term of five year of around 6.47%.

    The GCC portfolio has wide sector wise division such as Agriculture, Agriculture life stocks, Agriculture Grains, energy and metals.  The sector division of investment provides an excellent hedge against various market outcomes. All the metals have rallied in the last 2 years and the energy price is also high giving the fund value an additional boost. GCC has an average annual return of 25.19%, the average volumes are low in relation to the other ETF’s but the reason is that the fund is newly established and it will likely grow. The expense to ratio is 0.85%.

     

    The broad based commodities fund provides an effective hedge in periods of recession and rising inflation. World growth is expected to double by the end of the 2030 and we need an increasing food supply and energy to accommodate this. In the light of this, the prospects of the broad based commodity are very bright.

     

    Exchange Tickers: (NYSE: GCC), (NYSE: DJP), (NYSE: GSG), (NYSE: RJI), (NYSE: DBC)

     

    Symbols: GCC, DJP, GSG, RJI, DBC


    Disclaimer:

    MyPlanIQ does not have any business relationship with the company or companies mentioned in this article. It does not set up their retirement plans. The performance data of portfolios mentioned above are obtained through historical simulation and are hypothetical.

     

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